President Trump's Polling Update Special
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A commentator, international social media sensation, and former Navy intelligence veteran. This is Human Events with your host, Jack Posobiec. These are screenshots of contracts that Doge found across our government. This is a DEI contract, $36,000 for U.S. citizenship and immigration services. This is a $3.4

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instituting reciprocal tariffs on countries throughout the world. Reciprocal. That means they do it to us and we do it to them. Meanwhile, U.S. wholesale prices dropped unexpectedly last month for the first time in more than a year. The producer price index, which tracks inflation before it hits consumers, fell 0.5% from March to April, and that's despite President Trump's tariffs. The president says America's relationship with the Middle East is about to change.

And the numbers are already pointing to one of the largest foreign investment halls in U.S. history. Well, ladies and gentlemen, welcome aboard today's edition of Human Events Daily. Today is May 23rd, 2025. Anno Domini, very excited. We're going to do a polling update special, Trump polling special here. We've got Rich Barris, the People's Pundit, to join us. What's up, Rich?

Hey, Jack, thanks for having me as always, brother. It's good to be here. No, this is great because, Rich, you know, it's so strange. And, you know, we've only got a couple of minutes until the first break. But, you know, the media keeps telling me, they say, oh, President Trump, you know, he's losing support, he's losing support. And then I go and I look at some of these polls and I say, wait a minute, people's pundits got him up. And then suddenly after your poll comes out, all the other polls have him taking up an insider advantage.

Hasn't coming back from this Middle East trip with a bump of like 11 points. Rich, it's true though, isn't it? His approval is actually up and none of them want to admit it.

Yeah, I mean, Jack, we're going to have to start being honest about pollsters that still have his numbers down and down significantly. They couldn't poll this guy before the election, any of them, all three of them. So why would we expect that their numbers are accurate?

now. I mean, we just, there's a handful of us who have been proven, you know, who have proven time and time and again that we can do this job, we can do it accurately, and there's just too many polls out there and not enough pollsters. The fact is, Trump was on the upswing. We put that

poll out. It was the beginning of a very clear trend. You can see Decision Desk just did a thing about it a couple hours ago. Real Clear Politics, you can see it. The trend is very clear. People were scared over the tariff mania, the tariff panic. And we got

you know, we got a very different outcome than what we were expected or told to expect would come. And, you know, it's interesting when we do our poll and we do our voter confidence index, and the only index that declined in that poll that you referenced was the current conditions index because of that fear. But the expectations for the six-month outlook and even the current jobs index all improved.

Well, that's right. One of those indexes improved. The others basically remained steady in that last ball. And that's because people aren't seeing what they were told to be on the lookout for. And the negative news did not come. Positive news came.

and Americans are smart enough to see it, Jack. We need to explain this. I keep getting into it with that guy who's the gas buddy analyst over there because he kept saying the gas prices are going to go up because of tariffs when it's just like, it just didn't happen. It just never happened. They seem to have a problem when their expectations don't match Trump reality. We'll be right back. Jack Posobiec, Richard Barris, the People's Pundit here, Human Events Daily.

Nothing will stand in our way and our golden age has just begun. This is Human Events with Jack Posobiec. Now it's time for everyone to understand what America First truly means. Welcome to the second American Revolution.

All right, folks, Jack Posobiec back here, Human Events. You're watching on Real America's Voice and listening on the Salem Radio Network. Today, we're doing a polling update special, President Trump. Folks, real quick, I gotta ask you a question. Have you seen the latest fluoride headlines in the water supply? The future of oral care isn't fluoride, it's peptides.

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And there's been this sort of media drumbeat where it's interesting where, you know, they were talking about his approval numbers, they were talking about his approval numbers, and then suddenly they stopped talking about his approval numbers. And when you go to the actual polling and it started with you and it's been this cascading effect where they have to admit, wait a minute, his poll numbers are actually going up.

I'm going to go so far as to say that they 100% manufactured the 100-day decline. Did he decline from where he was in the honeymoon period, which in our polling was anywhere between plus 12 to plus 18? Of course. He was in the stratosphere, right? And then party identification takes over again, and we go back to being polarized. But he was never, never negative the way that these media pollsters had him negative, right?

It was a respectable result to see negative two, negative one or even or plus two. That was understandable during the height of people's fears about tariffs. But even when we had him in his lowest point, which was about even, Jack, something that I pointed out during that poll, which was interesting, is that for the first... And this never happens and never has happened under Donald Trump in our entire time polling him since he became a political figure.

His favorability rating, which for folks who don't know, is how people see him, his image. Do they view him favorably? Do they like him or do they dislike him? His favorability was outpacing that low that we had measured him out for approval. And what does that mean? It means that people had some reason at that moment to say that they either were undecided or somewhat disapproved. And that's what brought that approval rating down. But

they still liked them. And they were kind of just waiting to see what happened.

And now that it didn't happen, and by it, I mean the world didn't blow up, Jack. NBC actually took down their egg tracker because eggs are not skyrocketing as they expect them to. I mean, you know exactly what I'm talking about. And by the way, there was no egg tracker or bread tracker or gas tracker when we had an actual inflation crisis under Joe Biden in the spring of 22. Nothing. Nothing.

Right. So now his approval rating is coming back up and they don't want to talk about it anymore. You know, that's exactly right. They, the egg tracker, they don't. And by the way, there was none of this inflation stuff. Whenever you put the trackers, actually rich, we should talk about this for a second. When they put the trackers up online, that's something that they that's or on, on screen, I should say in the media, that's something that they want their, their audience to get mad about. It is the, it is the red flag of,

like a matador would fly in front of a bull saying, get mad at this, get mad at this. And so COVID, remember COVID, they had the tracker that went up. So the COVID tracker was up under Trump, was never up under Biden, was never up under him.

And they had a dead body killing all these people. Trump is killing all these people, even though more people died under Biden. And so they did Iraq. They did Afghanistan. They do all these different things. They that is when the tracker goes up. You know, that's the media running a psyop.

Yeah, they did it for Afghanistan, Iraq, and then when Barack Obama took over, by the way, after George W. Bush, even though those years under Obama actually were worse than after the surge for George W. Bush, they took those trackers down. When the COVID body count tracker was going up under Donald Trump, Joe Biden, again, you just said it, you're 100% correct. There were more

deaths under Joe Biden and they took it down. I mean, this is how you, and don't think for a second, it doesn't influence people, especially people that watch their programs. Maybe, you know, maybe they go from somewhat approved to strongly disapproved because they're seeing these trackers if you were to poll someone who consumes that news coverage. But it's, I mean, that is explicit.

They have an intention there to get people angry and to try to turn people against, in this case, it's Donald Trump, but they've done it to others in the past. And again, it only works temporarily. People should understand this.

These are outrage tools. They're tactics to get you outraged, feign outrage over this for a short time. But if those things don't bear out, and of course something like the COVID or a war, it's totally different. But something like what NBC News and others do.

did with the gas prices and shelter prices. I mean, they had everything from the CPI up on that site, which they tweeted daily, daily. The egg tracker is down. The egg tracker's up. And the worst part about it is if you were actually to roll, even during the weeks when eggs, for instance, were up,

It was deeply dishonest, Jack, because they're only going back to the beginning of Trump's presidency. If they would go back to when Donald Trump handed Joe Biden the keys to the White House the first time in January 2021, they would have actually saw and their viewers would see that eggs are actually down from that time.

Rich, let me throw this one out at you then, because they kept saying that, well, Trump is underwater on the economy. They said Trump's underwater on the economy, and this is the issue because of his tariffs, because of Liberation Day. And we keep hearing this from sort of the Gasparinos of the world and these types who bought NVIDIA high and are looking at red numbers on their phone all day. They're saying, oh, people are going to get mad. People are going to get mad at these tariffs. People are going to get so mad. He's underwater on the economy. Is that true? Yeah.

Because how would that track if the economy is one of his number one topics, number one issues they support Trump on, and then also that his approvals are going up? It doesn't track. And when you look at the polls that do that, look at other issues, for instance, like immigration. The Reuters-Ipsos poll, which is one of the worst polls not only in the country, but in the world. They have Donald Trump plus two on the border.

I don't think we have ever found Donald Trump in single digits on immigration.

It's absolutely ludicrous that these people would continue polling without any scrutiny whatsoever. If they were trying to be honest, folks at home, folks listening, if they were honest and ethical after missing as much as they have missed in their profession, which no other profession is allowed to be that bad at, by the way, you would get your walking papers if you were as bad as these people at doing your job. But...

The fact that they are that bad and didn't pause, Jack, and say, what am I doing wrong? Right. They're just immediately back into the field as if they did a credible job a couple of weeks before an election. It's unbelievable. And we have to stop tolerating it. We really do. And we have to start looking at these polls for, you know, and giving them the weight they deserve, which is simply not much. Honestly, there's been.

Three to five of us, and I can name them right now, that have polled well in the Trump era. The rest of them are hot trash, and I'm not trying to be provocative or, you know, attack anybody. It's a fact. It's not an attack. It's a fact. Morning Consul is a bad poll. Reuters Ipsos is a bad poll. The New York Times is a bad poll. If you can't poll an election, you can't poll anything else.

Rich Barris spitting fire, spitting straight fire here on Human Events. This is Jack Posobiec, Real America's voice in the Salem Radio Network. Quick break, right back. Today, you know, they talk about influencers. These are influencers, and they're friends of mine. Jack Posobiec. Where's Jack? Jack, he's done a great job.

All right, Jack Posobiec, we are back. Human Events, Real America's Voice, Salem Radio Network, Hour 3 of the Charlie Kirk Show. And if you want to send us your questions, complaints, whatever else it might be in comments, 1776 at humanevents.com, 1776 at humanevents.com. Go like and subscribe to us on the podcast side, Human Events Daily, so never miss a minute of the action. We're on with Richard Barris.

the People's Pundit, doing this Trump polling update special. And Rich, here's a question that I have for you as well. And it's sort of this old adage that's out there. They say people don't vote on foreign policy. People don't vote on foreign policy. And yet President Trump's approval rating jumps after a widely seen as successful international trip. So how do you put those two

together? Are they in contention? Is there a relationship? Or is it that Americans, as it turns out, actually do care about foreign policy? I would say that there's no doubt that when it comes to voting, they vote more on economics. But there's always been a group that votes more on foreign policy and national security. This is how people need to understand it. It's nonsense that foreign policy doesn't impact approval. It is true, however.

that it tends to be more downside for presidents

Herbert Walker Bush could not be saved by the Gulf War. The economy weighed more. It's not that they didn't appreciate what he did and how quickly he brought a resolution to that conflict. He thought it would carry him over, and of course it did not. But I think what happened here with Trump is foreign policy being secondary, of course. People already concluded that the economy was not about to crash and burn. And then when he had this successful trip...

I think the media, again, they miss the story all the time. The speech in Saudi Arabia was a historic moment, a huge moment for Donald Trump. But he went out there, he brought a resolution to the Indian-Pakistani conflict. He brought in trillions of dollars of investment promises to the United States. He further isolated Iran. And he's doing what people, he's out there reinforcing Iran.

what people want him to do, and that's how they see Donald Trump as now as a peacemaker. And so it's going to be a net benefit for him. I do think that foreign policy can hurt you more than it can help you. I think that's really clear. But to say that it has no bearing on approval rating is ridiculous.

And just to tell you, Jack, for years, separate approval on issues will ask pollsters for decades going all the way back to Gallup. They'll ask general approval rating, but then they will also ask what approval on three key issues. And they have always been the economy, foreign policy and immigration.

The economy, foreign policy, and immigration. Wow. Funny how I've always said that those are the three issues that are three legs of the stool of the new right. Those are the three verticals. Those are what makes Trump different from every other Republican.

Republican candidate out there, president out there, figure out there. That's what made this movement be this movement and made it not be the Jeb Bush presidency or something. If you focus solely on those issues, you will succeed. You will be successful.

as a candidate, by the way, it is very politically advantageous to focus on these issues. And it's amazing how ideologically captured the Republican Party was and in large part still is

on so many issues, whether it be special interests or whether it be simply just really folks just not understanding where the political lines are. This is what people want. People want populist nationalism. They want all of this. And the Republican Party wants to move forward. Then they can either pick up on it or they could just forget about it and completely walk away. But, Rich, what it really comes down to is

These are issues like like Maha, by the way, that Trump has stolen from the Democrats. Yes, was a Democrat issue. Getting out of wars was a Democrat issue. And then the Democrats went in and Obama did more wars anyway. You know, getting getting trade protectionism. These were all Democrat issues. And it's like Trump free speech even used to be a Democrat issue, with the exception, I guess, of like Tipper Gore. But it's it's it's amazing to me, Rich, that these issues,

These establishment conservatives just don't get it. One minute till the break.

Yeah, they're living in another, I would say, another decade, but it's not even another decade. It's another century. And the sooner that they are phased out of the Republican Party, the better, because this is the way forward. You say they stole them from Democrats, and I think Trump would say this was the Republican Party before the Bushes and the neocons co-opted it, right?

Even Reagan himself used to say America first once in a while and not once in a while, quite a bit of the campaign trail. He sure did. Ronald Reagan's favorite newspaper at the time was a little paper called Human Events. And this is Human Events Daily, human events dot com. We're on with Jack Posobiec and Rich Barris. Quick break. Right back. And Jack, where's Jack? Where's Jack?

Where is he? Jack, I want to see you. Great job, Jack. Thank you. What a job you do. You know, we have an incredible thing. We're always talking about the fake news and the bad, but we have guys, and these are the guys who should be getting policies. All right, Jack Posobiec, here we are back. Live Human Events Daily, Real America's Voice, and the Salem Radio Network. Folks, listen up, because...

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That's just come out from Catalyst. It's an election retrospective, retrospective, if you will. But it's amazing because finally this group Catalyst is going back and admitting what people like you and I were saying throughout all of 2024. What's amazing, though, is the fact at least they're finally admitting it. Rich, walk us through some of the top lines of this report.

So there are a couple really big ones. And what's interesting is this is the third of its kind. We also get the Harvard co-op study and we get, of course, the census report, right? And there's a few biggies. One is, and this is what you and I have talked about, it's a complete fall off of

of democratic support among working class voters, something like the author of Liberal Patriots blog and the emerging democratic majority that was a bible for the Democrats in the first part of this century. Rui Teixeira and

uh, John Judas, they had argued, uh, that Democrats could maintain this coalition if they kept a share of the working class. And that was a big part of that, which everyone forgot in the Trump era. And especially in this election, he was basically one of very few people who agreed with us that their major problem was actually going to come from non-white working class voters that Trump and Republic, well, Trump for sure, uh,

but Republicans in general have been doing so well among white working class voters, we can only expect the remaining share of working class overall that are moving to them to come from, especially in the battleground states, which turned out not to be true, it was everywhere.

but to come from black voters and Hispanic voters. And that absolutely happened. You can see Kamala Harris actually did worse with Hispanic men. She did worse with Hispanic women than Hillary Clinton did. When they basically did roughly the same with white working class, Clinton did a little bit better than Harris did. But nonetheless, I mean, it's a continuing collapse of the Democratic...

vote support among working class voters. Obama himself got 40% of the white working class. Those days are gone. They are mired in the thirties and Trump crushed her with this group. And it included not just white working class. And this is what is so, so important. Everyone at home has got to listen to this. The media hyper-focuses on

not just on women, but white educated voters overall and college educated voters that have been trending to Democrats, especially suburban women that are educated. They hyper focus on this Jack when they are a smaller share of the electorate, especially in the battleground state. 65% of Michigan, for instance, is, is a non-college over 60% in the state of Pennsylvania is non-college. 65% in Georgia is non-college.

non-college. And that was one of the ones that, of course, we targeted when we looked at how this would play out, because it seemed in a lot of these battleground states, Trump was doing exceptionally well with non-white, non-white, non-college. And this is huge because there's a piece of this where they got into the electorate that I was digging into just and not even we're not even talking about, you

Republican support, Democrat support, Trump support, Harris support. What I'm talking about is just the participation and the size and composition of the electorate itself. And I think something that the mainstream media

gives a huge, just an absolute misunderstanding of, just on education, as you just mentioned. They say, well, they want you to think that non-college voters are this small group that doesn't really matter and they were totally focused on over-educated urban elites, when in reality, oh, look, the non-college composition of the electorate in 2024 was 59%

That means the vast majority of the electorate in this country is non-college voters. And yet those are the same voters who particularly, I was going to say it, particularly if they're white, get completely written off by mainstream media. They're the, you know, the butt of every joke on TV or sitcoms and commercials. They're, you know, treated as like, you know, some kind of like,

backwards hillbilly types and whatever you see them in media or something like that, when in reality, they are actually, they're vastly outnumbering the rest of the country. Rich, you also see that in this support system,

by education level from those people to now has cratered, absolutely cratered. From 2012, it was about, non-college support was at 51% for Democrats. That was under Obama's second term, Barack Obama's. Then with Trump, it goes down to 49%. Then with Biden, it goes down to 48%. And now it's down at 45%. So you're looking at 11%.

point gap there and i would also uh bring up that of course that's all non-college right because that the white working class um is you know used to be the old target of the media during these little the you know how they phrased it in political discourse now that there are large and significant percentages of hispanic and black non-college voters are

also now having sharing more in common with non-college whites and voting with them, voting the same values, voting for the same policy. They are now also getting thrown into the, they're just backward club, right? Because that's how they've reacted to this.

And I have been arguing for a long time. Another big finding in this report, and I've showed this chart on your show from our own polling, is that how they reacted to people like you and I stating that this would happen, and among non-whites as well, how they reacted to it was unbelievable, as if we were telling people a fairy tale or something. When you go and look at this study,

It 100% confirms the chart that we showed once on your show, which was polling going back to 2016 since Donald Trump became a political candidate. You could see this did not happen overnight. This is how trends work. He chipped away a little bit at a time at the share of the black vote that supported Democrats. He chipped away at the share of the Hispanic vote that supported Democrats. And now fast forward,

almost 10 years from that moment, from when he first came on the stage, what we started to see this time is the beginning of what is known as the cascading effect, which is when trends start small, but they're consistent. And then there's like a floodgate that opens and it just cascades. And then everybody's left wondering, how did this happen? In truth, not only should they not have reacted skeptically to what we were saying before the election, they should have expected

And when you look at this study and look at the column charts side by side, Jack, it's a trend. It just was a larger, more pronounced movement this time because that's what happens toward the end of trend lines. And I think when it, especially when it comes to black voting,

You look by age and it tells age and gender, both genders move towards Trump. But it really, you can, you really see that trend and what is going on when you look at age. And I think what's happening is that social pressure and stigma that came along with the civil rights mindset, you know, movement is fading now. You know, if you're 45 years old or below and

and you're a black voter in this country, there is no reason why anyone should expect you to care any less about the economy or the state of the country or your own financial situation any less than a white voter who lives in the Ohio Valley.

You are totally at this point disconnected almost from the civil rights era. You just are. That's why when we look at this, we can very clearly see the older you are in the black voting electorate, the older you are, the more Democrat you are.

the stronger your loyalties are to the Democratic Party. When we get to 30 and below, there's no loyalty to the Democratic Party anymore, Jack. It's wide open. And this is why, I mean, this is one reason why it is so important if Republicans want to be competitive and want to be a national, even dominant political force in this country, they have to continue the Trump movement. And that's it. There's no way back. There is no way back.

They will not even be a viable political force. They've lost their educated white base that they once upon a time had. And by the way, that's another, I mean, I'm jumping points here, but it is, I got to get this in before the end of the segment. This prediction that there was going to be another massive exodus of white voters away from Donald Trump that was college educated did not happen.

did not happen. So that's important because in political coalitions, you're usually giving and taking. I'm going to do better with non-college voters, and I'm even going to start to bring non-whites into the fold, and they're going to become part of my coalition. Typically, that will result in the loss of the opposite part of that coalition.

uh, that demographic, which here would be college educated whites. But in truth, as you can clearly see with this study, didn't happen. Didn't happen. Trump did better with everybody, brother, Asians, native Americans, uh, Pacific Islanders, Hispanics, men, women, doesn't matter. He just did better with everybody. And it's, there is no argument. To your point on age and just a minute till the break here, but you know, it's,

It's like the millennials getting older, the baby boomers retiring more, silent generation is, they're receding from the scene and we wish them well. It's just that, look, if you were someone who was a diehard Obama voter, guess what? You are older now and you're starting to see that family formation, elder millennials, Gen Y are finally buying houses and starting to,

starting families and they're getting to the point where they realize, wait a minute, you know, I view the world a little bit differently now. I'm less idealistic and more focused on issues that affect me directly, my bottom line and my family. Like, oh, I don't know, safety and security, law and order, what's going on in the schools, all of these things.

are direct impacts. And guess what? That is borne out in the electorate as millennials become the most right-wing group in America, and particularly those elder Gen Y subset of the cohort. Be right back here on Real America's Voice and the Salem Radio Network. Back to you, Richard Paris. ♪

Jack is a great guy. He's written a fantastic book. Everybody's talking about it. Go get it. And he's been my friend right from the beginning of this whole beautiful event. And we're going to turn it around and make our country great again. Amen. At Turning Point USA, what we are doing every single day is we are dedicating ourselves and our staff and our students for a full revival of America.

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All right, folks, Jack Posobiec. We're back here. Real America's Voice, the Salem Radio Network. We're on with Richard Barris. This is the Trump polling update special that we're running today. Rich, we've been going through this report of the electorate and what Trump has been able to do and put these

put these pieces together to form what I'm just going to say it, what politically speaking, this is a winning coalition. This is a coalition, obviously, which won the election, which won the national vote, national popular vote, and of course, swept seven out of seven of the swing states, including Nevada, which was a state that a lot of people thought was out of reach for Republicans for the longest time.

It's a winning coalition, and yet, Rich, Donald Trump is currently term-limited out. So the question is, can Republicans use this to go to the future and continue to win elections?

Well, there's a lot of soul searching and a lot of primarying that's going to have to happen because, as you know, Jack, one of Donald Trump's biggest adversaries for his agenda are elected Republicans in the United States Congress who run as something that they are not. Right.

But at this point, this is a winning coalition that could be in its infancy of development. And if they got on board and they got their act together, it could be the beginning of a Roosevelt-like coalition that is dominant for 30 years, Jack. I mean, the discussion or the debate at this point is over. And it's unfortunate because only special interest and money is the only thing that's clouding the outcome of this debate. There is no good argument for

for any of them to make anymore. And by them, I mean the establishment as to which direction this party should go. During the break, we were just talking about, look at John Duarte, Central Valley. It's such a key area to explain these numbers, all right? It's California shifted dramatically to the right, even though...

In recent years, it became so democratic because of immigration. It was once the state of Nixon, once the state of Reagan, and it was unwinnable for Republicans. Donald Trump won John Duarte's district in Congressional 13, while Duarte lost. And Duarte was your very textbook Ukraine first, military industrial complex, special interest Republican, and he went down in flames. Mike Garcia, another one.

All trailed Trump, right? Mike Rogers in Michigan, he went down because he didn't do as well with non-whites as Donald Trump did. White working class was pretty much on par for Mike Rogers. It was that other element of this coalition that is right now Trump exclusive. And I mean, again, there's got to be some soul searching that's got to go on. Some of this...

change or this evolution into the new party should come from soul searching because people should do the right and smart thing. But the other part of this is there's got to be a lot of primary going on. And it's unfortunate, but that has to happen. These guys got to go, Jack. They have to go. They represent an old wing of the party. I mean, Rich, you know what's funny is I kind of,

I kind of have to say, you know, I get what David Hogg is saying about primarying safe candidates. And it's, you've got to, from our perspective, we've got to MAGA-ify the Republican Party. If you want to win the House and, well, excuse me, maintain the House in the 2026 midterms, rather than sit there and say, oh, we're going to do the same old, same old, it's you've got to get these people involved.

Make the party more popular generally, and then that will help you in the contested races. It's so simple. Rich, what an incredible special. We are just out of time. Where could people go to follow you and get more of these incredible insights? We're everywhere, but the best place, Jack, is on Locals. Peoplespundent.locals.com. Peoplespundent.locals.com.

peoplespunditlocals.com. Folks, this is the, this report, and I would encourage everyone to go read this, but also I want to tell you, Rich,

If they didn't want to waste all the time reading the report now, they could have just listened to us beforehand, right? Amen. Amen. And amazing the level of adversarial scrutiny that people like us came under when we were just simply trying to tell people this.

Yeah, you take folks and they're believing the Ann Seltzers and the morning consults and all the nonsense, the Ipsos that's out of there. And these are like four-letter words to Rich. I'm triggering his PTSD right now by bringing it all up. But it's a joke. It's an absolute joke. Rich Barris, you're...

You're doing the Lord's work, man. God bless you. And God bless everyone out there. This is Jack Bosobic, Human Events Daily. Again, 1776 at humanevents.com, 1776 at humanevents.com. Ladies and gentlemen, as always, you have my permission.