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cover of episode Despite Iran conflict, U.S. oil production is unlikely to budge

Despite Iran conflict, U.S. oil production is unlikely to budge

2025/6/23
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Catherine Lundeen
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Clark Williams Derry
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Guy Labar
H
Hugh Daigle
J
John Conrad
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Lawrence Gillum
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Lawrence Yoon
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Martha Gimbel
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Morgan Bazilian
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Randy Vogel
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Selma Hipp
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Martha Gimbel: 我认为2025年经济领域的主题是“不确定性”，但人们正在适应这种状态。关税和中东局势都带来了不确定性，但人们已经学会了在这些不确定环境中运营。我关注油价，虽然现在油价有所稳定，但我不确定中东的军事行动是否会引发更大的冲突。此外，美国国债市场出现了一些下降，因为美联储成员暗示他们可能更愿意降息。美联储可能比预期更早降息，因为通胀较低，且有迹象表明经济可能不像表面那么强劲。失业率有所上升，驱逐出境可能会对劳动力市场产生影响，移民减少可能会阻碍劳动力市场和整体经济的发展。在不确定性增加的情况下，美国资产可能仍然是一个舒适的投资选择。 Martha Gimbel: 我认为现在人们需要找到他们觉得可以放心投资的地方。考虑到中东的紧张局势，看起来有些人正在回到美国资产，因为在不确定性增加的时候，这里会让人感到舒适。当然，下周的情况可能会发生变化，我们谁也不知道。

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Shownotes Transcript

After launching air strikes on Iranian unclear facilities over the weekend, President Trump posted to Truth Social, demanding that U.S. oil firms “drill, baby, drill.” Although ongoing conflict in the Middle East could balloon oil prices, it’s unlikely that domestic producers are racing to ramp up production just yet. Also in this episode: Renting may be more appealing than buying right now, Treasury auctions see stability, and tariffs threaten the success of a Wyoming trona mine.

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