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cover of episode Tim Scott Is The Leading Trump VP Contender

Tim Scott Is The Leading Trump VP Contender

2024/4/8
logo of podcast FiveThirtyEight Politics

FiveThirtyEight Politics
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C
Cooper Burton
E
Elliot Morris
G
Galen Druk
L
Leah Escaranam
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Galen Druk: 本期节目涵盖了对美国民众对日食看法的民意调查、FiveThirtyEight 的 Swing-O-Matic 功能介绍以及对2024年共和党副总统候选人的预测。 Leah Escaranam: 在关于日食的民调分析中，Leah Escaranam 参与了对美国民众对日食认知和态度的讨论，并对结果进行了分析和解读。 Elliot Morris: Elliot Morris 主要负责介绍 FiveThirtyEight 新推出的 Swing-O-Matic 功能，该功能可以模拟不同人口统计群体在投票偏好和投票率上的变化，并预测其对2024年大选结果的影响。他详细解释了该工具背后的数据和编辑思路，并对模拟结果进行了分析。 Cooper Burton: Cooper Burton 参与了关于日食民调的讨论，并对 Swing-O-Matic 的功能和结果进行了分析和解读。他特别强调了白人选民在选举中的重要影响力，以及不同人口群体变化的组合效应。

Deep Dive

Chapters

Shownotes Transcript

On this solar eclipse day installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew tests their polling knowledge on the rare celestial event with a special edition of “Guess What Americans Think.” They also preview 538’s new Swing-O-Matic, a tool that lets you model demographic changes in the 2024 election and see their resulting electoral impacts. And in our latest installment of the 2024 VP draft, the crew takes a guess at who could be former President Donald Trump’s pick for the position.

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