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cover of episode Why MicroStrategy Bought $40 Billion Worth of Bitcoin — ft. Michael Saylor

Why MicroStrategy Bought $40 Billion Worth of Bitcoin — ft. Michael Saylor

2024/12/5
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Prof G Markets

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Ed
参与金融播客,分析和讨论金融市场趋势和变化。
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Michael Saylor
领导微策略公司大规模投资比特币,推动公司股票表现突出。
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Scott
通过积极的储蓄和房地产投资,实现早期退休并成为财务独立运动的领袖。
Topics
Michael Saylor:MicroStrategy最初投资比特币是出于无奈和对公司未来发展方向的迷茫,旨在避免公司破产。随后,MicroStrategy将比特币视为一项具有高增长潜力的投资,并将其视为公司转型的重要举措。MicroStrategy将比特币视为公司战略资产,并计划通过发行证券来进一步发展。MicroStrategy现在是一家专注于比特币的金融公司,而不是软件公司。MicroStrategy能够以0%的利率借款,是因为其高波动性和高流动性的股票能够吸引可转换债券投资者。MicroStrategy通过发行可转换债券来筹集资金,这些债券的隐含利率并非为零,而是由套利交易者获得的无风险收益决定。MicroStrategy的投资周期比传统公司短得多,因为它可以快速地进行投资和获利。比特币是独特的,因为它既是商品又是稀缺资产,这使得MicroStrategy的策略成为可能。MicroStrategy发行的债券的安全性依赖于比特币的价值,而非MicroStrategy的核心业务现金流。MicroStrategy业务面临的最大风险是比特币的灭绝风险。即使比特币价格大幅下跌,MicroStrategy的核心业务也能为债券提供支持。MicroStrategy通过出售波动性来降低风险,并从比特币价格波动中获利。比特币的价值在于其自身的特性,以及它对人们生活的影响。比特币是世界上最有趣的资产,因为它具有独特的特性和广泛的应用。比特币的价值不仅在于价格上涨,还在于其作为一种实用工具和价值储存手段的特性。比特币的波动性是其吸引力的来源,也是其价值增长的驱动力。Michael Saylor的未来目标是将比特币推广到全球80亿人口。Michael Saylor认为比特币是一种优于传统公司的去中心化协议,具有促进经济发展的潜力。Michael Saylor认为比特币代表着清洁的货币,可以改善人类生活。Michael Saylor认为比特币可以改善公司、国家和家庭的经济状况。 Scott:英特尔CEO帕特·盖尔辛格被解雇是合理的,因为他任职期间公司业绩下滑严重。2024年美国上市公司CEO被解雇人数创历史新高,这与疫情期间的经济刺激政策和随后的经济下行有关。CEO被解雇人数增加是由于疫情期间经济刺激政策造成的股价虚高,以及随后股价下跌导致的股东不满。特斯拉股东就马斯克的巨额薪酬方案的投票结果无关紧要,因为法官已经裁定该方案不公平。法官干预公司薪酬决定属于政府过度干预。健康的资本主义社会需要公平的税收制度来重新分配财富。高收入者应该缴纳更高的替代性最低税,以促进社会公平。 Ed:盖尔辛格作为英特尔CEO的表现非常糟糕,公司业绩大幅下滑,亏损巨大,裁员严重。金砖国家(BRICS)是一个由多个国家组成的联盟,曾讨论过创建自身货币的可能性。特朗普威胁对金砖国家实施高额关税,是由于担心金砖国家创建替代美元的货币。美元作为全球储备货币的地位很重要,因为它允许美国追踪资金流动并实施制裁。比特币是对美元地位的最大威胁,因为它代表了一种去中心化和抗通胀的货币体系。历史上所有法币最终都失败了,因为短期政治压力导致过度印钞和通胀。德拉瓦州法官认为马斯克的薪酬方案不公平,并有权撤销该方案,而股东是否充分知情并不重要。任何个人都不应该拥有如此巨额的财富,这不利于社会健康发展。解决财富不平等问题的途径是税收政策,而不是限制薪酬。Michael Saylor的观点存在投机性,其成功依赖于比特币持续保持吸引力。Michael Saylor对比特币的价值判断存在主观性,其论证缺乏说服力。Ed对比特币持谨慎态度,并指出其负面影响。Ed赞扬Michael Saylor的勇气和冒险精神。Scott建议投资者进行多元化投资,以降低风险。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why did MicroStrategy pivot from a business intelligence firm to a Bitcoin treasury company?

MicroStrategy pivoted due to desperation and frustration with their cash reserves generating zero percent interest and the company not growing. They saw Bitcoin as a growing asset with a 60% annual growth rate, resembling a de-facto monopoly, and decided to transform their business model.

How did MicroStrategy raise capital for its Bitcoin investments?

MicroStrategy raised capital through convertible bond markets, issuing bonds at zero percent interest and later at 6% interest. They also raised equity through the capital markets, leveraging their high-volatility stock to attract investors.

What is MicroStrategy's strategy for managing Bitcoin volatility?

MicroStrategy sells volatility by issuing convertible bonds and capturing spreads. They also generate interest by holding Bitcoin and selling call options, making money even if Bitcoin's price declines.

Why does Michael Saylor believe Bitcoin is the most interesting asset in the world?

Saylor believes Bitcoin is the most interesting asset because it is the hardest money in history, representing property rights and economic security for billions. It is a global, real-time asset that changes value every second, making it financially engaging for millions.

What advice does Michael Saylor give regarding investing in Bitcoin?

Saylor advises diversifying investments and not putting more than 20-25% of one's wealth into Bitcoin if under 45, and no more than 10% if over 45. He emphasizes the importance of gradual investment to mitigate risk and enjoy the potential rewards without excessive anxiety.

Chapters
The discussion revolves around the resignation of Intel's CEO, Pat Gelsinger, and the implications for the company's future, including potential privatization and the role of major shareholders.
  • Intel's revenue declined by 30% under Pat Gelsinger.
  • The company's stock value has decreased by 60% during his tenure.
  • Major shareholders control a significant portion of Intel's voting power.

Shownotes Transcript

Scott and Ed open the show by discussing the resignation of Intel’s CEO, Trump’s tariff threat to the BRICS nations, and a Delaware judge’s decision to reaffirm her ruling against Elon Musk’s $50 billion pay package. Then Michael Saylor, the founder and executive chairman of MicroStrategy, joins the show to discuss why MicroStrategy went all in on Bitcoin and how the company is securitizing the cryptocurrency. He explains why MicroStrategy pivoted from a business intelligence firm to a Bitcoin treasury company. Finally, he addresses the risk of that strategy, and why he’s confident in Bitcoin’s ability to stay interesting. 

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