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cover of episode Trump Announces  90-Day Tariff Pause & Drones Deliver Your Packages?

Trump Announces 90-Day Tariff Pause & Drones Deliver Your Packages?

2025/4/10
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Morning Brew Daily

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N
Neil Freiman
T
Toby Howell
播客主持人,专注于新闻分析和评论
Topics
Neil Freiman和Toby Howell: 我们讨论了特朗普暂停大多数国家关税(中国除外)的决定,以及这一决定对股市和债券市场产生的巨大影响。标准普尔500指数创下自2008年以来的最佳单日涨幅,科技巨头股票大幅上涨。然而,债券市场的动荡引发了人们对美国作为安全港地位的担忧,并可能促使特朗普暂停关税。尽管市场出现反弹,但分析师警告称,除非政府采取重大措施纠正政策,否则这种反弹可能是暂时的。高额关税仍然存在,特别是针对中国商品的关税,这可能会对经济造成持续的不确定性。 我们还分析了导致债券市场抛售的各种因素,包括杠杆化对冲基金交易、外国买家抛售以及对美国安全港地位的担忧。债券市场的动荡可能迫使特朗普暂停关税,以避免可能出现的金融危机。长期来看,美国经济增长和政策的不确定性正在削弱其作为安全港的地位,这可能会对全球金融体系产生深远的影响。美元霸权地位和美国国债避险属性也面临挑战。 总而言之,特朗普暂停关税的决定对市场产生了复杂的影响,既有积极方面,也有潜在的长期风险。市场反弹可能是暂时的,除非政府采取重大措施纠正政策,否则经济的不确定性可能会持续存在。

Deep Dive

Chapters
President Trump unexpectedly paused most tariffs, except for those on China. This decision followed turmoil in the bond market and led to significant market reactions, with major indexes surging. Economists express mixed opinions, some seeing it as temporary relief while others highlight the lasting damage to economic predictability.
  • Trump paused tariffs for 90 days, excluding China.
  • The S&P 500 saw its ninth-best day in history.
  • Economists debate the long-term effects of the pause.
  • High tariffs remain on Chinese and other imports.

Shownotes Transcript

Episode 558: Neal and Toby recap the markets’ reactions to Trump’s pause on sweeping tariffs for most countries…except for China. Then, Treasury yields are usually a safe haven when the economy is in the dumps…maybe that isn’t the case anymore. Also, this drone startup wants to beat Amazon to your doorstep. Meanwhile, Neal shares his favorite numbers from Japan’s train feat, microplastics, and The Great Gatsby. Finally, what makes the Masters golf tournament quite unique. 

00:00 - Uber’s 2025 Lost & Found Index

3:00 - Trump pauses on tariffs

8:00 - Bond market not looking good

12:00 - Look to the sky for drone packages!

18:00 - Japan’s 3D train station

20:00 - Plastics in our brain!?

22:00 - ‘The Great Gatsby’ turns 100

24:30 - The Masters is here

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