cover of episode Disney Under Siege | The ‘Bob’ of It All  | 3

Disney Under Siege | The ‘Bob’ of It All | 3

2024/12/25
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Business Wars

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David Brown
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Sean McNulty
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David Brown: 本期节目讨论了迪士尼公司近年来经历的动荡,包括激烈的董事会斗争、股价波动以及CEO更迭。这些事件都对迪士尼的未来发展带来了不确定性。 Sean McNulty: Nelson Peltz 的介入是迪士尼面临挑战的重要因素之一。Peltz 的目标并非为了公司的长远发展,而是为了短期内提升股价,从而增加自身财富。他看准了迪士尼在2022年由于流媒体战争导致成本增加、股价下跌以及CEO更迭等因素造成的困境,试图从中获利。Peltz 拒绝观察员席位,是因为他想要在董事会拥有正式的投票权和发言权,而非仅仅是外部顾问。 Bob Iger 解雇 Ike Perlmutter 的决定,可能与 Peltz 的代理权之争有关,也可能是长期矛盾的爆发。Iger 解雇 Perlmutter 的时机巧妙,既能削弱 Peltz 的影响力,又能顺应公司削减成本的需求。Peltz 第二次试图收购迪士尼,看起来像是报复行为,并且他增加了在公司中的股份。迪士尼拒绝 Peltz 加入董事会,是因为他提供的建议缺乏新意,且可能对公司造成负面影响。迪士尼与 Peltz 之间的代理权之争花费巨大,并且媒体的关注加剧了冲突。Iger 认为 Peltz 没有带来新的想法,反而会分散公司的注意力。Peltz 缺乏娱乐行业经验,且其个性可能与迪士尼的企业文化冲突。允许 Peltz 加入董事会可能会引发更多问题,例如要求更多席位,导致董事会内部不和谐。 Iger 在2020年突然宣布卸任CEO,但实际上他仍然保留了权力,这引发了业界的猜测和疑问。Iger 卸任CEO后仍然担任执行董事长,并保留了对创意内容的控制权,这是一种表面上的权力交接。Bob Chapek 与 Bob Iger 性格迥异,且权力交接过程存在问题,这为 Chapek 的失败埋下了伏笔。Iger 可能预见到了迪士尼的困境,并通过让 Chapek 成为替罪羊来保护自己。好莱坞存在对CEO的过度神话,这在Iger的继任问题中体现得尤为明显。Iger 需要在2026年合同到期时彻底离开迪士尼,否则会影响其职业生涯的评价。Iger 之前的做法给员工带来了负面信息,他需要避免重蹈覆辙。Iger 离任后,迪士尼的未来走向充满不确定性,其中一个可能性是与苹果公司达成交易。 迪士尼2024财年第四季度业绩强劲,流媒体业务实现盈利。迪士尼的电影业务表现出色,但线性电视业务持续下滑,ESPN的未来转型也面临挑战。迪士尼的盈利增长与裁员和成本削减措施有关,但同时也反映了公司业绩的改善。在好莱坞的竞争格局中,Netflix 目前处于领先地位,而迪士尼则在全球范围内拥有广泛的影响力。未来几年好莱坞将继续发生重大变化,其中华纳兄弟探索公司是最大的不确定因素。华纳兄弟探索公司面临着收入下降和转型挑战,未来可能会有重大变动。流媒体将继续发展,但其盈利模式与传统的电视捆绑销售模式存在差异,这将对媒体公司带来挑战。Peltz 对迪士尼的介入没有带来任何实际价值。Peltz 可能在未来再次对迪士尼发起挑战。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why did Nelson Peltz target Disney for a proxy battle?

Nelson Peltz saw an opportunity with Disney's beleaguered stock price in 2022, driven by high spending on streaming and internal CEO conflicts between Bob Chapek and Bob Iger. He aimed to increase his wealth by boosting the stock price, as he had done with other companies like Procter & Gamble and Wendy's.

What were the key reasons Disney resisted Nelson Peltz joining their board?

Disney resisted Peltz because he lacked entertainment industry expertise and didn't offer new ideas. Many of his proposals, like cutting streaming spending and reducing sequels, were already being implemented by Bob Iger. Additionally, his large personality and potential for public statements were seen as a distraction during a critical time for the company.

How did Bob Iger's return as CEO impact Disney's strategy in 2023?

Bob Iger's return in 2023 led to significant cost-cutting measures, including 7,000 layoffs and $7.5 billion in cutbacks. He focused on stabilizing Disney's streaming business, which had been losing money, and addressed structural issues within the company. His leadership also helped fend off Nelson Peltz's proxy battle.

What was the outcome of Nelson Peltz's second attempt to join Disney's board?

Nelson Peltz's second attempt to join Disney's board failed in 2024. Despite amassing a $2.5 billion stake in the company and gaining support from shareholder advisory firms, Disney's board voted to keep the old guard in place, citing Peltz's lack of value-added ideas and potential for distraction.

What challenges did Bob Chapek face as Disney's CEO?

Bob Chapek faced challenges due to the COVID-19 pandemic, which shut down Disney parks and theaters. He also struggled with internal conflicts, as Bob Iger remained involved in creative decisions, creating confusion about leadership. Chapek's tenure was marked by missteps, including public relations issues and a lack of clear direction, leading to his ousting after just two years.

What is the current state of Disney's streaming business?

Disney's streaming business turned a profit of $253 million in Q4 2024, up from a $150 million loss the previous year. This turnaround was driven by price hikes and cost-cutting measures. However, the linear TV business continues to decline, losing 7% of subscribers annually due to cord-cutting.

What is the speculation around Bob Iger's potential deal with Apple?

There is speculation that Bob Iger's final act as Disney CEO could involve a major deal with Apple, potentially merging Disney with a larger tech company. This aligns with Iger's reputation as a dealmaker, having orchestrated acquisitions of Pixar, Marvel, Star Wars, and Fox during his tenure.

How does Disney compare to its rivals in the streaming industry?

Disney is among the top global streaming players, with Disney+ available in 150 countries. Netflix leads in profitability and market cap, while Amazon has also succeeded globally. Disney's streaming business is now profitable, but it faces challenges from declining linear TV revenues and the need to transition ESPN to a direct-to-consumer model.

What is the future of media consolidation in Hollywood?

Media consolidation is expected to continue, with companies like Warner Bros. Discovery and Paramount Global undergoing significant changes. The next 18-24 months may see further mergers or acquisitions as studios struggle with declining cable revenues and the need to scale globally in streaming.

What lessons has Bob Iger learned from his previous succession attempts?

Bob Iger has learned that sticking around in a creative role after stepping down as CEO creates confusion and undermines his successor. He is now focused on a clean exit when his contract ends in 2026, aiming to avoid the mistakes of his previous transition, which left Bob Chapek set up to fail.

Shownotes Transcript

Bob Iger has held the keys to the Disney castle since 2005. The last time this larger-than-life CEO tried to leave, an entire proxy battle broke out under the nose of his successor. Now, with Iger’s contract up in 2026, the entertainment industry (and Wall Street) are wondering who — and what — will come next. Sean McNulty, co-host of The Ankler Podcast, joins David to break down Disney’s next steps, and whether Iger can finally land the plane on his successor. 

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