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cover of episode What The GOP Primary Looks Like In The Early States

What The GOP Primary Looks Like In The Early States

2023/8/21
logo of podcast FiveThirtyEight Politics

FiveThirtyEight Politics
AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
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G
Galen Druk
J
Joseph Bustos
J
Josh Rogers
K
Katie Akin
Topics
Galen Druk：本期播客讨论了共和党总统初选早期州的形势，重点关注爱荷华州、新罕布什尔州和南卡罗来纳州。全国民调显示特朗普领先，但早期州的民调结果可能有所不同。 Katie Akin：爱荷华州作为首个举行党团会议的州，对候选人来说至关重要。许多候选人，尤其是一些知名度较低的候选人，在爱荷华州投入了大量时间和资金。虽然特朗普在民调中领先，但德桑蒂斯等其他候选人的支持率也在上升。 Josh Rogers：新罕布什尔州的民调结果与全国民调结果大致一致，特朗普领先。德桑蒂斯在新罕布什尔州的活动较少，而克里斯蒂的支持率略高于爱荷华州。拉马斯瓦米的支持率正在上升，但选民对他的了解有限。 Joseph Bustos：南卡罗来纳州的民调显示特朗普领先，但第二名的竞争激烈，黑利和斯科特表现突出。由于南卡罗来纳州有两名候选人来自该州，他们拥有很高的知名度。 Katie Akin：爱荷华州的选民对全国的政治叙事非常关注。州长雷诺兹没有支持任何候选人，这与特朗普的关系紧张。德桑蒂斯在爱荷华州获得了大量支持，并与特朗普在支持者方面展开竞争。 Josh Rogers：新罕布什尔州的州议员众多，候选人获得的支持难以量化。州长苏努努公开批评特朗普，但其影响力尚不明确。 Joseph Bustos：南卡罗来纳州的广告宣传相对较少。黑利在南卡罗来纳州获得的支持有限，而斯科特获得了更多州议员的支持。

Deep Dive

Chapters
The podcast begins by setting the stage for the Republican presidential primary, highlighting the importance of the early states and the role of local reporters in understanding the ground reality.

Shownotes Transcript

Game time for the Republican presidential primary begins in earnest this week. The first debate is being held in Milwaukee on Wednesday, and it marks the beginning of a five-month countdown to the Iowa caucuses, during which there will be monthly debates, nonstop campaigning and a likely winnowing of the field.

While this may be when the nation begins to tune in, folks in the early states have been tuning in -- either by choice or because of multimillion-dollar ad spending -- for months. And so, in preparation for the months ahead, in this installment of the podcast, we take in the view from the early states.

To do that, Galen speaks with Katie Akin, politics reporter at the Des Moines Register; Josh Rogers, senior political reporter at New Hampshire Public Radio; and Joseph Bustos, politics reporter at The State in Columbia, South Carolina. They also play the second-ever installment of “Guess Which Candidate Said This!"

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