cover of episode Hot Swap growing, donors revolt, President Kamala? SCOTUS breakdown: Immunity, Chevron, Censorship

Hot Swap growing, donors revolt, President Kamala? SCOTUS breakdown: Immunity, Chevron, Censorship

2024/7/4
logo of podcast All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

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C
Chamath Palihapitiya
以深刻的投资见解和社会资本主义理念而闻名的风险投资家和企业家。
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David Sacks
一位在房地产法和技术政策领域都有影响力的律师和学者。
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Jason Calacanis
一位多才多艺的美国互联网企业家、天使投资人和播客主持人,投资过多家知名初创公司,并主持多个影响广泛的播客节目。
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Chamath Palihapitiya:预测市场显示哈里斯成为民主党提名人的可能性正在上升,拜登退出总统竞选的可能性也很高。这反映了人们对拜登精神状态的担忧,以及民主党需要在短期内找到一个能够赢得大选的候选人的现实。 Chamath Palihapitiya还认为,民主党可能会制造重大事件来转移人们对拜登精神状态的关注,并认为媒体在掩盖拜登的精神状态问题。他认为,如果拜登辞职,哈里斯将成为总统,这将提升她的地位和信誉,但也指出哈里斯缺乏经验,可能无法胜任总统职位。他还谈到了美国与俄罗斯关系紧张的局势,以及民主党面临的困境:选择一个能够赢得选举的候选人,而不是只考虑内部因素。 Chamath Palihapitiya还认为,民主党捐助者正在离开民主党,这可能导致民主党领导层发生变化。他认为,拜登不适合连任,这给国家带来了危险。他认为,如果拜登辞职,哈里斯将成为总统,这将提升她的地位和信誉,但也指出哈里斯缺乏经验,可能无法胜任总统职位。 最后,Chamath Palihapitiya认为,民主党应该让拜登体面地竞选,即使这意味着他们会输掉选举。 Jason Calacanis:拜登总统的未来取决于他与乔治·斯蒂芬诺普洛斯的采访表现。如果拜登在采访中表现不佳,他可能无法继续竞选。他认为,拜登只需要证明自己神智清醒就能平息猜测。如果斯蒂芬诺普洛斯在采访中严厉质问拜登,这将是斯蒂芬诺普洛斯职业生涯中的重要时刻。 Jason Calacanis还认为,民主党领导层需要先全力支持拜登,才能有时间选择合适的接替人选。民主党正在争取时间,同时寻找合适的候选人来接替拜登。 David Sacks:民主党无法绕过哈里斯,因为这会冒犯她的支持者,并导致损失大量的竞选资金。民主党不太可能选择一位外部人士作为候选人,因为他们不喜欢亿万富翁。他认为,民主党应该学习共和党在1996年处理多尔竞选的方式,体面地接受失败。

Deep Dive

Shownotes Transcript

(0:00) Bestie Intros!

(5:51) Democrats and their donors are falling out; President Biden to resign? Will VP Harris be the nominee?

(26:22) Cognitive decline coverup, Bestie strategy for Dems

(34:38) SCOTUS clarifies social media moderation

(47:06) SCOTUS overturns Chevron, limiting the power of federal agencies

(1:00:03) SCOTUS to hear case on restricting online porn in Texas

(1:05:27) SCOTUS rules in favor of President Trump in immunity case

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Referenced in the show:

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination)

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/03/us/politics/biden-withdraw-election-debate.html)

https://polymarket.com/event/will-biden-drop-out-of-presidential-race?tid=1720024531014)

https://www.newsweek.com/putin-houthis-cruise-missiles-russia-yemen-1919434)

https://www.ft.com/content/d431b97f-7431-4066-bd80-9dab3b215fea)

https://www.axios.com/2024/06/30/top-aides-shielded-biden-white-house-debate)

https://www.foxnews.com/media/stephanopoulos-snaps-nikki-haley-saying-biden-wont-finish-term-excuse-me-how-do-you-know)

https://x.com/TheKevinDalton/status/1806669560852218045)

https://x.com/0rf/status/1807620571934478683)

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/supreme-court-social-media-laws-florida-texas)

https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/23pdf/22-277_d18f.pdf)

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/supreme-court/supreme-court-justice-voting-decisions-2024-rcna151268)

https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/23pdf/22-451_7m58.pdf)

https://www.scotusblog.com/2024/06/supreme-court-strikes-down-chevron-curtailing-power-of-federal-agencies)

https://www.reuters.com/legal/us-supreme-court-hear-challenge-texas-age-verification-online-porn-2024-07-02)

https://x.com/noalpha_allbeta/status/1808265251202167183)

https://x.com/ewarren/status/1808241509738631388)

https://www.axios.com/2019/06/01/supreme-court-justices-ideology)

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/06/02/supreme-court-justice-math-00152188)

https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/23pdf/23-939_e2pg.pdf)

https://www.scotusblog.com/2024/07/justices-rule-trump-has-some-immunity-from-prosecution)

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/qanon-shaman-sentenced-3-years-role-capitol-riot-rcna5825)

https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/1808558981457326368)