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cover of episode Presidential Debate Reaction, Biden Hot Swap?, Tech unemployment, OpenAI considers for-profit & more

Presidential Debate Reaction, Biden Hot Swap?, Tech unemployment, OpenAI considers for-profit & more

2024/6/29
logo of podcast All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
People
C
Chamath
D
David Friedberg
美国企业家、商人和天使投资者,创立并领导了The Climate Corporation和The Production Board。
D
David Sacks
一位在房地产法和技术政策领域都有影响力的律师和学者。
J
Jason
参与Triple Click播客,讨论RPG游戏党员设定。
Topics
Jason:拜登在总统辩论中的表现是民主党和拜登总统的彻底失败,民主党内部对拜登总统表现的反应是恐慌和焦虑,讨论了让他下台的可能性,民主党应该考虑更换候选人,因为拜登的政策和公众意见脱节,并且他显得过于年迈且缺乏应对能力。预测未来30到60天内,民主党将更换总统候选人。 Chamath:虽然他尊重拜登的贡献,但他认为现在的拜登已经无法胜任总统职务,白宫对他的请求置之不理,这让他意识到民主党内部存在试图控制民主的未经选举的势力,民主党内部存在不道德甚至邪恶的行为,以维持其权力。 David Sacks:认为拜登可能只是表现不佳,不应该因此更换候选人,批评民主党对拜登的不忠诚和缺乏担当,认为媒体对拜登能力的虚假宣传被揭露了,认为尽管有更换候选人的呼声,但拜登不太可能主动下台,认为拜登最终会下台,因为缺乏资金支持。 David Friedberg:早在十月,他就已经意识到拜登不适合担任总统,主流媒体和民主党领导层对拜登能力的描述与事实不符,这是一种对民主的破坏,主流媒体和民主党领导层一直在对拜登的能力状况撒谎,拜登的认知能力随着年龄增长而下降,这需要透明度,但目前却相反,民主党更关心的是维持权力,而不是对特朗普的厌恶。 Jason:预测拜登将在未来30天内退出总统竞选,并认为这是对民主的严重威胁,将拜登下台比作他父亲当年处理他祖父无法驾车的情况,认为应该让拜登退休。 David Sacks:反驳了关于拜登不适合担任总统的观点,并引用吉尔·拜登的评价,认为拜登应该退休,并批评了民主党对他的支持,认为拜登团队没有人辞职是因为他们实际上只是拜登的幕僚,而不是真正的领导者。 David Sacks:认为媒体对拜登能力的虚假宣传被揭露了,认为尽管有更换候选人的呼声,但拜登不太可能主动下台,呼吁对拜登给予支持,并批评民主党的不当行为。 Jason:谴责民主党的不当行为,并呼吁拜登下台。

Deep Dive

Chapters
The All-In hosts analyze Biden's debate performance, describing it as a "disaster" and sparking discussions of a potential "hotswap." His gaffes and confused moments, highlighted by clips and commentary from various news sources, fuel speculation about his fitness for office and the Democratic Party's potential next steps.
  • Biden's debate performance was widely criticized as dismal.
  • Prediction markets show a significant drop in Biden's odds of winning.
  • The hosts discuss the possibility of Biden being replaced by another candidate (a "hotswap").

Shownotes Transcript

(0:00) Bestie intros!

(1:54) Debate recap and analysis: Hot swap incoming?

(16:53) Subverting democracy, power grab, Democratic party shakeup

(36:43) Why tech job postings are down significantly from pre-COVID levels

(42:43) OpenAI considering for-profit conversion

(54:11) The problem with safety-focused AI startups

(1:03:20) EU charges Microsoft with antitrust violations for bundling Teams into Office

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl)

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg)

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect)

Referenced in the show:

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination)

https://polymarket.com/event/will-biden-drop-out-of-presidential-race?tid=1719589320811)

https://youtu.be/R6hJh-OwoZw)

https://x.com/KellyO/status/1806505436457189594)

https://x.com/WesternLensman/status/1806660589315658003)

https://x.com/stoolpresidente/status/1806496453545586779)

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE)

https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-ceo-says-company-could-become-benefit-corporation-akin-to-rivals-anthropic-xai)

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-06-19/openai-co-founder-plans-new-ai-focused-research-lab)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YMnkqY98Cyo)

https://x.com/benioff/status/1805664701298491623)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CwQMMzoeH9s)

https://x.com/JoeBiden/status/1806739920255320347)