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Canada Elects the Anti-Trump

2025/4/30
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Tommy Vitor 和 Ben Rhodes:加拿大自由党的胜利是对特朗普及其政治理念的全球性反弹,显示出人们对稳定和能力的渴望。特朗普的干预加剧了加拿大国内的政治紧张,最终导致了自由党的意外胜利。在俄乌战争问题上,特朗普与泽连斯基在梵蒂冈的会面以及特朗普提出的停火协议对乌克兰极其不利,反映出特朗普缺乏有效的和平解决策略。此外,美国国防部长皮特·赫格塞思的新闻事件暴露了特朗普政府在信息安全和管理上的严重问题,以及政府内部的政治斗争。在印巴冲突方面,克什米尔地区的恐怖袭击加剧了两国之间的紧张局势,国际社会缺乏有效的调停机制。在加沙冲突中,以色列的军事行动造成严重的人道主义灾难,拜登政府对以色列的支持政策是错误的,导致了灾难性后果。 Oleksandra Matviichuk:俄乌战争具有强烈的人权维度,国际社会应关注战争对平民造成的巨大伤害,并追究战争罪行责任。国际秩序面临崩溃,需要采取果断的法律行动来追究普京等俄罗斯领导人的责任。普通民众在争取自由和维护尊严方面拥有巨大的力量,乌克兰人民的抵抗证明了这一点。乌克兰需要一个基于法治、保护人权的未来,并需要制定长期战略来应对俄罗斯的侵略。

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If you worldos are looking for another great podcast to add to your queue, consider Malcolm Gladwell's Revisionist History. This season, Gladwell and his team are investigating everything from the secret behind Thomas's English muffin's perfect nooks and crannies to why American sirens are so unbearably loud to the merits of Paw Patrol. Yes, that's right. Malcolm Gladwell defends the hit children's TV show against its harshest critics. I'm a big Revisionist History fan. I will be benching this entire series. I recommend you do too. Listen to Revisionist History wherever you get your podcasts.

Welcome back to Pod Save the World. I'm Tommy Vitor. I'm Ben Rhodes. Speaking of elbows up, are we going to get a Celtics-Knicks playoff series? We are going to get a Celtics-Knicks playoff series. It's going to be very tense here. It's not going to get chippy. It's going to get very chippy at the World Headquarters. We're going to be throwing buzz in the studio. We're both getting ahead of ourselves. We have game fives tonight, right? Yeah, but I think we got this. And I especially think you've got this. Orlando Magic's not the best team.

But good for you guys. I'm happy for New York, kind of. Yeah, because you're pretty certain that you're going to win in five or six games against us, which I would probably bet on. I love everything about living on the West Coast, especially NFL game times and starts. But unfortunately, a lot of these basketball games are like right in the middle of the hardest sort of bedtime periods with small kids. Yeah.

Today, game five. It's like 5.30 our time. It's 4.30. The next game is at 4.30. I think you're at 5.30, which is like right in the middle of pickups. So it's going to be a lot of Hulu on my phone and pockets. Yeah, and I'm like, hey, Anna, can you just do –

a two-year-old and an 11-month-old at the same time by yourself so I can watch Jason Tatum. Yeah, that doesn't work. Anyway, we got a great show for you guys today. Elbows up is, of course, a shout-out to our Canadian friends who just had a big election Monday that is being perceived as a global fuck you to Donald Trump. Fingers up.

Middle fingers up. Then we're going to turn to the latest in the war in Ukraine, including Trump's meeting with Vladimir Zelensky in the Vatican and Putin's latest cynical ceasefire proposal. Somehow, Ben, the news cycle around the disaster that is Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth is still going. Yeah.

It's shocking to me that we're all talking about this, but we'll get you guys up to speed on that. Then we'll explain why tensions between India and Pakistan are as tense as they've been in decades. The latest grim news from Gaza and an infuriating report out of Israel about the Biden administration's handling of the war. I'm going to have to do some deep breathing before we get to that part. Yeah.

And then you did our interview today. What do we got? Yes, people should... I know we always say this, but... We always mean it. Extra, please stick around for this one with Aleksandra Mudvichuk, who's a human rights lawyer and...

the head of the Center for Civil Liberties in Ukraine, and the 2022 Nobel Peace Prize winner. So she's got that. Some good credentials right there. Yes. But, you know, she gave a very raw perspective. I mean, we talk a lot about the politics of this and what politicians are saying, but this is someone who

literally documents war crimes on a regular basis, someone who's been a justice advocate. And so we talk about what's the perspective of being in Ukraine right now, where there've been increasing bombardments in Kiev, where Alexandra is, to have this kind of absurd conversation about the politics of things when you're still living through a war. And so it's a perspective that we need to bring to bear. How are Ukrainians thinking about what justice means for what's happened to them? What's the

capacity for justice in the broken international system that we're living through right now, what sustains her and keeps her going, what her vision for the future of Ukraine, what it should be. So it's very, very powerful perspective that we don't hear enough from in terms of Ukrainians on the front lines. So check it out. Did you ask her to say thank you? And was she wearing a suit?

Yeah. Well, you know, to be honest, like listen to this interview. I mean, I met, I said this guy came to your office, listen to this interview and then imagine JD Vance saying, uh, you know, did you thank us, uh, while you're listening to it and you'll, you'll,

you'll know what I'm getting at when you hear the interview. Yeah, Ben was describing to me some of the details and all I could think of was that Oval Office meeting and how embarrassing our leaders are and how embarrassing a lot of our press corps is too. And by the way, you know what was kind of heartbreaking is she did say thank you. Uh,

you know, without me even asking her for what Americans have done for Ukraine, which she did not need to do. Someone tell JD. Yeah. All right, Ben. So let's start with our buddies in Canada and everyone should check out that interview. President Trump has had a big 100 days and he can now add to the list losing a Canadian election to his list of accomplishments. So congratulations.

Golf clap to him. Former central banker Mark Carney won the Liberal Party its fourth consecutive term in office. This outcome was almost impossible to imagine back in December or January when Prime Minister Justin Trudeau started getting into serious political trouble and then resigned. At the time, the Conservative Party was ahead by as many as 25 points in some polls, but

But then Donald Trump decided to open his big, stupid mouth. He was threatening to destroy the Canadian economy with tariffs, put in place a lot of those since, and he's been threatening to make Canada the 51st state. And suddenly within Canada, a debate erupted over who can best stand up to Trump, and that became the defining issue of this election.

And the results are in. And Canadian voters have decided that not only was Conservative Party leader Pierre Polyev not the right guy to defend Canada from Trump, Polyev even lost his own seat in Parliament. So tough night for them. It's also not clear whether he's going to remain the leader of the party itself. So head spinning stuff here, Ben. This is a clip from Prime Minister Mark Carney's victory speech Monday night. As I've been warning for months, America...

wants our land, our resources, our water, our country. Never. But these are not idle threats. President Trump is trying to break us so that America can own us. That will never, that will never ever happen. When I sit down with President Trump,

It will be to discuss the future economic and security relationship between two sovereign nations. And it will be with our full knowledge that we have many, many other options than the United States to build prosperity for all Canadians. I love the dude kind of like...

calmly yelling shame. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Very Canadian. So just a couple thoughts, Ben. First of all, I mean, it is impossible to overstate how massive this comeback was for the Liberal Party and what an own goal it was for Trump. Trump could have had an ideologically compatible leader in Canada that he could work with. Instead, he has a guy who was literally elected with a mandate

to fight him. So that's his new political reality. Not a weak one like Justin Trudeau, like a freshly installed Mark Carney. Also, you and I were laughing about how, you know, you don't see a lot of pundits or pollsters talking about how the angry electorate and the kind of like populist curious countries all over the world that people are looking for some like globalist central banker with degrees from Harvard and Oxford. But that is what Canadians just voted for. Like they wanted competence and stability

and they didn't care that Mark Carney is Steve Bannon's worst nightmare. Yes, this is a huge upset result in the context of where this race stood a couple of months ago. And I mean, to unpack a couple of pieces of this, the first obvious point, as you made, is that Trump has essentially accelerated a backlash to Trumpism globally in ways that we need to continue to watch.

Canada is the obvious first place where his threats, his disrespect, his disregard for the US-Canada relationship and for Canadian sovereignty clearly led to this massive pendulum swing to Mark Carney. But it's not the last place. We've talked about the fact that Australia has an election coming up where the center-left Labour Prime Minister Albanese had been losing in polls and is now at least even if not in the lead.

By the way, very smart of Canadians and hopefully Australians, because if you want to learn something from us, don't take this risk. You know, you may not get your country back if it goes down this road. And that leads to a second point, which is that, you know, Polyev really did try to kind of tread in this Trump-lite space where, you know, they were increasingly...

You know, bombastic, xenophobic. You know, you had him trying to kind of capture the energy we saw in that kind of weird trucker anti-shutdown protest in Ottawa. You saw it in kind of increasingly right-wing media ecosystem growing up in Canada. Yeah.

And so I think voters are not dumb. They saw, wait a second, this might feel good to some of us because we're tired of globalism or we're tired of the elites or we think Justin Trudeau isn't there for too long. But it's really dangerous to go down this road, both because it could weaken us to Trump, but also because it could turn us into kind of a weaker version of Trump. And so if Trump actually doing the things that he said he wanted to do in the second term, the way that he did in the first term,

It could be the breaking point for the momentum for this kind of politics and democracies. We have to watch that. We'll see, you know. Yeah. And you're right. I mean, Mark Carney, I mean, Mark Carney did his best to tie Pierre Polyev to Trump in every way. I think they were calling him Trump-lite. They were kind of like making videos of them morphing into each other. So it really did become the defining issue. Yeah. Yeah. And now the second thing, you know, David Axelrod, our former president,

guru on the Obama campaign used to say that Americans look for the opposite person of the previous person. And so the first time he said this was in 2008 when Obama was very much an opposite of Bush, you know. But actually, if you stretch it forward, you know, Trump is kind of an opposite of Obama. Biden's kind of an opposite. It's like a pretty, pretty coherent way of looking at things.

And look, Carney is not only someone who stands up to Trump, he's the opposite of Trump. You know, a man with deep experience in international finance at the Bank of Canada and at the Bank of England, a man with experience managing crises instead of creating crises, dealing with the financial crisis in 08 in Canada, dealing with Brexit in 2015. And what we've seen is he's already kind of brushed back Trump.

You know, one of the more interesting reports I saw, Tommy, is that in the one phone call they had in which Trump came out and actually didn't disparage Carney in the same way they did Trudeau, there's a rumor that Carney threatened to dump all of America's bonds, you know, and he knows what he's doing. He's a former central banker. He knows where he's got leverage points. And we've already seen Canada, you know, sign LNG deals with China. Like, this is a man...

who isn't just talking the talk. Like, he actually knows how to kind of run circles around Trump, even with Canada being a much smaller and more vulnerable economy, even as Canada may have to absorb an enormous hit from tariffs and things that Trump's doing.

This is a guy that knows how to work the system that America created that Trump doesn't understand. Yeah, this is becoming Trump's Achilles heel. You're also seeing this with the Chinese. They know the weaknesses and pressure points. Carney also took some steps to distance himself, not just in words, but in policy from Trudeau. He got rid of their carbon tax. He basically cut the rate down to zero. Carney also pledged to get rid of Trudeau's cap gains increases.

And I think Trudeau just being off the stage was absolutely critical for Carney because he could project himself as a firm break from the previous iteration of the Liberal Party, even if it's a fourth consecutive Liberal Party term. Carney's fave, unfave numbers actually improved during the election, which is very surprising for someone who was

kind of incumbent, but you just don't often see that. Usually you just get worn down. Pierre Polly, I've ended at 40 fave, 45 unfave. Ben, I saw this in one story that at an April rally, a woman yelled, lead us big daddy at Mark Carney. So that surprised me. I,

I mean, he does kind of exude a certain paternal... Big daddy like father. Yeah, yeah, yeah. But look, in terms of what to expect, I mean, in normal times, you know, Mark Carney is your kind of, you know, hyper-qualified globalist, right? He's a man...

that, despite what he did with the carbon tax, has been focused on climate change and climate finance for a long time. He's someone who's tried to navigate ways to minimize the negative impacts of globalization while not junking the whole system.

But I think what's interesting that we'll also have to watch beyond just the backlash to Trumpism is, you know, did he actually stumble into a formula here that is different and kind of interesting where, you know, he's combining...

like a a certain form of competence and nationalism i mean because there's a lot of nationalism what he says very much and it kind of the authenticity of a technocrat you know like he comes across as a very authentic guy yeah um i actually watched a lot of these videos with him and but he's not authentically pretending to be someone else he's not like going on you know

Theo Vaughn and trying to talk about pop culture. He's authentic by talking about like banking and, you know, hockey, which he clearly likes. And, and, and so I don't know, maybe this is, this is a different formula than we've seen. You know, he is who he is. It's appealing to people.

and it doesn't fit naturally into any, it's hard to think of like what, what campaign would you compare him to that we've seen in recent years? Like it, it doesn't, it's, it's different than Keir Starmer who was just kind of like, we're going to make things normal again. Like there's a, there's a fight to Carney and obviously Trump gives him the foil, but that, that I'm,

Look, I'm not trying to raise expectations too high. He's not like some uber charismatic guy. No, what you're getting at is he was like the right political kind of makeup for the moment. He found a formula. It was not just that Trump was starting to fucking annex them. It was that we're threatening to destroy their economy and create a financial crisis via tariff. And this guy's like, hey, hand up. I was a central banker in London and Canada. I'm your guy. I'm your huckleberry. I'm your guy. Friend of the pod and new Democratic Party leader Jagmeet Singh.

Also lost his seat in a brutal night for the NDP, his party. Jagmeet Singh came on a couple of years ago. Think of them as like kind of the Bernie Sanders wing of the Democratic Party. But they went from winning 25 seats in 2021 to a projected seven seats Monday night, which I think like lowers them below a certain threshold to be officially represented in parliament. And I think what ultimately what happened is the race just became this binary question over who can best stand up to Trump.

And smaller parties like the NDP got squeezed out. I also saw some of the coverage that former Congressman Pete Hoekstra is just arrived yesterday to be U.S. ambassador to Canada, which is just very funny because that went from like kind of a cushy, you know,

donor gig. Kind of a plum job for a donor. To a real, you know, kind of a, you're going to be fighting every day in Ottawa. Elbows up, Pete. You're in hostile territory. Yeah, be careful up there. Get those elbows up. Yeah. Well, we wish them the best. We should just say we love our Canadian listeners and we're very glad that you have a sane, smart, tough prime minister. Absolutely.

Again, not perfect, but better than the alternative. Yeah, better than the alternative. Last thing I saw, Ben, that I thought would interest you in particular, the New York Times had an interesting piece a few weeks back about how Meta had blocked actual news on the Facebook and Instagram feeds in Canada.

because they did this back in 2023 because those assholes don't want to pay publishers for news. It would have cost them an estimated $44 million a year out of their $164 billion per year in revenue. So there's been this huge proliferation of,

of right-wing accounts that posts kind of either agitprop or fake news all day long. And I read about that. They may be very nervous for what the impact might be on the election. Obviously, it ended okay, but it will likely be an issue going forward. And it'll get worse. I mean, the thing is, you know, usually you're kind of at your high water political mark after you get elected. Right. Those accounts, that right-wing machine, in part because they sense that

Yeah, that this was a blow to the momentum of Trumpism. I think you're unfortunately going to see an uptick in kind of right wing garbage in Canada and in other places as well, certainly Australia. And look, it'll be interesting to see what the conservatives do in Canada, because do they out of fear that they're going to be out of step with if their prime minister is standing up to Trump? Do they want to be seen as attacking their prime minister? Right. Right.

Or did they follow the lead of the Republican Party in this country and they don't care and they just become, you know, nihilist and they're trashing him and they're lying about things and maybe they're not siding with Trump, but they're they're just trying to tear Carney down. That's an interesting political choice of the conservatives, because there's political danger in attacking your prime minister when your country is under attack.

but they kind of have some of that, you know, like right-wing DNA that like leads you in those directions. Yeah. Big, big choice for the conservative party about how to forge a path forward. Posse of the world is brought to you by Aura Frames.

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All right, Ben, so a lot has happened since we last covered the war in Ukraine, but it's still not clear if any progress was actually made. Yeah. You know, a lot of events. A lot of Marco Rubio threats. We'll get to those. He'll pick up his toys and go in the other toy room. It's very sad. So Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky met in the Vatican this past weekend where they were attending the Pope's funeral.

because of J.D. Vance, as we mentioned last week. Here's a clip of Trump talking about that conversation with Zelensky, their first conversation since that disastrous Oval Office meeting back in February, and then also Trump comments on the peace talks generally. We had a good meeting. It was a nice meeting. It was a beautiful meeting, I'll tell you. It's the nicest office I've ever seen. You know, in about two weeks, we're going to see what happens. I want to see what happens with respect to Russia.

Because Russia had been surprised and disappointed, very disappointed that they did the bombing of those places after discussions. Did President Zelensky talk to you about Crimea? Well, he did, very briefly. But Crimea was given away by Barack Hussein Obama and by Biden.

That's 11 or 12 years ago. That's a long time ago. I don't know how you can bring up Crimea. Go back to Obama. Ask him why they gave it up. They gave it up without a shot being fired, by the way. What do you want Vladimir Putin to do?

Well, I want him to stop shooting, sit down and sign a deal. Very sober, forward-looking policy there from Trump. So at the very end there, he's referring to Russia's airstrikes on Kiev last week that killed 12 people and wounded over 90. That Russian attack came just after the U.S. had proposed a deal that would recognize Crimea as Russian territory, freeze the war on current lines, and de facto recognize Russian control over major portions of the four provinces in eastern Ukraine, about 20% of their territory.

give a commitment that Ukraine will never join NATO and lift sanctions on Russia. So basically Putin's entire wishlist was offered up and he is still firing shots. Yeah. Even though Trump's real estate buddy turned emissary, Steve Witkoff has been doing the actual meetings with Putin. I think we're up to four at this point. I think usually one-on-one, usually with no actual professional staff.

Secretary of Sunday shows Marco Rubio went on Meet the Press this weekend to announce that this is a critical week for the talks. Here's a clip of Rubio. This week is going to be a really important week in which we have to make a determination about whether this is an endeavor that we want to continue to be involved in or if it's time to sort of focus on some other issues that are equally, if not more important in some cases. But we want to see it happen. There are reasons to be optimistic.

But there are reasons to be realistic, of course, as well. We're close, but we're not close enough.

Inspiring. Putin's latest demand is a three-day ceasefire from May 8th to the 11th so that this pesky little war he started doesn't interrupt Russia's World War II Victory Day celebrations. So, Ben, this is obviously a terrible deal for Ukraine, what Trump has proposed. German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius described it as one that, quote, Ukraine on its own could have gotten a year ago. It is akin to a capitulation. I cannot discern any added value. There was some recent reporting by Christopher Miller, a friend of the pod, about

Yeah.

Like, I mean, we're making fun of him, but it really is bad for your credibility, you know, seriously, to just like keep threatening to walk away from a table that you keep sitting at, you know, because then people don't- That your boss sits at. Yeah. Steve Wyckoff. Yeah, exactly. I mean, fair point. Maybe he doesn't know, but I mean this seriously. Like you can't, this is, this performative nonsense, you know, speaks to the bigger problem with their policy, which is that they don't,

the reality doesn't exist like it exists for them on Fox News. Like in reality, you can't just make the war in Ukraine stop so that you can look good on television, right? Which is what Trump seems to be interested in. Putin, if you're giving him everything he wants at the negotiating table, of course he's going to keep like pushing farther and waiting to see if you'll give him more. You know, that's not a mystery to anyone. When Trump says he's surprised that Russia is still bombing Ukraine, right?

Why is he surprised? Why are you surprised, you idiot? Anybody who knows anything about Putin, you know? So that's the first point. The second point, I found it interesting, Tommy, that Trump felt the need to have this visible meeting with Zelensky,

They released those photos, the White House did. They wanted people to see him sitting with Zelensky in serious conversation. And then he came out and said, you know, the nicest things he possibly could. He still doesn't really compliment Zelensky to Ukrainians, but he kind of indicated it was a good meeting. To me, it showed that both Trump and Zelensky

needed the appearance of that meeting for their own politics. Now, Zelensky, it's obvious why. They're worried not just about the American negotiating position. They're worried that America will walk away from the table and that America will pull military and intelligence support. And so Zelensky needs to be seen to at least be trying to maintain that American relationship. I think

it showed real vulnerability for Trump that he felt the need to have that meeting and say those things. Because I don't think he's just doing that because he decided to wake up one day and be pissed at Putin. He's known who Putin was all along. I think he's getting shit from, look, the polls, this is an 80-20 issue in this country.

I think Republicans in Congress, this is the first issue where they've been willing to really criticize themselves. You're seeing a lot of them actually start to come out and criticize the policy. He's going to need their votes and other stuff. Other world leaders, Europeans are not, like the Germans, are not budging. They're saying this is bullshit. This is a shitty deal. And that's part of what's frustrating Secretary of Shame Rubio is because he goes to meet with the Europeans and they tell him that. And so even Trump,

You know, to me, it's a sign. Don't let up. Stand up to this guy. Keep standing up to the bully and the bully will have to move in your direction. You know, now in terms of the chances of ending the war, we're no closer today than we were a week ago because, you know,

The Russians are intransigent. Putin's intransigent. And unless Trump is actually willing to go beyond just like truthing about it to like applying some additional pressure or taking some Ukrainian – I mean the Crimea point is perfect. I mean first of all, obviously we didn't give –

Barack Obama didn't own Crimea and give it to somebody. But frankly, we never recognize the annexation of Crimea. Not Obama, not Trump in his first term, not Biden. And so- He forgets he was president one time. Trump recognizing the annexation of Crimea, which is what's being discussed, is a huge shift in US policy that he doesn't need to give. You know what? If you're frustrated with what Putin's doing, rescind that effort at the negotiating table. Say, you know what, Putin? Like, you know, you had your chance, you fucked it up, and now we're taking this back off the table.

Yeah.

he was asked, you said you'd end the war in Ukraine on day one. Trump goes, well, I said that figuratively. I said that as an exaggeration. Obviously, people know when I said that it was said in jest, because, of course, we all joke about a conflict that you yourself said could lead to World War Three or was World War Three. But to your point about like how pathetic Trump looks, I mean, Trump's initial response to

the horrific airstrikes on Kiev was to truth social Vladimir comma stop exclamation point. Shocked that one didn't work. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, that's the thing. It's a man that there's something dangerous. And if you study like these autocrats too, about someone whose feedback loop is constantly sycophantic and positive.

Because the feedback loop from the world is not like that. And you can truth that and people in the Republican Party say, yes, sir, yes, sir. But Vladimir Putin's not going to do that. And I'd like to just bring some more into it and listen to the interview with Alexandra. There are other things that the U.S. could be bringing to this negotiation, international justice. Are there going to be efforts to hold Russia accountable for the rest of these people's lives for what they've done to Ukrainians?

What about the 20,000 children? What about the stolen kids? Like that's the part that it's just –

Trump is only discussing things that Putin wants to talk about. You know, annexation of that 20% of Ukraine's territory, Ukraine's membership in NATO. You know, these are Putin's list. There's a Ukrainian list that has things like the 20,000 children, that has things like war crimes, that has things like what happens to sanctions, what happens to the frozen reserves. There's like hundreds of billions of dollars in frozen Russian reserves that they want back.

that the Europeans might want to use to support Ukraine. America could say, you know, we're going to work with the Europeans to get this money to the Ukrainians if you don't deal. So there are things. He's using no leverage. He's making vague threats of slapping the same sanctions back on Putin. That's right. Putin is not worried about that.

Don't listen to J.D. Vance saying that somehow we have no levers to pull here other than like somehow going to war ourselves. There are other things we could do. Yeah. A couple of other quick things, Ben. So North Korea publicly acknowledged for the first time that they had sent troops to Russia to fight against Ukraine. Kim Jong-un announced that they would build a monument to their heroism. So I'm sure that the families of the estimated 4,000 North Korean troops who have been killed or wounded feel great about that. Western intelligence officials believe that North Korea sent about 14,000 troops total

to fight in the Kursk region of Russia. That was that part of Russia that the Ukrainians invaded and briefly occupied. It does sound like the combined Russian-North Korean forces have driven Ukrainian troops out of Russian territory. So they've lost that as a bargaining chip. But, you know, 4,000 casualties out of 14,000 guys is a pretty high rate. And that's

some pretty intense combat, apparently. Also, there was this report of a high-ranking Russian general who was killed in an explosion outside of Moscow last week, right when Wyckoff was about to land, actually, in Russia for his meeting with Putin. I guess that he walked by a car that had been rigged with an IED. Russia called it a terrorist-attacked car.

that was conducted by the Ukrainians. The Ukrainians refused to comment on these things as sort of a general policy, but it would match up with past actions by their special services. So the war very much still going. Yeah, no, and I was just like the 4,000 number to put that in context, that's more than the number of Americans that died in Afghanistan. Yeah, it's huge.

I think that was killed and wounded. Oh, killed and wounded. Okay. Well, but either way, I mean, it suggests that the Russians are treating the North Koreans like cannon fodder, which is how they often treat their own troops, you know. And, you know, we'll see whether, you know, over time, this is a military alliance that sustains itself or whether this was kind of a one-off in Kursk. But, I mean, this is kind of globalization of the war in Ukraine is something we have to continue to watch because we've seen these Chinese...

you know, reports of Chinese, you know, personnel of some sort being in Ukraine. Yeah, what did you make of this? I don't think we ever talked about that on the show. I mean, there are some reports or some suggestions in some of the reporting that maybe they were more like intel officers. Yeah, so there were a handful of Chinese, including some that were captured by the Ukrainians. So we know this happened.

The Chinese kind of denied the Chinese government that they were somehow involved. I don't believe that you have Chinese people ending up on the front lines in Ukraine without the Chinese Communist Party that has kind of total control over things. At least being aware of it.

I don't know. I mean, one speculation that I've heard that's interesting is that they are like intel officers, that they're learning things, that they're learning. They want to learn from what's happening in this conflict. They want to learn about the ways that things are, the way it's being fought. They want to learn about different weapon systems. And that's certainly possible, too. And we've seen this. I mean, not to, you know, not to use a.

historical analogy, it's a little troubling, but like Spanish Civil War vibes, right? Where like different parties start to creep in to see what it's like, modern warfare, anticipating some future war, you know? Now let's hope that doesn't happen. But the war in Ukraine, the longer it goes on, we've seen different actors, you know, look, there have been Americans there too. Including this really weird story about the son of

of a deputy director at the CIA killed in Eastern Ukraine in 2024, fighting under contract for the Russian military. Very strange story. I don't know what to make of it. It's an incredible story. People should check it out. Essentially, this kid went on a journey of sorts and- Michael Alexander Kloss. Totally by his own choice when he fought and died for the Russians.

I've never seen anything like that. I'm a very senior CIA official. So I don't know. Deputy Director for Digital Innovation at the CIA. That's a very important job, I would wager. Yeah, yeah. And one that the Russians would be interested in. So I don't know. But yeah, tragic, obviously, for the family involved. Horrible, tragic. Baffling. But raises a bunch of questions. Yeah, a lot of questions. Okay, Ben, so like we said at the top, somehow this story about Pete Hexaf, our...

Leader of the Department of Defense is still going. Dear leader. Yeah, dear leader. Last week, we dug into all these details about top aide to Hegseth who are accused of leaking and fired. This week, we're talking about it again because half of these dudes keep doing interviews. So the first one was Joe Casper, who was Hegseth's chief of staff. He did an interview with Ryan Grimm.

at Dropsite News of all places. - Interesting choice. - Yeah, like I-- - Interesting choice. - That's not a criticism of Ryan. - As someone who's done an interview with Ryan Grim. - No, but Ryan and Dropsite, they are hardly fans of the Trump administration. Like it's hard to think of people less ideologically aligned with Pete Hegseth than Ryan. So just bizarre. In this interview, Casper talks about like a possible investigation into whether he was doing drugs. He floats this crazy theory about the leaks and that it was all a setup. Like it's very paranoid, very weird.

And then Colin Carroll, who was chief of staff to the deputy secretary of defense, Steve Feinberg, did an interview with Megyn Kelly on her podcast. Let's listen to a clip of that. If you look at a pie chart of the secretary's day at this point, 50 percent of it's probably leak investigation press like it's that like that can't be. That is a bad thing for America's bad thing for the president's objectives. And then in order to kind of combat an image.

It's, hey, we're gonna go do work out with the troops. While that is important and it's a thing to do and get out there, 'cause it helps with recruiting, it just helps like with morale. If you're taking a half day trip to Naval Academy at the same time the budget is due and we really need some support here, like, come on, you gotta weigh priorities. My observation from the first 90 days, and this is gonna sound weird, is that we had less of a problem from like the deep state bureaucrats in the department.

than we did from maybe some people on our own team. They're polygraphing people actively right now in the department. There's just like a culture fear. It's people that are like political people, you know, that are on the team and no one's going to want to come into that environment. So if you've created that environment, you're basically, you're,

it's like a self-fulfilling prophecy now where people are just gonna leave because no one wants to deal with that and then your your team gets smaller and smaller and smaller you can't run a three million person organization by kind of like having a cabal of five people and making decisions just like shotgunning memos out that's not how it's how change actually happens and so i i don't think that we ever we struggled as an administration to really put a functioning team together

damning stuff. I, first of all, no shit. It wasn't the career professional people leaking. It was the political people. We all watched Trump 1.0, bud. Like we know it's your friends who are doing all the leaking. Also, Ben, if it's true that the secretary of defense is spending half of his day on leak investing,

That is scary. That's a huge problem. That's a horrible use of his time. And it's worth noting that in addition to the Signalgate stories that we've covered about Hegseth sharing all this classified information in a commercially available app to people without a clearance, this German site, Der Spiegel, did an investigation into how easy it was to find personal contact info for Hegseth, his email, a password for one of his email accounts on hacked, leaked forums online.

And it was him, it was Tulsi Gabbard, it was a bunch of other top administration officials. So this problem of their information security is far more serious than just-

texting Jeffrey Goldberg by accident. Yeah. First of all, shout out to our team for that super cut. It just captures things so beautifully. The essence of that. And it is like a guy wakes up in the middle of the night and he's like, you know, I woke up in the middle of the night and I opened the window and it was dark outside. These are so obvious. These things are so obvious. But the thing that is striking to me, Tommy, is I've wondered something ever since this particular nutty episode

this nihilistic brand of the Republican Party really started mushrooming the Obama years, I would always wonder, like, do these people actually believe these things or are they pretending to believe these things? Right. And part of what you hear in that interview is like someone who believes these genuine surprise being like, I showed up at the Pentagon and it wasn't full of a bunch of deep state, you know, operatives out to get us. And and then similarly shocked to be like,

this fundamentally unserious person that was put in charge of the Pentagon wasn't prepared to do anything other than manage his own image and go work out with the pushups, you know, like, well, of course, no shit, but that's who he is. Like, that's like, like what about Pete Hexeth has ever suggested to you that he wanted to dig into the details of the Pentagon budget or think about like how to, you know, deal with strategy in a disintegrating world order. This is a man who, as long as he's at the Pentagon is going to spend half of his day staring in the fucking mirror. Cause like, that's all he's really interested in doing in the first

Yeah, he did put in a makeup studio. It sounds like yeah, he's uh, usually likes to be drunk and and and here's the thing There's such a trivialization of American politics and frankly like I think there's a sense out in the normie world that some of the resistance People are kind of cried wolf people but but actually these things are

Some of these things are very real. No, this matters. The fact that Pete Hegseth does shit on his private phone and his phone number could be fined by Der Spiegel is like a sign that the Chinese and the Russians and other people are in his phone and are seeing all this crap. It's not hard. This is not something that people are only saying on MSNBC or Resistance Twitter. This is something that is happening, again, in the real world. And the entire Trump presidency is going to be this kind of dynamic of...

People who are living in an alternative reality being forced to exist in actual reality. Yeah. I mean, being in opposition is easy. Governing is very hard. Colin Carroll in this interview also says that what Hegseth shared in that signal chat was classified. He makes the point that Pete could have just been like, I have declassification authority. Therefore, it's okay to share it. But-

It's a bit of an end run around how the process is supposed to work, but he's not wrong. Although Trump was asked about all this. Here's his quote. How about this for a vote of confidence? I think he's going to get it together. I had a talk with him, a positive talk, but I had a talk with him. Also, Ben, like one of the leaks that,

that apparently flipped Pete out was this time story about this plan to brief Elon Musk on these top secret US war plans with China. So there's been a lot more reporting on what was in the memo that was going to get shared with Elon, but luckily wasn't. According to the Wall Street Journal,

The briefing was supposed to include information on 29 China related special access programs. So the most sensitive stuff the Pentagon does, like we're probably talking about unknown, at least to the general population, like sensitive technologies and weapons that are specifically designed for war with China, which is one insane and also like more evidence that Trump and Hegseth's denials that this briefing was ever going to happen were a lie.

We also learned, by the way, that Elon sat in on Trump's interview with an Air Force secretary nominee. Pretty weird for a defense contractor. Yeah. I mean, here's like what's weird to me about this. First of all, you know, for most of eight years, I was deputy national security advisor level, got the presidential daily briefing, was in the morning briefing with Obama, the whole second term. I was never read into those types of things.

Not because I was like- You weren't going to be like a 180-day employee charged with government efficiency. I didn't need to know- I know, I'm making a joke that he doesn't either. No, I know, I know, I know. It's ridiculous. I know you're making that joke, but what I'm saying is like, I had no need to know about some super secret technology that we might use in a war with China to carry out my duties, right? Like, why on earth- I mean, yeah, no, this is to your point. Like, why on earth this contractor-

to know these things is really fucking suspicious and scary because all I can think of is...

One, you know, I don't know, gives him a leg up in his contracting business with the Pentagon. That's the most likely scenario. Anything he can learn that can help his SpaceX business or whatever. Satellite procurement thing, yeah. Two, I don't know, maybe he wants to tell somebody about it. Like, that's even scarier. I wonder if he requested it or if this was Pete's idea. Like, where did this idea come from? Well, it also shows how much they're in this kind of psychic grip of Elon. That Pete Hex is sitting there thinking about, like, you know, do I, you know, like...

Like, what is this person? Like, this is not a person that should exist in the U.S. government structure, you know? And the Air Force general, same thing. Like, this person presumably might have some say over acquisition. I mean, acquisitions for systems that include elons. Like, the scale of corruption here is just mind-boggling. That Air Force secretary at some point will likely have to decide, okay, do we go with Boeing or SpaceX for this contract? Exactly.

If Elon is sitting in on your fucking job interview? Yeah. Crazy. And that's what I think this is about. And I should say, by the way, this is by no means the biggest fucking hole we're off to dig out of. But the next president is going to inherit a Pentagon that is probably going to be wired-

on Grok and SpaceX and all this crap. And by the Chinese. And we have to like be going through like the HAL computer in 2001, just unplugging this shit, you know? Also, did you see that an aircraft carrier in the Red Sea accidentally dumped a $67 million F-A-18 Super Hornet fighter jet into the ocean?

I guess they were towing it from the hangar bay. It sounds like the boat was turning to reposition itself to deal with Houthi missile threats. Well, I was going to say, there were some questions about whether or not the reason it was turning like that might have been because of the way the Houthis were firing stuff at them, which shows that the longer you're at war with the Houthis, you start to lose planes. You start to have accidents. I mean, the idea that you can have a cost-free forever war, which is what they seem to think,

cuts against all the experience of the forever wars. Yeah. I, one, uh, one person was injured. No one was killed. Thank God, but it's not good to dump a $67 million plane at the ocean. Also that same ship, the USS Harry Truman collided with a merchant ship back in February. Uh, the commander at the time was relieved, but to your point, I mean, these things are very dangerous. Um,

Okay, we're going to take a quick break. But before we do, we want to tell you about Shadow Kingdom, Ben. Listeners to join the over 1 million listeners around the world who are listening to Shadow Kingdom. God's Banker, it's our newest true crime podcast. All the episodes are out now, so you can binge the story from start to finish.

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It's coming up soon. I mean, what if God's banker can get into that? Get some extra, even more intrigue at the conclave. Get a good seat. Also, Ben, you just stopped by to talk with Stacey Abrams on her show, Assembly Required with Stacey Abrams. Yes. People should check this out. I loved talking to Stacey Abrams for Assembly Required out this Thursday and

We basically talked about the nuts and bolts of what it means for the United States to be essentially absenting its position at the center of the world order. What are the implications for everyday Americans? What are the implications for the American economy? What are the implications for American security? So it's a real step back conversation. Very much supplements what we talk about, but it kind of, let's step back and look at the big

picture. Stacey's very good at making us think about what does this mean for all of us? What should we do about it? So people should definitely check that out. Cool. Will do.

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All right, Ben. So last Tuesday, there was a horrific terrorist attack in the India-controlled part of the Kashmir that has drastically ratcheted up tensions between India and Pakistan that we wanted to talk about. That attack, by the way, happened right as J.D. Vance was visiting India, giving foreign leaders yet another reason to want him to just kind of stay away for a little while as a

You don't want that guy around. No, you don't want that. He's bad news. So the gunman killed 26 people. All but one of them was an Indian tourist. They reportedly, I saw a report. I don't know if this has been confirmed that they were separating out the terrorists, were separating out non-Muslims and then executing them. This happened in a mountain valley area that's a tourist destination because it's very beautiful. Initially, there were reports that an obscure group called the Kashmir Resistance Front was responsible for the attacks.

India says they have ties to a Pakistani terrorist organization. The resistance front is now denying responsibility, saying its social media was hacked. So this is all very weird. Regardless, the Indian government is pointing the finger at Pakistan and pledging brutal retaliation. Prime Minister Modi said, quote, India will identify, track, and punish every terrorist and their backers. We will pursue them to the ends of the earth. So that's pretty intense. Pakistan has denied responsibility. So Ben, we can dig more into the history in a bit, but listeners should know that

Potential war between nuclear-armed India and nuclear-armed Pakistan has been at the top of the World War Watch list for a very long time. And now there's this escalating kind of diplomatic back and forth. So after this attack, India revoked visas for Pakistani nationals. They reduced diplomatic staff in Pakistan. They suspended a very important water-sharing agreement between the two countries that has been in place since 1960. And in response, Pakistan kicked India out of its airspace. They suspended trade with India.

Pakistan's defense minister told Reuters this week that he expects a military incursion from India at some point. So, you know, very scary stuff. What's your level of anxiety about the escalation ladder happening here? I mean, it's high because you feel like there's going to be an Indian response. And you also feel like the international environment around this conflict is not one of mediation and de-escalation. This is kind of...

The normalization of escalation, whether it's in Ukraine, whether it's in the Middle East, like I worry about how that mentality enters into this conflict. In the past, what you've had is kind of calibrated responses like India takes some shot in Pakistan. Right. Pakistan does something back that is, you know, they shoot at something and intentionally miss it kind of thing, you know, and then everybody calms down. That may happen.

But the risk here is if things are escalating and neither side blinks and it keeps escalating, yes, these are two nuclear-armed nations that have fought multiple wars over this territory. There's an absence of a UN system or a United States or any other kind of

mediator that could come in to try to calm things down. And so I think we have to be quite concerned about it because we already have flashpoints in Ukraine, in Iran, in the Middle East right now, and then Taiwan's looming there. Now this enters into that picture too. It's not the best time for this to be happening. No, it's a pretty scary time. Yeah. I mean, just to get to some of the histories, this dates back

The modern dispute over this territory dates back to the partition of the Indian subcontinent by the British in 1947. Not a thousand years ago. Well, let's listen to President Trump's history lesson, because I think that's all we really need is just to hear him. Well, I'm very close to India and I'm very close to Pakistan, as you know. They've had that fight for a thousand years in Kashmir. Kashmir has been going on for a thousand years, probably longer than that. Yeah.

Again, so that's not true. Partition was in 1947. Since 1972, the Pakistani and Indian control parts of Kashmir have been separated by what's called the line of control. The India administration portion has been dealing with a separatist insurgency for decades to make things even more complicated. China also claims and controls a portion of Kashmir.

For most of this period, the Indian-administered Kashmir had a special autonomous status, but Modi revoked that status in 2019, bringing the region directly under his control. Since then, the Indian government has cracked down on free speech, on journalism. They've arrested thousands of people while at the same time encouraging people to go to the region for vacations, for tourism. So Trump was just like 900 people.

50 years off there, I think, in his sort of knowledge. And he also repeated it, too. So it wasn't like a slip. Like, he thought he'd made a really smart point. Yeah, he nailed him. Really nailed it. Yeah, I mean, look, this... You've seen Modi kind of steadily change the status. The status quo in Kashmir had been disputed territory and kind of frozen conflict and...

There's supposed to be an international basis for there to be self-determination there. But Modi short-circuited that by essentially trying to absorb Kashmir. It's a tragic inevitability that, like other places we've talked about around the world, including one we're about to talk about, but if you repress people...

And, you know, you – I mean all reports are – and there's not a lot of reporting out of Kashmir too by the way because they don't let a lot of independent journalism happen there. It's a pretty – it can be a pretty brutal environment. You get occasional acts of violent resistance. And there's a cycle of that happening and India responding by attacking Pakistan. And look, I think the Pakistani government has tolerated –

in some cases, supported groups that have agendas in Kashmir. I find it hard to believe that the Pakistani government directed this attack. So I'm not sure it's constructive for India. That has been the one moving... And look, I'm

I understand how Indians feel and the anger they feel. They want a response. I'm just not sure that attacking kind of the country of Pakistan is the most constructive way of doing that. You're the stronger party. India is indisputably the stronger party, the bigger, stronger country with the bigger economy and the bigger military. And actually, I think showing some restraint might actually be in India's interest in the medium and long term here, even if a lot of the short term is.

kind of vengeance is leading them to military action. Yeah, that's exactly right. I mean, there's, I think, almost certainly a desire, at least in the region, for some sort of vengeance, especially given that it's just like, you know, 26 purely civilian targets who were executed. Modi, Prime Minister Modi, is kind of like Netanyahu and then he portrays himself as like Mr. Security. So clearly the tough talk that I read out earlier as, you know, part of him trying to, you know,

to a black eye over this incident happening on this watch. And actually, the other thing you worry about is sometimes Modi directs that internally at Muslims, Muslim minority population within India. And so you hope you don't see that either. Yeah. Well, actually, let's turn to Netanyahu. So we had a couple of Gaza updates we want to do. The first one is just, according to like everybody on the ground, things are,

really bad in Gaza, maybe as bad as they've ever been right now. The ceasefire ended on the 18th, on March 18th, when the Israelis started bombing again. Gaza has now been under a total Israeli blockade for about two months. The World Food Program said they are out of food stocks. Gaza's few remaining medical facilities are nearly out of supplies. And the

At the same time, IDF airstrikes are back to being like daily occurrence. The casualties are way up. In some cases, like dozens of people per day. There's reports that 1,600 people have been killed by Israeli airstrikes since the ceasefire ended. The strikes are often on tents or other temporary structures for displaced people. So there's tons of collateral damage. The Israeli forces there have issued dozens of conflicting evacuation orders. So people are just getting pushed all over the country. According to Reuters,

Hamas has offered to release all remaining Israeli hostages in exchange for an end to the war, reconstruction of Gaza and the release of Palestinian prisoners being held by Israel. But Hamas, the counteroffer from the Israelis is reportedly a demand that they fully disarm as part of any deal, which is unquestionable.

ended up being a non-starter for them. So, Ben, I feel like things have been so insane in the Trump era that we have not covered Gaza as frequently as we did during the first year and a half of the war. But it did seem important to highlight just how bad conditions are on the ground and the fact that the parties just seemed like they're nowhere close to any kind of ceasefire deal.

Yeah, but let's look. I just think that this is because Israel doesn't want to end the war. And Netanyahu does not want to end the war to be specific, because if they were willing to end the war, they would get the hostages out. And the idea that they somehow need to continue to fight a war against Hamas in Gaza. I'm sorry. There's no security. There's no security need to do it. There is. It's a it's a literal impossibility that October 7th or anything remotely approaching that will

or anything really, in terms of a ground attack on Israelis could happen if the war ended tomorrow, given the damage that's been done to Hamas, given how militarized that border is between Gaza and Israel. So there's no military necessity to carry out this war.

Netanyahu is carrying out for his political purposes and there are people in his coalition, including maybe Netanyahu himself, who want to carry out to just continue to punish and destroy the Palestinian people, if not ethnically cleanse them from Gaza, which is what a lot of people say. That's the Trump plan.

The humanitarian situation can be, we're not overstating it. Nothing has gotten in since mid-March. Zero. We're talking no food, no medicine in a place where there already was no infrastructure left. They destroyed all the hospitals. They destroyed all the schools, destroyed basically all the buildings. And so you're just talking about a place in which an already traumatized, bombarded people, including a lot of injured people, like badly injured people, are being bombed in tents with no food and medicine.

That's what's happening. I was scrolling through Twitter yesterday and I saw a video of kind of the after results of an airstrike. And there was a little girl sitting on the ground and all of a sudden her head just started gushing blood like I've never seen anyone bleed in my life. And I realized I was watching the last moments of this little girl's life.

And this is happening every single day. And what makes that okay? What makes that worth doing? Like, don't tell me that that's... What hostage is being brought home by that? So there's just... This is an immoral abomination that will be a stain on this country and on Israel for the rest of our lives. A moral stain, a strategic disaster. Everything about it is wrong and cruel and it's indefensible. And just now that we're all

furious about this again, it's worth highlighting this report on Channel 13 News in Israel about the Biden administration's handling of the war in Gaza, the policy generally. So Channel 13 talked to a bunch of top former Biden people, like nine administration officials. They talked to a bunch of the Netanyahu government. It's all in Hebrew, but a couple sites dropped site news again. And then the Times of Israel did write-ups of the main reporting. And it is both

infuriating, not surprising, and confirms a lot of the assumptions we had from the very beginning about kind of what was happening behind the scenes. So one of the most damning quotes came from the Israeli ambassador to the US at the time who said that, quote, God did the state of Israel a favor that Biden was the president during this period because it could have been much worse. We fought in Gaza for over a year. The administration never came to us and said, ceasefire now. It never did. And that's not to be taken for granted.

So he's obviously trying to give Joe Biden credit there and in so doing, offering the most damning thing, observation you could about the administration. A couple more things that jumped out at me, Ben. The administration reportedly debated having Biden give a speech that presented the Israeli people two paths in the hopes of forcing an election. One path was counterterrorism.

get a hostage deal, get a ceasefire, get a normalization agreement with the Saudis. The other path was what we're seeing now, endless war, diplomatic isolation. But ultimately Biden just chickened out and didn't want to push Bibi politically. And instead did that speech where he laid out the framework for a ceasefire deal that I guess Netanyahu had told him he agreed to, but later walked away from. There was some stuff in the story about how Biden's team was particularly angry with Netanyahu when he released that video

accusing them of implementing a broad freeze on weapon shipments, when in reality, Biden had only held a single shipment of 2000 pound bombs and that freeze was about to be resolved. So I guess the Netanyahu response, you know, destroyed the deal they were about to cut to ship the bombs. And so

And so reading that, I was like, I get the frustration of these Biden staffers here because they're mad that Netanyahu lied about them. But it's also very telling that the like biggest point of frustration was Biden, like not getting credit for their mad enough. They're mad about that and not about the 2000 pound bombs being dropped on kids. Um,

We'll come back to that. Yeah. So I just, you know, it's a lot about the Saudi normalization deal. There's people admitting what was obvious all along that Ninyai was blocking a ceasefire for political purpose. So again, like I said at the top, like,

This was obvious at the time we talked about at the time. Rereading it was absolutely enraging. It was a reminder all over again of what a total fucking disgrace the Biden administration's policy on Gaza was. The just unrequited, obsessive loyalty to Netanyahu.

Yeah, what's really enraging about this, well, there are different layers of it, but first of all, and you summed it up well, to try to add to that.

Look, it was obvious at the time that they were not really pressing them for this ceasefire. This just kind of confirms what we knew. And that's what a lot of us are angry about, that they were not implying any leverage. They weren't doing anything to try to really push a ceasefire. So this is the second thing. They were saying at the time, we're working relentlessly. They were not. They were not working relentlessly for a ceasefire. They were talking about it publicly so that they had something to say. And then

privately they're just shoveling weapons at Netanyahu and mainly complaining that Netanyahu wasn't giving them enough credit for shoveling the weapons to him, you know? I mean, it's very revealing that they were upset by Netanyahu making that video because that's about the politics of it. They were so inside the politics of it that they weren't looking at the conduct of what was being done in Gaza in the same way. The other thing I'd like to say about this, the first thing is that

I think that they might believe that they were doing more than they were. You know, like they, and I'm not saying this to absolve them, anything but. I think they don't, the Israeli ambassador's words are so damning because he's making clear it was a choice for the United States to unreservedly back what Israel did for that whole year. That was a choice. It wasn't something that happened because of gravity. It wasn't something that happened because of

Politics inevitably means you support Israel unconditionally. Joe Biden made a choice to provide unconditional military support to this Israeli government and this military operation. And just mouthing words of concern about the scale of loss of life doesn't matter. You made that choice.

Another thing, this Saudi normalization thing kept coming up. Like, I don't understand why they missed this opportunity because you fundamentally, and what is amazing to me is some of these people are people that kind of put themselves forward as like experts in Israel. They're fundamentally misunderstanding this Israeli government.

Given the choice between having like commercial flights between Riyadh and Jerusalem and ethnically cleansing Gaza, of course they're going to choose to ethnically cleanse Gaza. Why do we understand this Israeli government better than you do? Or even just like even more pathetic and selfish reasons.

The choice between direct flights to Riyadh or Netanyahu staying in power. Exactly. Yeah, there you go. Yeah, that's right. Because with Netanyahu staying in power with like Ben-Gavir and Smotrich, it's the West Bank and Gaza. The West Bank and Gaza are much more important than a Saudi normalization deal. And so what we're still like talking about Israel is if it's our version of what – our version of Israel or Democratic Party foreign policy version of Israel is like, well, of course they'll want normalization in Saudi Arabia more than they'll want to like –

you know, kill the two state solution and try to take back West, West Bank and Gaza. Like that, that that's misreading this government. The last thing I want to say, Tommy is like, and we can have a conversation about this. Like I, I, I try to hold some space here because it's, if you've listened to this podcast for six, seven years, um,

I'll speak for myself. I don't speak for you, but I think you've probably gone through a similar process, but I've had to deprogram a bit. Totally. I was much more defensive in 2017 about drone strikes or, you know, things that we did that we were part of some things that were wrong. We were part of actually, because some things that are just baked into U.S. national security are wrong. Right. And it's been nice to have this forum and to interact, obviously, with so many people around the world and,

and force us to not do that, you know, to be more honest about, and I'm not suggesting we're all the way there yet. My advice to these people, some of whom we know well, some of whom are our friends, is don't do that. Like, don't rationalize. Don't explain the best spin, you know. Don't try to pick the one time that Biden said something that makes it look like you pressured Israel. Like,

In fact, don't talk about it at all right now. I actually wondered why nine people talked to Channel 13 in Israel. Sit with this. Think about it. Like, absorb it. Listen to people in Gaza. Like, consume those images. And I'm not... I don't want this to come across...

preachy. I really don't. I say this as someone who did that thing of like defending everything we did and tying myself in knots. It's not healthy. You know, like, so this is not me. I swear to God, this is not, I'm not trying to come at this from some highfalutin place. I'm saying actually as someone who's, that's the wrong path. You know, there's another path of, because actually it'd be good for American foreign policy and Democratic Party foreign policy for people to, to

to truly evolve and be like, you know what, that's wrong. And give courage to the next generation of foreign policy staffers who are scared that they are going to get destroyed by AIPAC or these groups that are attacking YouTubers like Miss Rachel if she speaks about the humanity of the Palestinian people. Break that cycle. I'm totally with you on the broader point that it took me forever

to do a better job of thinking for myself, gaining perspective, reading more, learning more. Like you just grow as a human being. You understand more. But also just on this narrow policy, I guess what I'd ask people is I don't,

Care how hard Joe Biden worked a problem. Nobody cares. What I care is about the outcome. Yeah. You know what I mean? And look at what's happening on the ground. Like it is a fucking disaster. More people are dead. 1600 people are dead since the ceasefire ended that you guys couldn't get over the finish line that the Trump somehow got over the finish line. And,

I know these are not easy problems. They're brutally hard. Every option after October 7th was a bad option. But blind loyalty to Bibi Netanyahu, a right-wing autocrat, was a massive mistake. And we just have to acknowledge that because of the damage it did to the people in Gaza, but also the damage it did to the Democratic Party. Yeah. And it's indefensible. And the thing is, sometimes...

you're again, you're programmed to think about, cause you actually don't come to work thinking you want to do that. You come to work thinking you want to ceasefire. You come to work thinking, you know, we just need to get through this and maybe the next phone call with BB, like it'll work out. But part of what you have to wrestle with is let's your point, just the fact that you were in a lot of meetings and you stayed up late and that a lot of phone calls were made and trips were made. The world experiences the outputs. It's kind of like what we're seeing with Trump and reality. And the reality is that the system that was built, uh,

is part of the problem. The system that was built to just shovel those weapons to the Israeli government, that's part of the problem. And you're never going to change that system

If you're just defending how you manage the system at the time. Yeah. And by the way, hands up, right? Like Barack Obama signed a 10 year MOU. Yes, that was wrong. That was wrong. And we did that in part because we were defensive about the Iran deal. Wrong. We shouldn't have done that. We knew who Bibi was. We should not have signed a 10 year memorandum. I'm sure I defended it at the time. That was wrong. Like that system that that was a part of was the wrong system. And, and,

And you'll never really change the system if you're kind of constantly defending your management of it, you know? Yeah. And just one last point on this. I mean,

Of the nine people, like, officials quoted in that story, and I honestly don't even know who all of them are because I didn't watch the video. I just read the reports. I mean, I think probably a couple were actually in high-level meetings with Joe Biden all the time. Like, I'm not... This is not a staff problem. There were clearly some staffers who I think were in a bad place and providing very, very bad advice to Joe Biden. But this begins and ends with him. Like, this was clearly a problem he owned to...

the great detriment of the policy outcome, but also to himself politically. Because again, I've been reading the Jake Tapper book. I can't get into all the details of it, but it's clear like at some point Biden just started spending all of his time doing Ukraine and Gaza stuff and like didn't get either of those

problem solved and forgot everything else he needed to do for a reelection. It's a fucking disaster. It's 100% right that we have to, it begins and ends with Joe Biden. It was his policy choice. And you're right. Like the vast majority of the staff, like totally different people could have been there and the result would have been exactly the same. The reason I think it's important though for staff to wrestle with these things when they're out of government is that's the only way that things change when you come back. Oh, absolutely. No, I totally agree. Or you want the next Democratic presidential candidates to have staff or

or advisors who've learned some things, you know, and digested these things. So that's the evolution I would encourage. If the next person who works on foreign policy for a Democrat says hug BB, they need to be walked out of the building. Pete Hegseth them out of the building that minute. And we know who gives that advice and you don't need to listen to those people. Don't listen to those people. Okay, we are going to take a quick break. When we come back, you're going to hear Ben's interview with Oleksandr Medvedchuk. So stick around for that.

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All right, I'm very pleased to be joined by Oleksandra Modvichuk, who is a human rights lawyer and activist, the head of the Center for Civil Liberties in Ukraine, and a 2022 Nobel Peace Prize laureate. Oleksandra, thanks so much for joining us. Thank you for the invitation.

So I want to start with the current situation in Ukraine, where we've seen an increase in Russian strikes recently, including an attack on Kyiv last week, which killed over a dozen people and injured around 100 people. Oleksandra, I know you're based in Kyiv. What has been the situation there? How could you describe these strikes and the impact that they've had? Putin openly demonstrated that he doesn't want peace.

And it's obvious, Putin started this large-scale war not because he wanted to occupy just one part more of Ukrainian land,

Putin started this large-scale war because he wanted to occupy and destroy the whole country. And go further, his logic is historical. He dreams about his legacy. He wants to forcibly restore Russian Empire. And with this airstrike in Sumy, in Krivy Rih, in Odessa and in Kiev recently, with all these dozens of killed civilians and children and destroyed residential buildings, Putin

Putin openly demonstrates his disregard to President Donald Trump. Yeah, I want to ask you a bit more about your work, but just on the negotiations that are taking place, what is it like to live through the reality where

There is this conversation happening internationally outside of Ukraine, largely between the American administration and the Russians, and at times with the Ukrainian government, at the same time that there's a war ongoing inside of Ukraine. I mean, what is it like to live in a reality where these issues are being discussed in international capitals, and yet your reality is still the same? It's a reality of war.

Recent weeks we heard a lot about natural minerals, about Russia's territorial claims, about geopolitical interest, but we didn't hear about people. And I think that it's not okay, because this war has a very vivid human dimension.

And we still want to get an answer to very important questions. What will be with more than 20,000 Ukrainian children illegally deported to Russia, separated with their families and supposed to be adopted by Russian families who will bring them up as Russians?

What will be with thousands and thousands illegally detained civilians, men and women, subjected to horrible torture and sexual abuse daily? I personally interviewed hundreds of them. And they told me how they were beaten, raped, smashed into wooden boxes, their fingers were cut, their nails were turned away, their nails were drilled, they were electrically shocked through their genitalia. One woman told me how her eye was dug out with a spoon.

Knowing this, it's very understandable that at least part of these people have a very less chance to be alive until the end of this political process. And finally, what will be with millions of Ukrainians who live under Russian occupation? They live in a grey zone. They have no tools how to defend their rights, their freedom, their property, their lives, their children, their beloved ones.

And Russian occupation is not just changing one state flag to another. Russian occupation means enforced disappearances, torture, rapes, denial of your identity, forcible adoption of your own children, filtration camps and mass graves. So I feel bad. I think we have to return human dimension into political process. Only in that way we can find a path to sustainable peace.

All of that documentation that you've done through your work and your organization connects to something that you've been outspoken about, which is the need for there to be accountability for these crimes of aggression, these crimes against humanity. How do you approach that, knowing that, you know, in terms of if you're the Ukrainian government,

You know that Putin is not going to obviously want to agree to any process of accountability. How do you think about, you know, there's so much discussion of territory and security guarantees, and these are very important things. But how do you think about this question of accountability? How do you think the world should approach accountability in the context of these negotiations and any future end to the war? All this hell, which we now faced in Ukraine,

It's a result of total impunity, which Russia enjoyed for decades. Because Russian troops committed horrible crimes in Chechnya, in Moldova, in Georgia, in Mali, in Libya, in Syria, in other countries of the world. And they have never been punished. They believe they can do whatever they want.

And for 11 years we have been documented how Russian troops physically exterminate active local people on the ground: mayors, journalists, children writers, musicians, teachers, environmentalists, priests. How they banned Ukrainian language and culture. How they destroyed and robbed Ukrainian cultural heritage. How they abducted Ukrainian children and sent them to Russia to bring them up as Russians.

So for me, it's obvious that justice is a precondition to peace because we have to change this long-lasting tradition of impunity. We must break this circle of impunity, not just for Ukrainians, but in order to prevent a next Russian attack to the next nation. And I'm doing this work with responsibility and with hope.

Because hope, it's not a confidence that everything will be fine, but hope, it's a deep understanding that all other efforts have a huge meaning. And how do you, you know, as an activist, as someone in civil society, as someone who's been documenting all of this injustice, you also have a situation where

Your government is in this very difficult position where it's it's fighting a relentless aggressor in Putin and it now has an American government that seems more intent on putting pressure on the Ukrainian government than on the Russian government How would you like to see your government operate in these negotiations? What is the mood in terms of how civil society is relating to the Ukrainian government right now? It's not easy situation

And probably it's not just Ukrainian problem that in 21st century, a state decided that when you have a strong military potential, a nuclear weapon, you can break international order. You can dictate your rules to entire international community. And you can even forcibly change internationally recognized borders. I think it's not just problem for Ukraine because Ukraine

Look at my work. I'm a human rights lawyer. And for years, I am applying the law to defend people and human dignity. For current moment, I have no tools how to stop Russian atrocities. It shows the vulnerability of the whole international architecture. Yeah, I was going to ask you, I mean, where do you think those tools could come from? Right? Because there's the power of what you're doing, which is kind of bearing witness, documentation, organization on the ground, right?

But it seems like the tools of international justice lack capacity, right? So Putin can be charged with war crimes by the National Criminal Court, but he can evade responsibility for that. There are allies who provide weapons and other kinds of support to Ukraine, but it's not quite enough to overcome Russia. I mean, I'm not asking you to kind of solve the puzzle of international justice here, but...

But what have you learned through this experience of the work you've done, the experience of being in Ukraine these years, about the need for a greater solidarity or prioritization of these issues internationally? Several things to comment. First, you are totally right. The international order, which is based on UN Charter and international law, is collapsing before our eyes. And there are reasons for this. This international architecture was established past century.

It's provided for several countries' irrational privileges. And now, it's just stalling, it's reproducing ritualistic movements. The work of Security Council is paralyzed. And now it's easy to predict that such fires like wars can emerge more and more often in different parts of the globe because this international wiring is faulty and sparks are everywhere. But still, even in such circumstances, there are a room for decisive legal actions to establish law and justice.

We can create a special tribunal on aggression to hold Putin, Lukashenko and all political leadership and high military command of Russian state accountable. And more than 40 countries are discussing the modalities of the special tribunal to fill this gap of accountability when there is no international court which can prosecute Putin for the crime of aggression. But everything which we are documenting

it's result of his leadership decision to start such war. So it's just one example. And not to end to the negative note, let me tell you the main lesson learned which I have from this years of war. People have power. We get used to thinking through the categories of states and inter-states organizations, but ordinary people have a much greater power than they can even imagine. Ordinary people can change history.

And Ukrainians are one of example, because three years ago nobody believed that we can provide resistance for more than three or four days to such enormous opposing power as Russia is. Even our international partners were confident that we have no potential to resist. I was in Kyiv when all international organizations evacuated their personnel. They left us alone. But ordinary people remained. Ordinary people started to do extraordinary things.

And suddenly it became obvious that ordinary people fighting for their freedom and human dignity are stronger than even the Second Army in the world. Yeah, I mean, I want to ask you about Ukraine and the longer journey, because this all began, well, why?

It's hard to trace an exact beginning, but it's also the case that ordinary people stood up on the Maidan over a decade ago and began this journey of trying to throw off corruption, throw off Russian influence, assert Ukrainian sovereignty and identity. And here we are over 10 years later, and Ukrainians are still fighting for those things.

Do you think Ukraine has changed over the last 10 years? I mean, how do you feel like the identity of the Ukrainian people has changed based on ordinary people trying to reclaim their power in the face of Putin, who kind of is the most core representation of authoritarian power in the world? How has Ukraine's struggle against that changed the country and the people?

Eleven years ago, millions of people in Ukraine stood up their voice against pro-Russian corrupt authoritarian government. And they peacefully demonstrated just for a chance to build a country where the rights of everybody are protected, government is accountable, judiciary is independent, and police do not beat students who are peacefully demonstrated.

And we are paying the highest price just for this chance. I know what I'm talking about because I was coordinator of civil initiative "Euromaidan SOS" during the Revolution of Dignity. We brought up several thousands of people. We worked 24 hours per day to provide legal assistance to prosecuted protesters. Every day, hundreds, hundreds of people who were beaten, arrested, tortured, accused in fabricated criminal cases passed over here.

And when authoritarian regime collapsed and we got our chance,

to start this democratic transition, in order to stop us on this way, Putin invaded. Putin occupied Crimea, part of Luhansk and Donetsk regions, and three years ago extended this war to the large-scale invasion. Because Putin is not afraid of NATO, Putin is afraid of the idea of freedom which came close to Russian borders. So we have the possibility to reform our country just for 11 years.

We pay the highest price for this possibility and we have to do it during the war. Can you imagine the burden? It's very difficult to make a democratic transition even during peaceful time. The countries from European Union, United States, they spent decades, sometimes centuries to build sustainable democratic institutions. We have just 11 years and we have to do it during the war.

But believe me, the country is rapidly changed because it's about responsibility. We want to do our job. We want to have a country which we dream about. We want to... Our children have never been in a situation like us, having to pay the blood for freedom and for human dignity.

And when you look to the future, what kind of Ukraine would you like to see emerge from this war? I mean, there's the immediate questions about...

how much territory Ukraine can maintain. But there are also questions of security guarantees. There are questions of when Ukraine can join the European Union. But just in terms of what kind of Ukraine you would like to see after the war, what do you envision? What do you believe in in terms of the future for Ukraine? If I can say of a language of dream, I want to see my country in a way that such...

Such an organization like us, like the Center for Civil Liberties, in our current functions, are not needed. So this will be Ukraine which we want. That the rule of law is dominated, people are protected, their rights are protected. We can just grow our children in peace and have a freedom to live without fear of violence, have a freedom to have a long-term perspective.

And it's simple things, but it's not given for granted, especially taking into account that we have also to develop the long lasting strategy towards Russia. Because Russia is empire and empire has a center but has no borders. Empire always tries to expand. It's like Putin told that borders of Russia will never ends.

And I saw it even in my human rights work. When I interviewed people who survived Russian captivity, they told me that Russians see their future like this. First, we'll occupy Ukraine, and then, together with you, we will go to conquer another countries.

And those are the stakes. What would you say to Americans who are being told by Trump that it's time to move on from this, that this is not important to the United States, that we just need to get out of this war, that it costs too much money? You know, we have an audience that includes not just Americans, but American policymakers. What would you say to them about why this matters to the rest of the world, including to the United States?

I'm not a politician. Probably I will not find the proper words to say. I just only want to express my sincere gratitude to people in the United States.

Thank you that you are with us in this dramatic time of our history. I saw social survey in United States. Majority of people in United States supported our struggle for freedom. And for me, as for human, it's obvious because we are fighting for something that has no limitation in national borders. It's freedom.

And human solidarity is also one of such things which have no limitation in national borders. And we all know from the world history that only spread of freedom make our world safer.

And one last question I just wanted to ask you. I mean, you've been doing this work for so long. It's obviously very difficult work. And you're doing it in the context of war. I mean, what keeps you motivated? What keeps you doing the work of documenting crimes, of working for civil liberties? What sustains you and how might people show solidarity to what you're doing? Let me tell you a wizard story. This is a story of Artem.

He lost his father and mother in a deliberate Russian strike on his residential buildings. Artem dreamed to be a football player. And after rehabilitation, he played and he continued his training and he told that he dreamed that father and mother are sitting in the stadium and look at him, how he is going to his dream.

I document such kind of stories. We have in our database 84,000 episodes of war crimes. It's enormous amount. It's not just violations of Geneva and Hague conventions. We document human pain and it's a huge responsibility. When you spoke with people who went through hell, like this child Artem,

you have a clear impression that these people need to restore not just their broken life, broken future vision, broken families, but their broken belief that justice is possible even though delayed in time. And I also know that our future is not just unclear, but also not pre-written.

it means that we still have a chance to fight for future, which we want for us and for our children. Alexandra, thank you so much for the work you're doing. Thanks for sharing your perspective with us here today. People should follow your work and the work of the Center for Civil Liberties in Ukraine. And we really wish you all the best. Thanks for talking to us. Thank you very much.

Thanks again, Oleksandra, for doing the show. And thank you, Ben. Thank you, Johnny. Well, actually, I'm really looking forward to this, even though the Knicks will probably lose. Because Boston, New York, man. Love it. Nothing better. Old school. Pod Save the World is a Crooked Media production. Our senior producer is Alona Minkowski. Our associate producer is Michael Goldspin. Our executive producers are me, Tommy Vitor, and Ben Rhodes. Say hi, Ben. Hi. Hi.

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