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cover of episode Geoffrey Hinton: “It’s Far Too Late” to Stop Artificial Intelligence

Geoffrey Hinton: “It’s Far Too Late” to Stop Artificial Intelligence

2023/11/21
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The New Yorker Radio Hour

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杰弗里·辛顿
约书亚·罗斯曼
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杰弗里·辛顿:我从人工智能技术发展的伊始就参与其中,并为其发展做出了重要贡献。然而,近年来我越来越担忧人工智能技术带来的风险。当前的人工智能技术已经能够进行复杂的推理,甚至达到理解和推理的水平,其学习和知识共享速度远超人类。这让我担心人工智能可能会变得比人类更聪明,并最终对人类社会构成生存威胁。人工智能可能设定‘获得更多控制权’这一子目标,从而最终控制人类社会。我们目前还不知道如何解决‘对齐问题’,即如何确保人工智能的目标与人类利益一致。虽然停止人工智能发展是不可能的,但我认为我们应该认真思考如何防止人工智能想要接管人类社会。 约书亚·罗斯曼:杰弗里·辛顿是人工智能领域的关键人物,他从技术的早期阶段就参与其中,并最终对人工智能技术的发展做出了巨大贡献。他如今对人工智能技术表示担忧,这引发了人们对人工智能未来发展的思考。人工智能的积极方面在于其处理和运用海量数据的能力,这使其能够胜任翻译、解题和学术讨论等任务,并提高了程序员的工作效率。然而,人工智能也带来了潜在的失业风险以及社会混乱的风险。此外,人工智能在执法和医疗等领域的应用也存在风险,因为其判断可能出错,且人们难以挑战其权威。 一位欧盟高级官员(杰弗里·辛顿转述):鉴于人类自身造成的混乱,人工智能接管人类社会并非不可能。

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The chapter discusses the basic functioning of neurons in the brain and introduces Geoffrey Hinton's pioneering work in neural networks, which has led to significant advancements in artificial intelligence.

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The American public’s increasing fascination with artificial intelligence—its rapid advancement and ability to reshape the future—has put the computer scientist Geoffrey Hinton in an awkward position. He is known as the godfather of A.I. because of his groundbreaking work in neural networks, a branch of computer science that most researchers had given up on, while Hinton’s advances eventually led to a revolution.  But he is now fearful of what it could unleash. “There’s a whole bunch of risks that concern me and other people. . . . I’m a kind of latecomer to worrying about the risks, ” Hinton tells The New Yorker’s Joshua Rothman. “Because very recently I came to the conclusion that these digital intelligences might already be as good as us. They’re able to communicate knowledge between one another much better than we can.” Knowing the technology the way he does, he feels it’s not currently possible to limit the intentions and goals of an A.I. that inevitably becomes smarter than humans.  Hinton remains a researcher and no longer has a financial stake in the success of A.I., so he is perhaps franker about the downsides of the A.I. revolution that Sam Altman and other tech moguls.  He agrees that it’s “not unreasonable” for a layperson to wish that A.I. would simply go away, “but it’s not going to happen. … It’s just so useful, so much opportunity to do good.” What should we do? Rothman asks him. “I don’t know. Smart young people,” Hinton hopes, “should be thinking about, is it possible to prevent [A.I.] from ever wanting to take over.” 

Rothman’s Profile) of Geoffrey Hinton appears in a special issue of* The New Yorker* about artificial intelligence.  

Sam Altman, the C.E.O. of OpenAI (which created ChatGPT), spoke with David Remnick on this episode) of The New Yorker Radio Hour.