We're sunsetting PodQuest on 2025-07-28. Thank you for your support!
Export Podcast Subscriptions
cover of episode Why The GOP May Be Ready To Say Goodbye To Santos

Why The GOP May Be Ready To Say Goodbye To Santos

2023/11/27
logo of podcast FiveThirtyEight Politics

FiveThirtyEight Politics
AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
People
G
Galen Druk
J
Jeff Skelly
L
Leah Eskaranam
N
Nathaniel Rakich
Topics
Galen Druk：众议院即将就驱逐纽约州众议员乔治·桑托斯进行投票。众议院道德报告认定桑托斯利用竞选活动谋取私利。如果桑托斯被驱逐，他将成为美国历史上第六位被驱逐的众议员。 Leah Eskaranam：她认为共和党和民主党都希望桑托斯被驱逐。 Nathaniel Rakich：他认为桑托斯很可能会被驱逐，因为两党都有驱逐他的动机。桑托斯对共和党来说很尴尬，而民主党则希望有机会赢得他的席位。 Jeff Skelly：他认为共和党很可能会驱逐桑托斯，即使这意味着冒着失去席位的风险。驱逐桑托斯需要三分之二的投票支持。尽管共和党在众议院的多数席位很微弱，但足够多的共和党人可能认为桑托斯是一个有毒的人物，值得冒失去他的席位的风险来摆脱他。 Galen Druk：嘉宾们讨论了导致共和党改变对桑托斯处理方式的因素。共和党内部的权力动态变化以及对桑托斯长期负面影响的担忧促使了他们改变对桑托斯的处理方式。 Leah Eskaranam：桑托斯事件主要对纽约共和党人造成负面影响，而非共和党整体。 Jeff Skelly：美国众议院很少驱逐议员的原因是许多议员会在被驱逐前辞职。驱逐桑托斯在法律上存在争议，因为他是基于指控而非定罪被驱逐的。 Nathaniel Rakich：嘉宾们讨论了桑托斯被驱逐后其席位将如何处理以及该席位在2024年选举中翻盘的可能性。如果桑托斯在2024年7月1日前离职，将举行特别选举；如果在7月1日后离职，将举行初选。桑托斯的席位在2024年选举中翻盘的可能性存在不确定性。

Deep Dive

Chapters
The podcast discusses the potential expulsion of Rep. George Santos due to ethics violations and public opinion on his actions, analyzing the political implications for both parties.

Shownotes Transcript

The U.S. House gets back to work on Tuesday and one of its first orders of business is expected to be a vote on whether to expel Rep. George Santos of New York. A House ethics report concluded earlier this month that he “sought to fraudulently exploit every aspect of his House candidacy for his own personal financial profit.”

In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew discusses how likely Santos is to be added to the only five House expulsions in U.S. history. They also look at changing public opinion surrounding the Israel-Hamas war, after more than a month and a half of fighting. Plus, with new economic data in hand, they once again try to tackle the gap between positive developments and Americans' dismal perception of the economy.

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices)