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cover of episode PDB Situation Report | June 28th, 2025: How Israeli Intelligence Crushed Iran & Trump’s Global Power Test

PDB Situation Report | June 28th, 2025: How Israeli Intelligence Crushed Iran & Trump’s Global Power Test

2025/6/28
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Mike Baker: 作为主持人，我认为以色列情报部门在伊朗战争中发挥了关键作用。摩萨德通过多年的情报工作，在伊朗内部建立了广泛的合作网络，为以色列提供了关键优势，包括绘制防空地图、识别核科学家和追踪高级指挥官。此外，摩萨德还在伊朗境内建立了秘密无人机基地，并通过走私方式将无人机组件运入，使得以色列能够发动精确打击，迅速瘫痪伊朗的防空系统并摧毁关键目标。我希望了解嘉宾对此次袭击成功的看法，特别是关于摧毁伊朗核计划和弹道导弹能力的双重目标。 Oded Elam: 作为前摩萨德官员，我认为评估伊朗核设施的破坏程度非常困难，因为炸弹深入地下，爆炸引发了小型地震，难以通过航拍照片进行评估。需要情报和进入设施内部的途径才能准确评估破坏程度，伊朗自己也未能完全掌握情况。不过，以色列拥有非常精确和优秀的情报来源，不仅来自航拍照片，还来自地面行动，因此我相信以色列情报部门对破坏程度的评估。离心机非常脆弱，难以承受外部压力，更换损坏的离心机需要很长时间，因此这次内部打击肯定会对该项目造成相当大的损害。目前重要的是监测和监督伊朗的每一步行动，并做出积极反应，不允许他们重建基础设施或使用浓缩铀。我希望达成一项涵盖所有层面的协议，而不仅仅是某些核要素。只要美国人在现场监督，我不在乎伊朗是否将铀浓缩到2.6%，这可以被视为对政权的一种让步，但必须极其谨慎地监测，并纳入消除该政权对以色列和世界威胁的总体战略。

Deep Dive

Chapters
This chapter analyzes the significant role of Israeli intelligence in the recent war with Iran. It explores Mossad's covert operations, including the strategic placement of informants and the use of drones, and the impact these operations had on the outcome of the conflict.
  • Mossad's extensive intelligence network within Iran provided crucial information.
  • Covert drone operations played a pivotal role in the war's outcome.
  • The precision of the strikes suggests highly effective intelligence gathering.

Shownotes Transcript

In this episode of The PDB Situation Report:

 

  • The war between Israel and Iran is over—but behind the scenes, it was Israel’s intelligence services that helped deliver the decisive edge. Former Mossad official Oded Ailam joins us to explain how Israeli espionage shaped the outcome.

  • While the weapons of war grabbed headlines, the end of the conflict came through diplomacy, pressure, and negotiation. Stephen Yates from The Heritage Foundation breaks down how the Trump administration ended the war—and what that reveals about America’s global power today.

 

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