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cover of episode Give Politicians a Raise, Smuggle Smartphones into School, and go Full Donk! Cautionary Questions with Risky Business

Give Politicians a Raise, Smuggle Smartphones into School, and go Full Donk! Cautionary Questions with Risky Business

2025/5/30
logo of podcast Cautionary Tales with Tim Harford

Cautionary Tales with Tim Harford
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People
J
Jack
与Ramsey Network或Ramsey Solutions相关的个人，具体信息不详。
M
Maria Konnikova
N
Nate Silver
T
Tim Harford
Topics
Tim Harford: 我邀请Nate Silver和Maria Konnikova来回答听众的问题，讨论包括智能手机在学校的使用、关税以及如何运用博弈论在体育运动中取胜等话题。我们希望通过结合经济学、新闻学和扑克经验，为听众提供有价值的见解。 Nate Silver: 我在风险承担和决策方面的经验主要来自实践，包括玩梦幻棒球、参与NFL博彩以及玩扑克。博弈论在我的书《On the Edge》和扑克中都扮演着重要角色，它能帮助我们理解各种竞争环境下的最优策略。在生活中，很多情况都可以用博弈论来分析，例如纽约的交通模式、饮食选择以及各种竞争环境。 Maria Konnikova: 我赞同Nate关于博弈论的观点，它是我学术生涯的顶峰之一。Danny Kahneman的心理学理论对我的决策思维影响巨大，他揭示了我们大脑处理信息时存在的偏差和启发式。即使我们理论上了解这些偏差和启发式，实际上仍然会受到它们的影响。扑克是一种生活体验，它巩固了我对这些理论的理解，并使我内化了如何在现实中应用它们，以及如何尝试做出最佳决策。扑克是一个强大的教学工具，可以帮助我们将这些理论付诸实践，因为在扑克中，我们可以正确地抽样成千上万个决策，而在现实生活中，我们永远无法正确抽样。

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Shownotes Transcript

Can game theory be used to win a world cup? Can you pay the way out of political corruption? And are there winning strategies in life we don't use because we're too embarrassed? Tim teams up with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova, poker connoisseurs and the hosts of podcast Risky Business to answer your questions, tackling everything from sports, to tariffs, to the evils of smartphones.

For a full list of sources, see the show notes at timharford.com).

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