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cover of episode Dr. Aaron Friedberg on China

Dr. Aaron Friedberg on China

2022/9/24
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Breaking Battlegrounds

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Aaron Friedberg
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Carrie Pickett
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Aaron Friedberg 指出,长期以来,美国及其西方盟友错误地认为,通过经济和政治参与,可以促使中国走向自由化。这种误判源于他们低估了中国共产党的决心和残酷性,以及其不惜一切代价维护政治权力的意愿。他认为,中国共产党希望通过与西方的经济合作来刺激经济增长,以维系民众的支持,但这项策略如今已经失效。他还分析了中国经济增长放缓的原因,包括经济政策的失败、"清零"政策造成的经济混乱以及人口老龄化带来的挑战。他认为,中国经济增长放缓可能导致国内不满情绪加剧,从而增加中国对外冲突的风险,但也可能导致中国更加谨慎。他还讨论了美国需要采取的措施,包括加强国防、调整与中国的经济关系、应对意识形态竞争以及提供清晰的政治领导。Friedberg 还强调了中国在军事技术方面取得的进展,以及中国庞大的人口和科技人才储备构成的挑战。他认为,中国共产党全国代表大会上习近平可能获得第三个任期,这值得关注,因为他可能会宣布针对台湾的举措。

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Dr. Aaron Friedberg discusses the misconceptions about China's economic and political engagement with the West, highlighting the underestimation of the Chinese Communist Party's resolve.

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This week on Breaking Battlegrounds, we are joined by Dr. Aaron Friedberg, a nonresident senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and an expert on China. Later in the show, Kerry Picket of the Washington Times calls in to discuss some of the week’s biggest headlines.

Aaron L. Friedberg is a nonresident senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, where he focuses on China and US-China relations, great-power competition, and US foreign and defense policy. Concurrently, he is a professor of politics and international affairs at Princeton University, where he is codirector of the Center for International Security Studies.Dr. Friedberg serves on the US-China Economic and Security Review Commission. In addition, he is a counselor of the National Bureau of Asian Research, nonresident senior fellow at the German Marshall Fund, and president and founding board member of the Alexander Hamilton Society. From 2003 to 2005, Dr. Friedberg served as deputy assistant for national security affairs in the Office of the Vice President of the United States. After leaving government, he was appointed to the Defense Policy Board and the Secretary of State’s Advisory Committee on Democracy Promotion.Dr. Friedberg is the author, coauthor, or editor of several books, monographs, and book chapters. His books include Getting China Wrong (Polity Books, June 2022); Beyond Air-Sea Battle: The Debate over US Military Strategy in Asia(Routledge, 2014); A Contest for Supremacy: China, America, and the Struggle for Mastery in Asia (W. W. Norton & Company, 2011); In the Shadow of the Garrison State: America’s Anti-Statism and Its Cold War Grand Strategy(Princeton University Press, 2000); and The Weary Titan: Britain and the Experience of Relative Decline, 1895–1905(Princeton University Press, 1988).Dr. Friedberg has been widely published in policy journals, academic publications, and the popular press, including in Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Commentary, the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, War on the Rocks, the American Political Science Review, Asia Policy, China Economic Quarterly International, Daedalus, Harvard International Review, and Washington Quarterly.Dr. Friedberg has a PhD and AB in government from Harvard University.

Kerry Picket is a senior congressional reporter for The Washington Times and fill-in radio host at SiriusXM Patriot 125. She previously covered the hill at other DC-based outlets including the Daily Caller and the Washington Examiner. Before that, she produced news for Robin Quivers of The Howard Stern Show on SiriusXM, wrote entertainment news for MTV Radio, and worked as a production assistant at MTV.com. She appears frequently as a guest commentator on cable news programs and syndicated radio shows.

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