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cover of episode Why Voters Are Down On The Economy, In Their Own Words

Why Voters Are Down On The Economy, In Their Own Words

2024/5/2
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FiveThirtyEight Politics

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一位不知名的选民
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Veronica: 认为美国经济是一团糟,通货膨胀严重,两党未能合作改善民生,低收入群体难以生存。 Claudia: 表示生活成本上升,人们在养老、子女教育和日常开支方面面临巨大压力。 一位不知名的选民:即使收入较高,仍然难以负担日常开支,需要严格控制预算。 另一位不知名的选民:认为经济问题并非决定投票的首要因素,人权、少数群体权利和社会良善更重要。 Monica Potts: 总结了焦点小组讨论结果,指出支持特朗普的选民关注经济和移民问题,并将两者联系起来;他们对移民问题的看法受到共和党宣传的影响。支持拜登的选民也关注其他问题,例如民主、个人权利和堕胎权。一位支持特朗普的IT从业者认为拜登政府的政策导致工作外包海外,这让她感到不满。选民普遍对政府向其他国家提供援助感到不满,认为政府应该优先解决国内问题。选民希望总统承认经济困境并提出解决方案,而不是只关注积极的经济数据。 Cooper Burton: 分析了算法将众议员分成三类民主党人和五类共和党人,这反映了共和党内部的分裂。算法将共和党议员分为五个类别,反映了其内部的不同派系和立场。民主党内部在刑事司法、警务和外交政策(特别是中东问题)方面存在分歧。

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For much of Joe Biden’s presidency, political observers have puzzled over a disconnect between economic indicators and consumer sentiment. Unemployment is low, growth has been persistent and inflation is receding. Yet, the vibes aren’t great.

In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, we hear from undecided voters who participated in a focus group with PerryUndem and 538's Senior Politics Reporter Monica Potts, which focused on feelings about the economy.

Later in the show, Galen speaks with 538 researcher and editor Cooper Burton about an algorithm 538 built to group House members into caucuses based on how they vote.

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