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cover of episode Predictions for 2025

Predictions for 2025

2025/1/6
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Prof G Markets

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通过积极的储蓄和房地产投资,实现早期退休并成为财务独立运动的领袖。
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Scott: 我预测2025年OpenAI和英伟达将形成新的双头垄断,它们在AI领域的影响力甚至超过了之前的Wintel。未来AI将催生大量围绕特定应用的独角兽公司,这些应用基于GPU和大型语言模型构建,并专注于特定领域,例如金融科技、法律科技等。 此外,核能将成为2025年的关键技术,因为AI的快速发展对能源的需求巨大。新兴市场将在未来5-10年跑赢美国市场,因为资金流向正在发生逆转。YouTube将成为2025年领先的流媒体视频平台,其强大的广告支持模式和用户互动性使其具有竞争优势。播客将在2025年快速增长,尤其是在政治领域,其影响力将日益增强。Shein将成为2025年最成功的IPO,其轻资产模式和高效的供应链管理使其具有显著的竞争优势。2025年并购活动将大幅增加,历史上最大的私有化收购也将发生。全球范围内将出现更多禁止手机和社交媒体的现象。男性应该承担更多责任,去指导和帮助年轻男性。睾酮将成为2025年的关键化学物质,因为这与年轻男性群体的不满情绪和政治转向有关。 Ed: 我同意Scott关于OpenAI和英伟达双头垄断的观点,并补充说,Spotify正在学习YouTube的成功经验,注重用户互动和参与度。关于核能投资,建议关注那些为核电站提供材料和服务的公司。对于新兴市场投资,建议选择多元化的基金或ETF,而不是押注个股。YouTube的评论区是其成功的关键因素之一,它促进了用户互动和参与度。播客的增长潜力巨大,尤其是在政治领域,其影响力将日益增强。Shein的成功在于其轻资产模式和高效的供应链管理。并购活动将会增加,一些大型公司可能会被私有化。关于禁止手机和社交媒体,我认为这是一个积极的趋势,可以改善青少年的身心健康。

Deep Dive

Chapters
This chapter explores the emerging duopoly between OpenAI and NVIDIA in the AI sector, comparing their dominance to that of Wintel. It discusses the potential for numerous niche AI applications built on their technologies, creating new unicorns in various sectors.
  • OpenAI and NVIDIA control 88-90% of AI traffic and queries.
  • New AI applications will be built on their infrastructure, creating niche market opportunities.
  • The rise of "services as software" as the next iteration of SaaS.

Shownotes Transcript

Scott shares his predictions for the year ahead, including his picks for the top investment, technology, and media platform of 2025. He also forecasts what could become the standout IPO of the year. And for the first time ever, Scott ventures into uncharted territory with his prediction for the "chemical of the year."

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