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cover of episode Perplexity’s Fourth Funding Round + Lessons From Boeing in Long-Term Thinking

Perplexity’s Fourth Funding Round + Lessons From Boeing in Long-Term Thinking

2024/10/28
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Prof G Markets

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E
Ed
参与金融播客,分析和讨论金融市场趋势和变化。
S
Scott
通过积极的储蓄和房地产投资,实现早期退休并成为财务独立运动的领袖。
Topics
Scott: 美国现有房屋销售额创下2010年以来新低,主要原因是供应不足,需要政府补贴刺激房屋建设和放宽住房许可限制。特斯拉第三季度业绩良好,但估值仍然过高。麦当劳E. coli疫情事件投资者反应强烈,但媒体关注度可能不会持续。波音公司工人罢工,工人们有足够的议价能力,罢工最终可能对公司有利。Perplexity AI 品牌定位清晰,是真正的谷歌搜索引擎竞争对手,其当前估值可能被低估。 Ed: 尽管房价与收入比处于历史高位,但考虑到抵押贷款利率,目前的住房承受能力与20世纪80年代中期相似。特斯拉业绩增长的关键在于高利润产品的销售占比增加,而非单纯的营收增长。SHEIN上半年利润下降70%,营收增长放缓至23%,但与其他快时尚品牌相比,其增长速度仍然较快,但存在道德风险。波音公司工人罢工的主要症结在于传统养老金计划的恢复问题,传统养老金计划在现代商业环境中已不再适用。Perplexity AI 主要与谷歌竞争,而谷歌拥有强大的资金实力和领先的搜索产品,Perplexity AI 一年内进行四轮融资,表明其增长迅速,但同时也意味着其支出巨大,这在人工智能领域的军备竞赛中可能是一个风险。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why are Boeing workers on strike?

Main sticking point is the difference between a traditional pension plan and an individual retirement plan.

Why is Boeing's stock a potential buy despite recent losses?

Boeing has a $500 billion backlog, is in a duopoly, and has strong brand and customer relationships.

Why is Perplexity AI raising funds for the fourth time this year?

They are in an arms race with other AI companies, requiring significant spending on compute and staffing.

Why is Ed not bullish on Perplexity AI?

Perplexity is competing with Google, which has massive capital and is the dominant search engine.

Why is Tesla's stock price rising despite slower growth?

Tesla's revenue mix includes higher margin products like storage batteries and services, improving margins.

Why is McDonald's stock affected by the E. coli outbreak?

Investors are concerned about potential long-term impact, though food industry outbreaks are common.

Why is Shein's growth decelerating?

Profit declined 70% in the first half of the year, and revenue growth slowed to 23%.

Why is housing sales in the US declining?

High home prices relative to income and supply issues are making housing less attractive.

Why is Ed optimistic about Shein despite ethical concerns?

Shein is growing 23%, which is faster than competitors like Amazon, Zara, and H&M.

Why is Scott bullish on Boeing despite recent issues?

Boeing is in a duopoly, has a large backlog, and is essential for global commerce.

Chapters
The discussion focuses on the decline in existing home sales and potential solutions, including government subsidies and regulatory changes to boost housing supply.
  • Existing home sales are at their lowest level since 2010.
  • Housing affordability is a significant issue, with home prices relative to income being historically high.
  • Government subsidies and regulatory changes are proposed to stimulate housing construction.

Shownotes Transcript

Scott and Ed open the show by discussing the decline in existing home sales, Tesla’s earnings, the McDonald’s E. coli outbreak, and Shein’s deceleration in growth in the first half of the year. Then Scott explains down why he thinks, despite the disappointing earnings, Boeing could be a buy. He and Ed also discuss why the pension plan is the biggest sticking point in negotiations for the striking workers. Finally, they break down Perplexity’s latest funding round and Ed explains why he’s not so bullish on the company. 

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