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cover of episode The 10 Most Interesting Things We Learned on Odd Lots in 2024

The 10 Most Interesting Things We Learned on Odd Lots in 2024

2024/12/30
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Odd Lots

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Topics
Tracy Alloway 和 Joe Weisenthal:麦当劳等公司利用应用程序收集用户数据,根据用户的支付日、天气等因素动态调整商品价格,实现价格歧视。这种做法引发了消费者对通货膨胀和价格公平性的担忧。 Tracy Alloway 和 Joe Weisenthal:美国医疗保险系统中存在大量的肾透析欺诈行为,这导致了大量的联邦预算浪费。虽然政府已经采取措施打击欺诈行为,但问题依然严重。 Tracy Alloway 和 Joe Weisenthal:波音公司已经近30年没有设计全新的飞机,这可能会导致其在航空业的竞争力下降,并造成人才流失。 Tracy Alloway 和 Joe Weisenthal:乌克兰邮政服务利用Starlink卫星互联网和发电机,在战争期间维持服务,并快速重建被破坏的基础设施。这展示了新技术在应对紧急情况中的作用。 Tracy Alloway 和 Joe Weisenthal:专业的体育博彩玩家为了规避博彩平台的风控措施,会采取一些策略伪装自己的投注行为,例如分散投注、伪装投注习惯等。 Tracy Alloway 和 Joe Weisenthal:印度尼西亚凭借其丰富的镍矿资源和与中国的合作,迅速成为全球镍市场的主要参与者。这反映了全球能源转型对关键原材料的需求。 Tracy Alloway 和 Joe Weisenthal:私人信贷市场的增长对经济透明度和价格信号造成了负面影响。私人信贷市场的缺乏透明度使得监管和风险评估变得更加困难。 Tracy Alloway 和 Joe Weisenthal:鸡翅价格波动剧烈,主要是因为家禽行业的供给侧主要围绕鸡胸肉的需求,而鸡翅只是副产品。 Tracy Alloway 和 Joe Weisenthal:北卡罗来纳州的萨里县是北美汽车棚制造业中心。 Tracy Alloway 和 Joe Weisenthal:一次性电子烟的流行部分源于FDA对Juul等产品的监管,导致其他厂商通过规避监管的方式进入市场。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

How does McDonald's use its app to influence pricing based on customer behavior?

McDonald's app, developed by Plexure, collects data on user behavior, including location, food preferences, ordering habits, and financial behaviors. It uses this data to predict what customers are willing to pay, adjusting prices based on factors like payday, weather, and time of day. For example, it might offer a $3 McMuffin on Thursday before payday but raise it to $4 on Friday when customers have more money.

Why is kidney dialysis a significant part of the federal budget?

Kidney dialysis accounts for about 1% of the federal budget, serving approximately 500,000 patients. The program is costly because patients typically require dialysis three times a week indefinitely, and kidney transplants are rare. Additionally, Medicare fraud has been a significant issue, with billions spent on non-emergency ambulance transportation for dialysis patients.

What is the significance of Boeing's lack of clean sheet aircraft designs?

Boeing hasn't designed a clean sheet aircraft since 2004, and its former CEO stated there are no plans to do so for another decade. This 30-year gap raises concerns about the company's future, as it risks losing market share and engineering expertise. Without new designs, Boeing may struggle to compete and attract top talent in the aerospace industry.

How has Starlink helped Ukraine's postal service during the war?

Starlink has enabled Ukraine's postal service to operate in war-torn areas by providing internet connectivity where infrastructure has been destroyed. Mail carriers download data via Starlink and generators in the morning, work offline during the day, and upload data at night. This system allows the postal service to function independently of central infrastructure, even in occupied or damaged regions.

What strategies do professional sports bettors use to avoid detection by betting platforms?

Professional sports bettors often use multiple accounts, including those of friends or family, to avoid detection. They also place initial bets that appear normal or unprofitable to disguise their expertise. For example, they might bet on popular teams or events to avoid raising suspicion before placing more strategic bets.

Why is Indonesia a key player in the global nickel market?

Indonesia dominates the global nickel market due to its abundant reserves of high-quality ore and significant investments from China. The Chinese government partnered with Indonesia to develop nickel production, which is crucial for electric vehicle batteries. This collaboration has made Indonesia a leading supplier of nickel, essential for the energy transition.

What are the concerns surrounding private credit in the economy?

Private credit lacks transparency, as the value of loans is often unclear until they are exited. This opacity can lead to misvaluation and illiquidity in the market. Additionally, the shift from publicly traded debt to private credit reduces price signals that help policymakers and investors assess economic risks and opportunities.

Why are chicken wing prices so volatile?

Chicken wing prices are volatile because poultry companies primarily base their production on breast meat demand, not wings. Wings make up only 6-8% of the bird, so their supply fluctuates independently of demand. This dynamic leads to significant price swings, such as during the pandemic when wing prices hit an all-time high of $3.21 per pound.

How has the FDA's crackdown on Juul impacted the disposable vape market?

The FDA's crackdown on Juul led to the rise of disposable vapes like Elf Bar, which bypassed regulatory processes by flooding the market through front companies. These companies rebrand frequently and use American citizens as fronts to import products, making it difficult for the FDA to enforce regulations. This has resulted in a proliferation of flavored, disposable vapes.

Chapters
This chapter explores the sophisticated pricing strategies used by companies like McDonald's, leveraging data from their apps to personalize prices based on factors like payday, weather, and consumer behavior. This practice raises concerns about fairness and transparency in pricing during inflationary times.
  • McDonald's uses the Plexure app to gather user data.
  • Data is used to predict willingness to pay based on payday and environmental factors.
  • Concerns about inflation and personalized pricing are discussed.

Shownotes Transcript

As 2024 comes to an end, Tracy and Joe once again look back at the year that was in Odd Lots. On this final episode of the year, we revisit 10 of the most fascinating, surprising and unforgettable facts and ideas that came up on the show in the last 12 months, talking about everything from chicken prices to nickel mining to private finance.

Click here) to revisit these earlier 10 episodes:

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