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cover of episode DOUBLE BILL: When a Plague Struck World of Warcraft/Blood on the Tracks

DOUBLE BILL: When a Plague Struck World of Warcraft/Blood on the Tracks

2023/1/6
logo of podcast Cautionary Tales with Tim Harford

Cautionary Tales with Tim Harford
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Tim Harford: 本期节目讲述了两个案例：魔兽世界中的虚拟疫情和昆廷斯山铁路事故。魔兽世界“腐蚀之血”事件模拟了现实世界中的疫情传播，展现了疫情传播的迅速性和复杂性，以及玩家行为对疫情传播的影响。虽然与现实疫情有所不同，但它为流行病学研究提供了宝贵的经验教训，并引发了人们对游戏在公共卫生研究中的应用的思考。昆廷斯山铁路事故则揭示了工作实际操作与既定规章制度之间的脱节，以及忽视人为因素可能导致严重后果。信号员的违规操作、沟通不畅以及规章制度的不足，共同导致了这场惨剧。这两个案例都强调了规章制度的重要性，但也提醒我们不能忽视人为因素，需要在制定和执行规章制度时充分考虑人的行为和心理因素，才能有效地预防事故和灾难。 Tim Harford: 通过对魔兽世界虚拟疫情和昆廷斯山铁路事故的分析，我们可以看到，无论是虚拟世界还是现实世界，规章制度和人为因素的相互作用都对事件的发生和发展起着至关重要的作用。在魔兽世界中，游戏的设计者虽然试图控制“腐蚀之血”的传播，但由于未能充分考虑玩家的行为，最终导致了虚拟疫情的爆发。在昆廷斯山铁路事故中，铁路公司的规章制度虽然存在，但由于信号员的违规操作和沟通不畅，导致了严重的事故。这两个案例都说明，仅仅依靠规章制度并不能完全避免事故的发生，还需要加强对人为因素的管理和控制。此外，这两个案例也反映了在复杂系统中，意外事件的发生往往是多种因素共同作用的结果，需要我们从多角度、多层面进行分析，才能找到问题的根源，并采取有效的预防措施。

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The introduction of a virtual disease, Corrupted Blood, in World of Warcraft led to an unexpected pandemic, spreading across the game's realms and providing insights into human behavior during outbreaks.

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As a special New Year treat we're presenting two Cautionary Tales Shorts - which have previously only been available to paying Apple and Pushkin+ subscribers. 

When a Plague Struck World of Warcraft: The makers of WoW wanted to spice up the fantasy computer game by introducing a virtual disease - "Corrupted Blood". It was supposed to be a fun challenge for expert player - but the illness became a pandemic which wiped out villages, cities and then whole realms.

AND

Blood on the Tracks: The signalmen running a busy stretch of railroad on the Scottish border had to adhere to strict rules to prevent crashes - but did those regulations fail to take into account human nature? Despite all the logbooks, alarm bells, levers and regulations, the signalmen didn't seem to notice a packed troop train barrelling towards them.

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