We're sunsetting PodQuest on 2025-07-28. Thank you for your support!
Export Podcast Subscriptions
cover of episode Why Chaos Has Become an Economic Strategy — ft. Kyla Scanlon

Why Chaos Has Become an Economic Strategy — ft. Kyla Scanlon

2025/2/20
logo of podcast Prof G Markets

Prof G Markets

AI Deep Dive Transcript
People
K
Kyla Scanlon
主持人
专注于电动车和能源领域的播客主持人和内容创作者。
Topics
主持人: Shein的估值暴跌主要源于特朗普政府可能取消的"免税额"政策,该政策是Shein商业模式的基石。如果该政策被取消,Shein的业务将受到严重打击,IPO也可能面临延期。此外,韩国暂时封禁DeepSeek应用,是因为该应用存在严重的隐私和安全问题,其数据存储在中国政府的服务器上,这引发了韩国政府的担忧。最后,阿根廷总统米莱推广的LibraCoin加密货币项目涉嫌"拉高出货"骗局,给其声誉造成严重损害,也引发了市场动荡。 Kyla Scanlon: 当前美国政治经济环境中存在"FAFOnomics"(瞎搞经济学)现象,政府行动迅速但缺乏必要的制衡,引发了广泛的不确定性。"FAFOnomics"指的是一种"瞎搞然后发现结果"的策略,即通过制造混乱来测试系统的承受能力。人们对现有制度的信任度下降,以及社交媒体的传播效应,导致了"FAFOnomics"策略的盛行。"氛围效应"指的是人们对经济的感受与实际经济数据之间的脱节,这在一定程度上体现在了选举结果中。但一些结构性问题(如住房成本)依然存在。衡量经济状况不能仅仅依赖GDP等宏观指标,还应关注住房、医疗等民生问题。Z世代对经济的主要担忧是就业市场的不确定性,以及人工智能技术带来的冲击。面对经济环境的剧烈变化,Z世代需要具备适应性,并调整对职业和生活的预期。Z世代可以被分为三类:Z世代1.0(疫情前高中毕业)、Z世代1.5(疫情期间高中或大学)、Z世代2.0(疫情后高中毕业),他们与数字现实的关系各不相同。社交媒体既是工具,也可能带来负面影响,Z世代需要谨慎对待。老一代人对Z世代的误解在于,他们低估了Z世代所处的经济环境与以往的不同,以及由此导致的Z世代对工作激励的不同反应。对Z世代的职业建议是:保持适应性,追求自己热爱的事业,并做好风险管理。

Deep Dive

Shownotes Transcript

Translations:
中文

It's time to review the highlights. I'm joined by my co-anchor, Snoop. Hey, what up, dog? Snoop, number one, has to be getting iPhone 16 with Apple Intelligence at T-Mobile. Yeah, you should hustle down at T-Mobile like a dog chasing a squirrel, chasing a nut. Number two, at T-Mobile, families can switch and save 20% on plans plus streaming services versus the other big guys.

Thumbtack presents the ins and outs of caring for your home. Out. Indecision. Overthinking. Second-guessing every choice you make. In. Plans and guides that make it easy to get home projects done.

Out. Beige. On beige. On beige. In. Knowing what to do, when to do it, and who to hire. Start caring for your home with confidence. Download Thumbtack today. Save on Cox Internet when you add Cox Mobile. And get fiber-powered internet at home and unbeatable 5G reliability on the go. So whether you're playing a game at home. Yes, cool. Or attending one live. Cool.

You can do more without spending more. Learn how to save at Cox.com slash internet. Cox Internet is connected to the premises via coaxial cable. Cox Mobile runs on the network with unbeatable 5G reliability as measured by UCLA LLC in the U.S. to age 2023. Results may vary, not an endorsement of the restrictions apply. 977, no me diga no, me lo que siente.

Welcome to Prof G Markets. Scott is out this week. I believe he is in Switzerland or Austria or somewhere. He's skiing. He's not with us.

He's slacking. That's basically what's happening. So I'm filling in this week. I'm speaking with Kyla Scanlon, the author of In This Economy, How Money and Markets Really Work. And we'll be talking about the economics of our generation, which is Gen Z. But before we get into the show, just a reminder, Scott and I will be recording a live episode of Prof G Markets from the Vox Media Podcast stage at South by Southwest on March 10th. We had an incredible time last year. I was just...

by the feedback and also just how many of you showed up. It was incredible for us. But we need to make this year even bigger. So we hope you will attend. If you want more info on how to go to the recording, go to voxmedia.com slash SXSW. That's voxmedia.com slash SXSW. And with that, let us get into the headlines. Now it's the time to fly.

I hope you have plenty of the wherewithal. She and shareholders are urging the company to slash its valuation to around $30 billion. That's down significantly from its peak of $100 billion in 2022. According to those familiar with the matter, some shareholders believe the valuation cut is necessary to get the IPO over the finish line. South Korea has temporarily blocked new downloads of DeepSeek over privacy concerns.

Regulators said the app will be reinstated on Apple and Google App Stores once DeepSeat complies with the country's personal data protection laws. And finally, Argentina's President Javier Millay is facing lawsuits and potential impeachment after promoting a meme coin on X. The coin briefly soared to a $4 billion market value, only to crash within hours of its launch.

The coin's creators are accused of a rug pull scheme where developers launch and promote a token and then cash out as its value peaks. Okay, so let's start with Shein. Shein is down to $30 billion reportedly valuation. The first thing I can tell you about this, Scott Galloway is not going to be happy.

As many of you probably know, Scott is an investor in Shein. I actually don't know how much he invested. I also don't know what the terms were on his investment. I don't know what the valuation was. And we will find out. We'll make sure we ask him when he comes back. What I do know, though, is that the last time Shein was valued, it was worth $66 billion.

And the year before that, it was worth $100 billion. So we're now looking at a $30 billion IPO. That is a 70% decline in less than three years. This is not good news for Sheehan. Now, why is this actually happening? We've heard a lot of people say that it's market conditions, there's supply chain issues, there's issues with the logistics on the IPO. Maybe that's true. But I think most of this is a distraction from the real issue, which is Donald Trump.

and more specifically, Trump's suspension of this tax law that we've talked about known as the de minimis provision. American consumers will soon see the effects of President Trump's new tariffs on Chinese goods, especially if they shop online at discount stores like Taimou and Shein. So what is the de minimis provision? This is a rule

that we have in the US for any shipments that come into the US, if they're worth less than $800, then you don't have to pay taxes. And this was originally designed so that Americans could go on vacation and go and buy souvenirs and bring them back, and it would be duty-free. But instead what happened is we had all these foreign e-commerce companies who realized, okay, if we can make our products really cheap,

If we can make sure that every order is below $800, then we can access the U.S. economy, we can access the American consumer, and not have to pay taxes. And so that is why in the past decade, the total value of de minimis shipments in the U.S. has gone from $40 million to $40 billion. And more than 30% of those shipments come from two companies, and those companies are Timu, which you've probably heard of, and yes, Shein.

So in other words, this tax law is the backbone of Xi'an's business model. So Trump has threatened to end this. He knows how important this tax exemption is to China. He knows how important it is to Chinese companies. And if he does end it, it would likely ruin Xi'an's business. So this has always been one of my problems with Xi'an as an investment, is that their key differentiator isn't any form of technological innovation,

Their differentiator is their willingness to exploit a loophole in the US tax code. Now, as we know, exploiting tax loopholes is a great business model until it isn't, until something in the tax code changes. And that's exactly what's happened here. This loophole on which this entire business was built is now under threat.

And until we have clarity on what will happen to the de minimis provision, I don't think this company can go public because we simply can't know what the business is going to look like. So Scott, if you're listening to this right now, I think it's going to be a long time until this company actually IPOs. It was supposed to IPO this April. That was the goal. It's now looking like it's going to be delayed a lot longer. And if I had to put my money on it,

my bet would be that an IPO is probably going to come in 2026. But maybe I'm wrong, and let me know if you think so, and you can always hold me to account. Now let's talk about what's happening with DeepSeek.

in South Korea. So South Korea has temporarily blocked new downloads of DeepSeek. We don't know if this ban is going to last longer. I think this is the right move from South Korea. And I'm honestly surprised it didn't happen sooner. The reality with DeepSeek is, yes, it's cheap. Yes, it uses fewer chips. Yes, its reasoning capabilities are highly advanced. But it is also unbelievably insecure.

as a technology. It's one of the most compromised technologies we've ever seen. Its encryption is the weakest in the industry. It is, according to research, four times more vulnerable to hacks than ChatGPT. We've already had multiple data leaks, and Wiz has published some pretty concerning research on this too. And on top of all of that, their data is stored in the servers of the Chinese government, and DeepSeek has openly said this.

So if you're a nation like South Korea that has even a slightly frosty relationship with China, there's practically no reason you shouldn't ban this. It really isn't worth the risk. There really isn't any upside in hosting a Chinese chat GBT that threatens the privacy and security of your citizens. And by the way, OpenAI's chat GBT is banned in China.

So South Korea is one of the first countries to do this. I think in the next couple months, we're going to start to see a torrent of other countries banning deep-seek. And I think the first country we could probably expect this from is America. You know, if Trump wants to go through with this whole reciprocity thing, then deep-seek is...

probably the best place to start. And in fact, we are starting to see some state legislation that is banning DeepSeek on government devices. So Greg Abbott in Texas, he issued a ban. Kathy Hochul in New York, she issued a ban. And so did Glenn Youngkin in Virginia. So to me, this is sort of a no-brainer. I cannot see any meaningful upside in keeping this app around. But perhaps I'm missing something.

And if I am, let me know in the comments and we can have that debate. But as of now, the stance for me is quite simple. Deep-seek is not worth this risk. South Korea has got this right. Deep-seek should be banned.

And finally, let's talk about what happened with President Javier Millet, the president of Argentina. This story is honestly insane to me. Let's just start with the timeline of what actually happened. So on Friday,

a website was launched promoting this project called the Viva La Libertad project. And the mission was, quote, to boost the Argentine economy by funding small projects and local businesses. Now, exactly how this would be accomplished was not clear. It wasn't really mentioned anywhere. And in conjunction with that project, there was a cryptocurrency that launched called Libra or LibraCoin. And just a side note, LibraCoin,

It was launched on this platform called FixFloat, which notably does not ask for any personal identification. Everyone is anonymous, and it is most commonly used for scamming and rug pulling. So it's a very shady start to begin with. None of this really mattered, though, until half an hour later,

The president of Argentina, Javier Millay, tweeted out the news of Libra and LibraCoin, and he directed his 4 million followers on where they could go online and buy the token. And within 45 minutes, the market cap of Libra went from virtually nothing to...

to $4.5 billion. Now, to put that in context, that would make Libra, this cryptocurrency, the ninth most valuable company in Argentina. Within an hour, $1.5 billion worth of Libra coin was transacted between buyers and sellers.

Then, all of a sudden, the early investors started to sell, and the value of Libra plummeted. And after one hour, Libra had lost 70% of its value, until eventually President Milley deleted his tweets, and he apologized for what happened. He said, quote, I was not informed of the fine details of the project, and after learning, I decided not to continue spreading it. But by that time, the damage had already been done.

75% of the investors lost money. And according to the on-chain data, many lost up to $10,000, some lost up to $100,000. So the financial damage here is once again just enormous. And the winners, of course, there are always winners with these crypto tokens.

The winners were the developers of Libra, who sold at exactly the right time. Many of them made millions, and one of them netted almost $9 million in profit. So I think what we have here is the same dynamic we had with TrumpCoin, where the power of a presidency, in this case Argentina's presidency, was abused.

to essentially trick people into wiring their money to a handful of anonymous individuals with no financial protection, no recourse. And it's unlikely that these people will ever see their money back. I doubt it will ever happen.

And this is exactly why I personally don't like crypto. I think it's one of the most useless and the most destructive technologies of our time. And when you put it in the hands of the wrong people, they can levy extreme damage on a lot of people who don't really know what's happening. And I think that's what happened here, probably. I don't think this was a malicious operation by President Milley. I don't think he was behind the scenes orchestrating this. I mean, he deleted the tweet, right?

He eventually expressed regret. I think the most likely scenario is that he got tricked. And that's a shame because so far, Milley has actually done quite a good job. He's brought inflation way down. He's brought wages way up. He's expanded the Argentine economy. I was with Argentinians this weekend, and they were huge fans of President Milley. He's doing everything he really should be doing.

But now that this has happened, this is a huge hit to his credibility because it basically means one of two things. Either he's a scammer himself, which I don't believe, but it's possible, or he's easily duped by scammers.

And neither of those things reflect very well on him or on Argentina. It's a massive sign of weakness. And so what happened as soon as the markets opened, the Argentinian stock index fell 6%. And this is exactly the kind of thing that rattles investors. So it's now being investigated in the courts. We'll soon find out what actually happened and what he actually knew about this Libra coin. But what is clear is that this is going to be a very long road to recovery.

And this is certainly the lowest point so far in the Javier Millet presidency. We'll be right back after the break for our conversation with Kyla Scanlon. If you're enjoying the show so far, be sure to give Profiteer Markets a follow wherever you get your podcasts.

Support for the show comes from Public.com. All right. And if you're serious about investing, you need to know about Public.com. That's where you can invest in everything, stocks, options, bonds, and more. They even offer some of the highest yields in the industry, including the bond account, 6% or higher yield that remains locked in, even if the Fed cuts rates. With Public, you can get the tools you need to make informed investment decisions. They're built-in AI tools called Alpha, which are used to make informed investment decisions.

It doesn't just tell you if an asset is moving, it tells you why the asset is moving so you can actually understand what's driving your portfolio performance. Public is a FINRA-registered, SIPC-insured, U.S.-based company with a customer support team that actually cares. Bottom line?

Your investments deserve a platform that takes them as seriously as you do. Fund your account in five minutes or less at public.com slash prop G and get up to $10,000 when you transfer your old portfolio. That's public.com slash prop G. Paid for by Public Investing, all investing involves the risk of loss, including loss of principal, brokered services for U.S. listed registered securities, options, and bonds, and a self-directed account are offered by Public Investing, Inc.,

Member FINRA and SIPC. Complete disclosures available at public.com slash disclosures. I should also disclose I am an investor in public. Support for the show comes from ZBiotics. I love a good cocktail, but I could do without feeling like garbage the next morning. That's where ZBiotics comes in. ZBiotics pre-alcohol probiotic drink is the world's first genetically engineered probiotic. It was invented by PhD scientists to tackle rough mornings after drinking.

And according to ZBiotics, here's how it works. When you drink, alcohol gets converted into a toxic byproduct in the gut. It's this byproduct, not dehydration, that's to blame for your rough next day. Pre-alcohol produces an enzyme to break this byproduct down. Just remember to make pre-alcohol your first drink of the night. Drink responsibly and you'll feel your best tomorrow. This is the part of the ad where I'm supposed to talk about my personal experience. I have used...

Z Biotics and I have found that the next morning I feel less bad. I'm also trying to cut down my alcohol consumption because obviously that's the best thing to do to feel less bad the next morning, but I'm also using Z Biotics. Go to zbiotics.com slash Prof G to learn more and get 15% off your first order when you use Prof G at checkout. Z Biotics is backed with 100% money guarantee. So if you're unsatisfied for any reason, they'll refund your money. No questions asked.

Remember to head to zbiotics.com slash PropG and use the code PropG at checkout for 15% off.

Support for Profiteer Markets comes from Pilot. If you're a Delaware C-Corp, March 1st is the deadline to pay the Delaware Franchise Tax. If you haven't calculated your Delaware Franchise Tax bill yet, know that it could look really high at first. But don't have a heart attack when you see your initial amount owed. This is a rite of passage for startup founders. You likely only owe $450 plus $400 per $1 million in assets you have.

and the folks at Pilot will prepare this filing for you for free so you can get a few hours back this tax season. Pilot.com is the largest startup accounting firm in the US and their team of accounting and finance experts are always looking for ways to simplify how you run your business, like prepping this filing, which is free. Let them take care of your Delaware franchise tax filing so you can stay focused on growing your business and your customers'

satisfaction. Remember, if you're a Delaware C Corp, you have to do this by March 1st, regardless of whether or not you've generated any revenue or profit. Go to pilot.com slash profg and they'll take care of this for you for free. No subscription required. That's pilot.com slash profg.

Welcome back. Here's our conversation with Kyla Scanlon, financial writer, video creator, podcaster, and author of In This Economy, How Money and Markets Really Work. Kyla, thank you very much for joining us once again on Profiteer Markets. Thanks for having me. So we're exactly one month into the Trump presidency. A lot has happened. We've had tariffs,

Doge, we've had drama with Greenland. I mean, the list kind of goes on. I guess, what has stood out to you so far and what have been kind of your main takeaways from this presidency so far?

I think the main thing that I've taken away is there's kind of this element of faffonomics is sort of what I'm calling it, where people are like really effing around and really finding out in a very big way. Like that's what you see with Doge, with some of these maybe hasty firings and then the subsequent rehirings that have to happen, like with nuclear safety workers. So I think what we're seeing is just an administration that's moving pretty fast and

And moving without maybe any acknowledgement of potential guardrails and just kind of a gutting happening at the federal level is...

at a pace that we really have never seen before. And I think a lot of people are a bit worried about what that could mean. A lot of people are excited because they want to see debt levels go down. But I think the underlying worry then is, well, if you got the government from the inside out and have to rebuild it, it could be quite expensive. So I think right now everybody has more questions than answers. There's tremendous amounts of uncertainty and you can really just feel that percolating. Yeah.

Yeah, you mentioned that term, "thaphonomics," which I've read about and which I love. Could you just spell out exactly what that means for us? Well, it means "eff around" and "find out." So the idea is chaos is just a strategy, right? And so you're just gonna

sort of go full steam ahead and see what you can unplug and then see what stops working once you unplug it and then maybe figure out a way to plug it back in. And so that's the general strategy is just effing around. And that's a very crude, introductive way to say it, but it maybe is a decent summary. Yeah, chaos as a strategy is

about right to me. Why do you think we have reached that point? Why do you think people are attracted to this chaos as a strategy system that we seem to be reverting to right now? I think that there's a lot of

distrust in institutions. And so you see things like the Spring 2024 Harvard Youth Public Opinion Poll where they asked young people, you know, what institutions do you trust in? And trust in all institutions except for United Nations was down by double digit percent.

You know, trust in the media, trust in the White House, trust in Congress. And so I think you have this base of people who just don't trust in the possibility of things getting done. And so that drives, you know, actions like Doge is able to take, like people support that because it's like, well, nothing else seems like it's working. And so you have that lack of trust. And then you have

the echo chambers that can be created by social media, where people are hearing that, you know, this sort of strategy is the best way to approach it. There's a lot of misinformation flying around right now, like with social security payments and an understanding of what nuclear safety workers do.

So I think it's that, like there's this lack of belief and that's all compounded by the systems that we engage in every single day, you know, the algorithms perhaps perpetuating that even more. One of the big themes you talk a lot about is this idea of the vibe session. A lot of people love that term. And basically what that

means is this disconnect between the reality of the economy versus the way people feel about the economy. And it was very relevant last year when you had low consumer sentiment, but at the same time, the economic data was actually quite strong. I'd just be interested to hear what you think about where we are today. Do you think we are still

in a vibe session? Is there still a disconnect between how people feel about the economy versus how the economy actually is going right now? Or do you think we've kind of come to our senses? I mean,

I mean, I think the big thing with the vibe session is we did see and I wrote about this in my newsletter, like we did see aspects of the vibe session show up in the electoral data. Like part of the reason that people voted for Trump is because they were like, I'm sick of this economy. I'm really tired. Like, I just wish somebody would make it easier to afford a house.

And that's so valid. Part of the vibe session is the data might not be telling the whole story. Aspects of structural affordability like housing and childcare and eldercare are very important and they impact people's lives and they're extraordinarily expensive.

And so with the Bob session itself, at least right now, those things are still extraordinarily expensive. And we also saw, of course, a partisan flip and sentiment like Republicans are now feeling quite good about the economy. Democrats are feeling quite bad. This happens pretty much every election cycle.

And we haven't seen things really take impact on the economy yet. Like now that so many workers have been fired and we could have inflationary pressure due to tariffs, that could create a bad economic environment where it's totally valid to have maybe negative consumer sentiment. But

The whole goal with the Vibesession story is to really talk about what data are we using to measure the economy? Like, is it the right data? And so in that capacity, like, who knows if we're still in one or not. But I think that the sentiment has always been a bit strange to measure. What would you say are the most important pieces of data that we should be looking at? I mean, I feel like

When we say, oh, the economy is doing well, oftentimes we're saying GDP is expanding or inflation has come down. But then you look at the price of houses and the fact that none of our generation is even close to being able to afford a home.

And perhaps that's what we should be looking at. Like, what do you think is most important when it comes to measuring or taking our temperature as a nation and checking in? How well are we doing? This is a good question, too. The American Academy of Arts and Sciences has a new paper that they released last year called The Core Score. And I worked a little bit to develop some videos around it. But the whole idea is like, how do we measure economic well-being? And it's looking at things like housing. It's

I think that sort of stuff is...

important because it gets beyond just GDP, which is like consumer spending and things like that just outweighs. And I think if we can sort of get a little bit more granular in how people are actually experiencing the economy, which is what the core score and nonpartisan effort tries to do, that's a better way to actually figure out what's happening and how people are feeling. And then we can address the problems a little bit more head on

Like clearly housing is a massive, massive problem. You don't need the core score to tell you that. But then the question becomes, well, how do we build more housing? And I think that's also a measure of economic success. Like not just how the economy is performing, but what are we doing in the future to like make it perform even better? Things like building more housing, having more access to healthcare and education, et cetera. People are very interested in Gen Z all of a sudden it feels. I mean, they really want to know how we think

probably because we're now entering the workforce and suddenly we're all a bit more relevant. I'd like to get your view. How do you think Gen Z feels about the economy right now? What do you think is most top of mind for our generation? So I have been on the road traveling for the past eight months talking about my book, and I've

I have had the opportunity to talk to a lot of young people across 25 different states about how they're feeling about the economy. And I think the main thing that I'm hearing is people are really concerned about the labor market. Like when you talk to kids and students, not kids, in college, a lot of the times it's...

you know it's like well i'm getting all of these skills but when i graduate like this could be a totally useless degree like look what happened with software engineering which was supposed to be this really safe way to go and so you see a lot of young people going into the trades like wall street journal had this article called gen z is the tool belt generation and where i'm from in kentucky like you're seeing this massive move towards the trades um

And so I think that is how young people are feeling about the economy, as they're not sure what their place is in it anymore. They're not sure where they fit.

partially because, you know, the growth of AI, partially because we are seeing some dismantling of the government and there's uncertainty about what jobs are going to be left there as well. And then you also have, and I know you all talk about this a lot on the podcast, but like you have these get rich quick schemes that work like meme coins. And so when you look at these two things, like you have maybe the ROI on a college education isn't significantly

it doesn't seem as powerful as it once was. And then you have the ability to make a ton of money on what is, you know, essentially could be called a scam. It's super confusing. And so I think that's what young people are really dealing with is the world is rapidly changing and the world is always changing, but like, it feels like it's changing really fast right now. Yeah. Just some stats we could point to here. I mean, the cost of college is just gotten out of control and just the

For my grandparents, the annual cost of college was 13% of their income. For our generation, it's 43%. And if you look at housing, the average cost of a home for my grandparents' generation was three times their annual income. For us, it's seven times. So it does just feel as if Gen Z is a lot poorer than our parents and certainly their parents are.

What do you think our generation can do about this? I mean, how are we supposed to navigate a world where we've been told, you know, these are the rules of the game, and then suddenly we go out into the world and the rules appear to be completely different and completely irrelevant and certainly not applicable to the lives that our parents led? What do we do about that?

Yeah, I'm working on this piece right now, trying to iron out those details. And I think the thing is, you can have a middle path. There's sort of this barbell effect where you have people going into the trades and being like, I just hope this works. And there's so much value in that. And then you have

people who are going after the meme coins, cryptocurrency, trading, etc. And I think there's a middle path where you can use AI to enhance your job, use it to enhance your career, figure out where things are. Things aren't going to change that quickly. But I think what will be required over the next couple of months, and this is what I've said at the universities that I've been able to

speak to, is you have to be adaptable. Like you have to learn new tools really quickly. You have to be on top of all the new technology that's coming out so you can figure out how to integrate it into the work that you're doing now or be prepared for when that job might change or shift. Vice President J.D. Vance said that he hopes that...

their plan is that AI will be a compliment, not a replacement. So at least at the federal level, that seems to be the goal is like not to have AI replace people. But, you know, I think people just have to be prepared for all possible outcomes and being adaptable, being ready, being a learner and not a learned person is key. Yeah, it's very like soapboxy, but that's

where I've landed. Yeah. Do you have thoughts on that? Like as a person who's also navigating the economy? Yeah, I think where you're also headed is you have to completely adjust your expectations. And I think one of the big problems for our generation is that from being online all the time, our expectations have been completely nuked about what we can actually expect professionally and in our lives. This survey that I just saw, which I just found

They asked all these different generations what they thought a successful income is. And I just want to read you these stats here. So for baby boomers, the baby boomers believe that a successful income is on average $100,000. For Gen X, it is $212,000.

For millennials, it is $180,000. And for Gen Z, it's $588,000. That's what we believe success is. And this just tells me that, I mean, it tells me that something is broken in our brains, certainly about how we think about money. I'd love to get your take on, you know, what do you think is broken? And, you know, maybe to what extent is this a function of the fact that we have lived through

the majority of our lives, pretty much our entire lives online. So I saw that survey too and I think the main thing for me was like the cost of a house. Like if you ever want to own a home, like it really is, it's so expensive, especially in city centers where I think a lot of young people either have to live or want to live for work. And so I think that's part of what we're seeing there. But then there's also

And this is more speculative, but there is a lack of kind of a social safety net in the U.S. now more so than ever. Like there is worries that Social Security will be there won't be enough. So people are paying into a system that they might not benefit from. And so I think the idea is like there has to be that extra income now, because if you fall, you're falling so far and falling so flat.

And I think people can really feel that, especially young people. We saw the government step up like during the pandemic when people weren't able to work and there was unemployment. But then all those things were rolled back as well. And I think that's the other thing is like we have seen the government provide and this was during Biden's era and then stop all of that. And so I think young people just really feel that.

quite this early. And also the path to prosperity, it's not as straightforward as it once was. Not that the boomers path was incredibly clear, but there was an idea that you would have a pretty predictable return on education. You'd have a predictable path to buying a house, a predictable time in the labor market. Of course, they dealt with stagflation and mega high interest rates

But there was more predictable wealth progression where I think for young people, it's like, well, if I don't get in on the, you know, Argentinian meme coin, who knows what could happen. We'll be right back. And if you're enjoying the show so far, hit follow and leave us a review on Crofty Markets. Support for this show comes from Oracle.

Even if you think it's a bit overhyped, AI is suddenly everywhere. From self-driving cars to molecular medicine to business efficiency. If it's not in your industry yet, it's coming. Fast. But AI needs a lot of speed and computing power. So how do you compete without costs spiraling out of control? Time to upgrade to the next generation of the cloud. Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, or OCI.

OCI is a blazing fast and secure platform for your infrastructure, database, application development, plus all your AI and machine learning workloads. OCI costs 50% less for compute and 80% less for networking, so you're saving a pile of money. Thousands of businesses have already upgraded to OCI, including Vodafone, Thomson Reuters, and Suno AI.

Right now, Oracle is offering to cut your current cloud bill in half if you move to OCI. For new U.S. customers with minimum financial commitment, offer ends March 31st. See if your company qualifies for this special offer at oracle.com slash vox. That's oracle.com slash vox.

This episode is brought to you by Nerds Gummy Clusters, the sweet treat that always elevates the vibe. With a sweet gummy surrounded with tangy, crunchy Nerds, every bite of Nerds Gummy Clusters brings you a whole new world of flavor. Whether it's game night, on the way to a concert, or kicking back with your crew, unleash your senses with Nerds Gummy Clusters.

When you need mealtime inspiration, it's worth shopping Fries for thousands of appetizing ingredients that inspire countless mouth-watering meals. And no matter what tasty choice you make, you'll enjoy our everyday low prices. Plus, extra ways to save, like digital coupons worth over $600 each week and up to $1 off per gallon at the pump with points. So you can get big flavors and big savings. Fries, fresh for everyone. Fuel restrictions apply.

We're back with Prof G Markets. You've also said that Gen Z can be broken up into three groups, which I found interesting. You said each one having, quote, a differing relationship to digital reality. What are these three groups in Gen Z, in your view, and how do they behave differently?

Yeah, so there was a woman named Rachel Gianfasa posted a graphic on Twitter talking about Gen Z 1.0 and Gen Z 2.0. And then Derek Thompson of The Atlantic just published an article talking about Generation C, this like subsegment of Generation Z, which is conservative. And so Gen Z 1.0 and Gen Z 2.0 is kind of like the pre and post COVID. So Rachel has it broken up. You graduated high school pre-COVID and Gen Z 2.0, you graduated high school post-COVID.

And when I read this graphic, I was like, well, I think there's actually three where there's the Gen Z 1.0, which I'm a part of, like I'm an old Gen Z. And so I remember a world that was analog, like my first phone was a flip phone. And then there's the Gen Z 1.5, which is the COVID cohort.

you know, they're really formative years were shaped by COVID. For me as a bridge generation, I graduated from college into the pandemic. So a little bit of a different experience than being in high school or college during the pandemic. And then there's the Gen Z 2.0s, which are the digital natives. They have never known a world without smartphones. And

the digital infrastructure is basically reality, right? Like it's not a second layer, it's the full reality. And so that's kind of the way that I'm thinking about it. And they have all had massively different experiences with digital realities and massively different development experiences too. And that's just shaped how they think about the world, how they think about their economic opportunity and how they think about society at large.

Yeah, it's almost varying degrees of how online each generation is. And we are becoming increasingly extremely online, which is the technical term for it. And there's also in that term an implication that if you're extremely online, you have a tendency to overemphasize the importance of the digital world. Or you see everything through the digital world and it sort of distorts your perspective.

But, you know, I'm curious from your perspective as someone who has kind of built a career online and achieved a lot of success from posting on TikTok, from posting on social media, which has led to all these all of these other opportunities online.

How important do you think is it that we take digital seriously? Is this something that everyone our age needs to be thinking about? Do we all need to be getting out there on social media and living our lives online? Or do you think it's breaking us and causing us too much of a distraction?

I think it's both. Like, I always say that I'm a hypocrite because whenever I talk about social media, I try to talk about it from both angles. Like, I think of it as a tool. Like, the fact that I'm able to talk about economics to, you know, hundreds of thousands of people every day, like, that's using social media as a tool. And it's reaching people that maybe wouldn't have had access to economics education before.

wherever they're living. And so I think social media is a tool number one, but then I definitely think it can shape us for the worse. The problem with algorithms is they really like rage and they really like anger and that's just what does well because a lot of people respond and then everyone's yelling and it's kind of counterproductive.

And so I think that's what I worry about with social media is it just it does fuel the rage and it fuels the anger. And a lot of people way smarter than I have written about this and have documented this. Like we are angry and we are lost and we are confused, partially because it is so easy to go get lost inside of an algorithm. And so I am a hypocrite.

But I think there's a lot of power to social media. Like, I've learned a lot just from connecting with people. I have all of this opportunity because it exists. And I think I hopefully am doing good work to try and help people understand what's going on economically. But there's absolutely a bad side to it. And that bad side, if...

the incentives are misaligned, which you could argue that they are right now, can be very, very bad indeed. I mean, you get a lot of feedback from being online in a way that I think other financial media personalities probably don't. What are some of the main concerns that people have, either maybe on your YouTube channel or on your social media? What do you think are the main things that young people are thinking about

right now and how are they responding to your content? A lot of the DMs I get are young people trying to position themselves. They're like, well, should I try and buy a house now and then be okay in the future? How should I think about my job?

How should I think about my education? How should I think about inflation? And so I think a lot of people are trying to contextualize what's happening to the economy, to their real life. So I get a lot of questions about things like that and try to talk people through that as much as I can. And so that's what I've noticed is like there really is this

beautiful, like genuine curiosity from people to understand the system that we live in better. I think it's kind of a, I think it's a total tragedy. I don't think it's kind of a tragedy that we don't teach economics, considering that it's all something that we have to live in every single day. And so I think most people are just trying to sift through the noise to figure out where the signal is.

What would your advice be for someone in that situation? I mean, you're 27 years old, you've written a book, you've been featured in Bloomberg and the New York Times and all of these other publications. You've kind of

done it all at a very young age what would be your advice your career advice to any young people listening to this podcast right now yeah I mean I think the career advice is what I was talking about earlier like being adaptable and then trying to do something that you love like people say don't let your passions be your job and Scott's guilty yeah I know

Yeah. No offense to Scott, but I do. I actually think we talked about that when I was on the podcast last. But I don't know. I just like I think that if there's something that you really care about and you would like it's sort of a regret minimization framework.

There's something that you really want to do and there's something you really want to try. Make sure it's stable for you to try it. When I first started out, I made a total mistake where I had zero safety net and I just was like, I'm going to try doing social media, which was not smart. And luckily, I was able to sort it out. But there's smarter ways and more risk minimization ways to approach it. But that's what I would say is try to implement

regret minimization? Would you regret not trying this thing? Is there a way to try this thing safely? What do you actually care about seeing in the world at the end of the day? There's also totally a world where a job is a job and maybe that job helps you pursue your passions on the side and the passions aren't the main focus. And so I think it's just figuring out where your own personal risk tolerance is, what you want to focus on on the day-to-day,

And there's no wrong answer. It's just, do you have the framework in place to pursue what you want to pursue? What do you think is the greatest misconception that older generations have about Gen Z, about our generation? What are we like that people don't seem to recognize?

I get asked this a lot too because that's the goal. It's like everybody just kind of wants to understand what everyone else is thinking about most of the time. And so I think for the older generation, they're like, I just don't really know how to communicate to younger people. Like, I feel like I'm not getting through to them. I feel like they're not listening. I get a lot of people telling me that the younger generation doesn't work hard enough, that they're always distracted.

They're pretty lazy. And I think what's tough about that is it really is a carrot and stick kind of problem. I think there has to be incentives in place for younger people to work hard. It isn't as simple as maybe it was when other people, boomers maybe, were starting out where it was like, I'm going to stay at this company for 40 years. I have a sick pension. It's going to be amazing. The incentive model is different.

And so you have to create those incentives internally for people to have that same passion at work. So much easier said than done. But I think that's the main thing that people tend to miss out is like young people are just living in a vastly different economic system. And so they're going to respond very differently to workplace incentives because it doesn't feel the same.

Kyla Scanlon is the founder of a financial education company, Bread, and a creator. She writes a weekly newsletter, makes YouTube videos, hosts the Let's Appreciate podcast, and posts almost daily short-form videos about the economy and markets. Her first book, In This Economy, How Money and Markets Really Work, is available now. Thank you very much, Kyla. This was really fun. Thanks for having me.

This episode was produced by Claire Miller and engineered by Benjamin Spencer. Our associate producer is Alison Weiss. Mia Silverio is our research lead. Isabella Kinsel is our research associate. Drew Burrows is our technical director. And Catherine Dillon is our executive producer. Thank you for listening to Prof G Markets from the Vox Media Podcast Network. If you liked what you heard, give us a follow and join us for a fresh take on markets on Monday. I've time and in my mind

I'm a flower.