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cover of episode The numbers were good, but feelings were bad: The US economy in 2024

The numbers were good, but feelings were bad: The US economy in 2024

2024/12/23
logo of podcast Consider This from NPR

Consider This from NPR

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People
C
Cindy Siner
E
Ellie Currence
J
Jerome Powell
现任美联储主席,曾任投资银行家和律师,领导美联储应对COVID-19疫情和控制通胀。
S
Scott Horsley
T
Teresa Wolf
播音员
主持著名true crime播客《Crime Junkie》的播音员和创始人。
Topics
播音员: 2024年美国经济数据向好,通货膨胀下降,实际工资上涨,GDP增长强劲,失业率低,汽油价格下降。但高昂的生活成本,特别是食品和住房价格,导致许多美国人对经济现状感到不满,这成为特朗普胜选的关键因素之一。共和党和民主党人对未来经济走势的预期出现逆转。 Jerome Powell: 美国经济表现优异,在国际上备受赞赏,但美联储主席承认民众对物价上涨,特别是食品、交通和住房价格上涨感到不满,这波通货膨胀是全球性的。 Sydney Siner: 尽管经济数据向好,但许多美国人仍然因高昂的生活成本而感到沮丧,他们努力工作却感觉没有比过去几十年更好,不得不削减开支,精打细算。 Scott Horsley: 客观来看,美国经济状况良好,但高物价,特别是食品价格,以及高利率,导致民众不满,这与民调结果相符。特朗普的政策可能无法解决高物价问题,甚至可能推高物价。 Teresa Wolf: 作为家电销售员,她观察到高利率增加了消费者的购买成本,特别是低收入家庭。她本人对特朗普再次当选感到乐观,认为这将给经济带来希望。 Cindy Siner: 食品价格上涨是民众最关注的问题,因为食品是必需品,价格上涨对家庭生活造成很大影响。 Ellie Currence: 高生活成本导致许多家庭只能维持生存,无法追求更好的生活,例如搬到更好的学区。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why are many Americans still dissatisfied with the economy despite its strong performance?

Despite strong GDP growth and low unemployment, many Americans are frustrated by high costs of living, particularly in food, housing, and other necessities. This dissatisfaction has fueled political unrest and contributed to Donald Trump's political comeback.

What economic indicators show the U.S. economy is performing well?

The U.S. economy added about 2 million jobs this year, unemployment is low, and gasoline prices are below $3 a gallon in much of the country. GDP grew at an annual rate of more than 3% in the late summer and early fall.

How has inflation impacted American households?

Inflation has cooled, but prices for essentials like groceries and housing remain high. Grocery prices have risen by 22% since President Biden took office, while wages have only increased by 19%. This has reduced real buying power for many families.

What role did economic dissatisfaction play in the recent election?

Economic dissatisfaction, particularly with high costs of living, was a key factor in Donald Trump's election victory. Voters' unhappiness with rising prices and inflation contributed to his political comeback.

What are the potential economic impacts of Trump's proposed policies?

Trump's policies, such as increasing domestic energy production and imposing tariffs, could potentially raise prices further, especially for lower-income families. Mass deportations could also increase costs and make it harder for employers to maintain job growth.

How do different political groups view the future of the economy?

Republicans are generally optimistic, with 70% expecting the economy to improve under Trump. In contrast, 60% of Democrats expect the economy to worsen, reflecting the deep political polarization in the U.S.

What has been the impact of high interest rates on consumers?

High interest rates, imposed to combat inflation, have increased borrowing costs, making it more expensive for consumers to buy homes, cars, and other big-ticket items. This has particularly affected lower-income families.

Chapters
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Shownotes Transcript

By most objective measures, the US economy is in good shape. Employers added about 2 million jobs this year. Unemployment is low. In much of the country, gasoline is now selling for less than $3 a gallon. The Economist has called the United States' performance "the envy of the world."But even as the U.S. is outperforming most other countries, many Americans remain frustrated by the high cost of living. And that's fueled a lot of unhappiness, and a political comeback for President-elect Donald Trump. Trump will soon take the reins of an economy that's bounced back strongly during the four years he was out of office. For many families, though, that rebound was overshadowed by soaring prices for food, housing, and other necessities.Will his policies bring costs down? Or rekindle inflation? For sponsor-free episodes of Consider This, sign up for Consider This+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org).Email us at [email protected]).Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices)NPR Privacy Policy)