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cover of episode The Fed's got an interest rate decision to make

The Fed's got an interest rate decision to make

2025/6/16
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Marketplace
AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
People
A
Alan Collard-Wexler
A
Anne Owen
B
Brian Reeling
B
Bridget
专注于打击数字骗局和保护个人隐私的个人，特别是在 AI 生成的虚假讣告方面。
D
Dottie Myers
E
Emily Blanchard
I
Ishwar Prasad
J
Jennifer Lee
J
Jenny Schutz
J
Josh Spores
J
Justin Ho
M
Mark Olson
N
Neil Saunders
O
Ole Luchens
P
Patrick Fleming
P
Philip Bell
R
Rashad Kossum
T
Teresa Ford
Y
Yelena Sholetyova
Z
Zach Stambour
Topics
Anne Owen: 我认为目前最大的难题是五月份的通货膨胀率为何如此之低。几个月来我们一直听到关税会推高物价，但五月份的通货膨胀几乎没有变动。这可能因为消费者需求低迷，或者公司为了赶在关税生效前囤积了一些库存。我们需要更多的数据来验证这些理论。 Yelena Sholetyova: 我观察到消费者已经提前购买了商品，我自己也提前购买了一些童鞋之类的东西，因为我们认为关税会是那个样子。现在消费者可能会减少购买。 Emily Blanchard: 关税旨在鼓励国内生产，公司可能会购买更多的国产钢铁和铝，这将增加产量。然而，所有这些变动的部分使得很难全面了解经济的走向。 Jennifer Lee: 现在对于中央银行家来说，要弄清楚他们的国家经济是会强劲稳定增长还是会崩溃，并非易事。存在来自中东的地缘政治风险，以及来自美国的贸易风险。我们不确定所有关税会造成多大的损害。 Ishwar Prasad: 全球经济增长看起来相当黯淡。在所有不确定性下，不作为是中央银行家采取的谨慎做法。 Brian Reeling: 预计美联储本周不会改变利率。经济运行良好，就业市场看起来也不错，所以没有理由立即做出改变。美联储将保持观望，直到特朗普总统的关税和减税政策对通货膨胀和增长产生何种影响变得更加明朗。

Deep Dive

Chapters
The Federal Open Market Committee is meeting to make an interest rate decision, analyzing economic data like May retail sales and industrial production to understand low inflation despite tariffs. Central banks globally face similar challenges, with various economic factors influencing their decisions.
  • Federal Open Market Committee meeting to decide on interest rates
  • Analysis of May retail sales, industrial production, and business inventories
  • Low inflation despite tariffs, various theories explored
  • Global central banks facing similar economic challenges

Shownotes Transcript

The Federal Open Market Committee meets later this week, and it’s pretty likely they’ll examine why tariffs didn’t drive inflation up in May. The good news? A slew of economic data coming out this week could clear things up, and help them make an interest rate decision. Also in this episode: Other central banks have June meetings on the books, domestic steel production ramps up under tariffs — but steel jobs don’t — and Halloween came early this year. Like, really early.

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