We're sunsetting PodQuest on 2025-07-28. Thank you for your support!
Export Podcast Subscriptions
cover of episode Ricardo Hausmann on What it Takes to Win a Trade War

Ricardo Hausmann on What it Takes to Win a Trade War

2025/6/12
logo of podcast Odd Lots

Odd Lots

AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
People
R
Ricardo Hausmann
Topics
Ricardo Hausmann: 我认为经济复杂性实际上是为了做事而必须整合的知识量。知识有三种形式:体现在工具和材料中的知识,编码知识,以及存在于大脑中的诀窍。贸易是获取体现在产品中的知识的一种方式。编码知识存在于配方、公式和算法中。存在于大脑中的诀窍的问题在于,很少有知识能完全装进大脑。运营一家公司需要会计、财务、人力资源管理等方面的知识,因此需要一个团队来整合这些知识。复杂性来自于你必须组建的团队的广度。人工智能在某种意义上简化了事情,因为知识在机器中,不再需要大脑来完成。贸易壁垒阻止你购买“鸡蛋”,迫使你必须自己掌握生产“鸡蛋”的知识,这使得事情变得更加困难。使用钢铁的工作岗位比制造钢铁的工作岗位多大约60倍。保护钢铁行业实际上让那些原本打算用钢铁做其他事情的人更难获得原材料。保护钢铁行业可能会在美国增加钢铁制造的工作岗位,但会使所有使用钢铁的人在国内市场和国际市场上更难竞争。贸易壁垒会使美国更难将各种要素组合在一起,虽然会激励受保护的行业,但会给所有使用这些行业产品进行生产的其他行业带来困难。

Deep Dive

Shownotes Transcript

The focus of Trump's trade policies is clearly China. There are tariffs on everyone, of course, but it's the growing Chinese manufacturing might, and the various perceived risks associated with that, which have catalyzed this impulse to rethink how America trades with the rest of the world. But can the US actually move the manufacturing center of gravity? On this episode we welcome back Harvard Professor Ricardo Hausmann. We've had him on before to talk about the importance of economic complexity -- the capacity to build complex things -- in measuring the wealth of nations. On this episode we use that lens to discuss tariffs and the trade war, and the risks that the new administration's policies will play in reducing our capacity to build the most advanced things.

Only Bloomberg.com subscribers can get the Odd Lots newsletter in their inbox now delivered every weekday plus unlimited access to the site and app. Subscribe at  bloomberg.com/subscriptions/oddlots)

See omnystudio.com/listener) for privacy information.