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cover of episode E87: Emerging markets, Sri Lanka, 9.1% CPI, market sentiment, NASA's Webb telescope & more

E87: Emerging markets, Sri Lanka, 9.1% CPI, market sentiment, NASA's Webb telescope & more

2022/7/14
logo of podcast All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
People
C
Chamath Palihapitiya
以深刻的投资见解和社会资本主义理念而闻名的风险投资家和企业家。
D
David Sacks
一位在房地产法和技术政策领域都有影响力的律师和学者。
Topics
Chamath Palihapitiya:新兴市场正面临多重挑战,包括高债务、通货膨胀飙升、投资者撤资和经济增长放缓等。这些问题相互交织,可能导致金融危机。斯里兰卡的经济危机是这些问题的典型案例,其政府的错误政策,特别是转向有机农业,加剧了经济困境。 David Sacks:全球债务总额巨大,新兴市场债务占很大一部分。由于货币贬值和美元走强,投资者纷纷撤出新兴市场债务,导致债务危机加剧。斯里兰卡的例子说明了新兴市场国家如何因债务、通货膨胀和经济增长放缓而陷入困境。国际货币基金组织和世界银行等机构施加的ESG要求也加剧了这些问题。 Chamath Palihapitiya:斯里兰卡的经济危机可以与牙买加和新加坡进行对比,以了解其成功和失败之处。新加坡通过拥抱多元文化、控制腐败和投资教育和医疗保健,实现了经济繁荣。斯里兰卡则由于腐败、错误的经济政策和与其他国家的疏远而导致经济衰退。 David Sacks:斯里兰卡政府禁止进口化肥和杀虫剂,导致农业减产,最终导致社会崩溃。世界银行和国际货币基金组织施加的ESG要求也加剧了斯里兰卡的经济困境。这表明,在发展中国家实施环境政策时,需要考虑实际情况和潜在的经济影响。

Deep Dive

Chapters
Discussion on the current challenges experienced by emerging markets, including Sri Lanka's economic crisis and its implications. Topics include high bond yields, surging inflation, potential economic contagion, and the impact of global debt.
  • Emerging markets are facing high bond yields and rising debt rates.
  • Investors are pulling out of emerging markets during economic downturns.
  • Sri Lanka's economic crisis is a key example of emerging market struggles.
  • Rising inflation in the US is impacting global investment decisions.
  • Potential for global economic contagion as emerging markets face defaults.

Shownotes Transcript

0:00 Bestie intros!

1:41 Emerging markets, Sri Lanka break down

36:01 9.1% CPI print

48:15 Current market sentiments from retail and institutional investors

1:05:00 NASA's Webb telescope images

1:15:57 Beagle rescue, Biden admin's lack of private sector experience, Russia's new energy play

BEAGLE RESCUE INFO:

https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/12/us/beagles-virginia-facility-rescue/index.html)

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/12/us/envigo-beagles-breeder-adoption.html)

https://www.humanesociety.org/beaglerescue)

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath)

https://linktr.ee/calacanis)

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks)

https://twitter.com/friedberg)

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod)

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast)

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl)

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg)

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect)

Referenced in the show:

https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?end=2021&locations=VN-US-CN&start=1984&view=chart)

https://www.wsj.com/articles/rising-inflation-and-interest-rates-heap-pressure-on-emerging-markets-11655544600)

https://www.cnn.com/asia/live-news/sri-lanka-protests-07-13-22-intl/index.html)

https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/emerging-markets-drive-global-debt-record-303-trillion-iif-2022-02-23/)

https://worldpopulationreview.com/countries/countries-by-gdp)

https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/fertiliser-ban-decimates-sri-lankan-crops-government-popularity-ebbs-2022-03-03)

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/02/what-next-for-sri-lanka/)

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/07/world/asia/sri-lanka-organic-farming-fertilizer.html)

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-05/sri-lanka-aims-to-stop-money-printing-as-inflation-nears-60)

https://twitter.com/chamath/status/561467714485514240)

https://datareportal.com/reports/digital-2022-sri-lanka)

https://michaelshellenberger.substack.com/p/green-dogma-behind-fall-of-sri-lanka)

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3134224/why-china-building-gleaming-new-government-facilities-africa)

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/2186970/how-presidential-palace-burundi-fits-chinas-plans-africa)

https://www.forbes.com/sites/rufaskamau/2022/07/11/inflation-protests-span-sri-lanka-albania-argentina-panama-kenya-ghanahow-long-before-they-hit-the-united-states/)

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/inflation-cpi)

https://www.redfin.com/news/data-center/)

https://fredblog.stlouisfed.org/2014/04/the-taylor-rule/)

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10)

https://www.nbcnews.com/data-graphics/compare-photos-nasas-james-webb-space-telescope-hubble-space-telescope-rcna37875)

https://www.wsj.com/articles/nasa-james-webb-space-telescope-greg-robinson-images-11657137487)

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NOTV:NASDAQ)

https://www.wsj.com/articles/no-business-experience-needed-joe-biden-white-house-officials-committee-to-unleash-prosperity-report-11657661328)