We're sunsetting PodQuest on 2025-07-28. Thank you for your support!
Export Podcast Subscriptions
cover of episode What Happens To Trump's Legal Cases Now?

What Happens To Trump's Legal Cases Now?

2024/12/12
logo of podcast FiveThirtyEight Politics

FiveThirtyEight Politics

AI Deep Dive AI Insights AI Chapters Transcript
People
G
Galen Droop
J
Jessica Roth
Topics
Galen Droop:探讨了特朗普当选总统后,其面临的众多法律案件的未来走向,以及这些案件对美国政治的影响。 Jessica Roth:详细分析了特朗普面临的几起主要案件的现状,包括华盛顿特区、佛罗里达州和佐治亚州的刑事案件,以及纽约州的刑事和民事案件。她解释了司法部关于在任总统不受刑事起诉的政策,以及最高法院关于总统豁免权的裁决对这些案件的影响。她指出,除了纽约州的案件外,其他案件目前都处于搁置状态,但并非永久性解决。她还分析了纽约州案件中特朗普提出的驳回动议,以及可能的判决结果。此外,她还讨论了特朗普面临的民事责任,以及最高法院关于总统豁免权的裁决可能对特朗普第二个总统任期产生的影响,以及拜登总统对赦免权的使用。 Jessica Roth:就特朗普面临的各种法律挑战,特别是最高法院关于总统豁免权的裁决,以及拜登总统对赦免权的运用,提供了详细的法律分析。她解释了司法部关于在任总统不受刑事起诉的政策,以及该政策如何影响对特朗普的联邦刑事案件的处理。她还分析了纽约州案件中特朗普提出的驳回动议,以及可能的判决结果。她详细阐述了最高法院关于总统豁免权的裁决,以及该裁决可能对特朗普第二个总统任期产生的影响,并对拜登总统对赦免权的运用,特别是赦免其子亨特·拜登的行为,提出了批评。她还讨论了特朗普可能利用其权力来对付政治对手的可能性,以及这种可能性可能带来的风险。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

What happened to Trump's federal criminal cases after his re-election?

The two most serious federal criminal cases against Trump, related to the January 6th Capitol riot and the unlawful retention of national defense information, were dismissed due to a Department of Justice policy that prohibits prosecuting a sitting president. These dismissals were without prejudice, meaning they could theoretically be revived after Trump leaves office.

What is the status of Trump's criminal case in Georgia?

The Georgia case, involving Trump and 18 other defendants, is on hold due to a pending appeal regarding the disqualification of a special prosecutor. Trump has also filed a motion to dismiss the case based on his re-election.

What is the current status of Trump's conviction in the New York case?

Trump was convicted in New York for falsifying business records related to hush money payments to Stormy Daniels. The case is now pending two motions: one arguing for dismissal due to Trump's status as president-elect, and another based on the Supreme Court's ruling on presidential immunity for official acts. The judge has yet to rule on these motions, and sentencing could be delayed until after Trump's term.

Why were Trump's federal criminal cases dismissed?

The dismissals were based on a longstanding Department of Justice policy that a sitting president cannot be prosecuted. This policy, outlined in two Office of Legal Counsel memoranda from 1973 and 2000, cites practical and constitutional reasons, including the potential distraction and stigma of criminal charges on a president's ability to govern.

Could Trump's federal criminal cases be revived after he leaves office?

Theoretically, yes, but it would be challenging. The cases were dismissed without prejudice, but prosecutors would need to overcome legal hurdles such as the statute of limitations and potential issues with the special counsel's appointment. The likelihood of reviving these cases is considered low.

What is the status of Trump's civil liability cases?

Trump faces significant civil liability, including a $355 million judgment in New York for inflating his company's assets. This case is on appeal, and Trump has not yet filed a motion to dismiss it based on his presidential status. Additionally, civil lawsuits related to the January 6th riot are ongoing, and Trump could still face accountability in these cases.

How does the Supreme Court's ruling on presidential immunity impact Trump's second term?

The Supreme Court's ruling establishes broad immunity for official acts taken by a president, making it unlikely that Trump could face criminal prosecution for actions taken while in office. However, this immunity does not extend to others who may assist him, leaving them potentially vulnerable to prosecution.

What is the likelihood of Trump facing jail time for his convictions?

The likelihood of Trump serving jail time is low, especially given his status as president-elect. The New York district attorney has not pushed for imprisonment, and any potential sentence would likely be a fine or other non-carceral punishment.

How might Trump's re-election impact his political opponents?

Trump could potentially use the Department of Justice to target political opponents, but the lack of a prosecutable crime would be a significant constraint. However, investigations could still be disruptive and costly, even if they do not result in charges.

Chapters
This chapter sets the stage, outlining the legal challenges faced by Donald Trump during his campaign and the surprising shift in public attention away from these issues. It introduces Jessica Roth, a law professor and former federal prosecutor, who will provide insights into the fate of these cases.
  • Trump faced four criminal indictments and civil liability.
  • Public attention shifted away from Trump's legal battles during the campaign.
  • The chapter introduces Jessica Roth, a law professor and former federal prosecutor, to discuss Trump's legal situation.

Shownotes Transcript

Earlier this year, as President-elect Donald Trump mounted his campaign to return to the presidency, it seemed like one of the biggest barriers to his election would be the battery of criminal and civil cases that had been filed against him. Now, as we near Trump’s inauguration day, what will happen to them?

Law professor and former federal prosecutor Jessica Roth joins the podcast to unpack the fate of the legal cases against Trump. She provides clarity on the status of the major cases, discusses the potential impact of the Supreme Court’s immunity ruling on Trump’s presidency, and examines President Joe Biden’s use of the pardon.

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices)