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cover of episode 98% of Housing Markets “Weaker” Than Last Year: Good News for Investors?

98% of Housing Markets “Weaker” Than Last Year: Good News for Investors?

2025/5/22
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BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast

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D
Dave
活跃的房地产投资者和分析师,专注于房地产市场预测和投资策略。
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Dave Meyer: 我认为目前房地产市场普遍疲软,49/50的大城市房价增长放缓,这既是挑战也是机遇。虽然部分市场出现负增长,但多数市场仍在增长,整体呈现“软化”趋势。我认为这长期来看对我的投资组合和整个房地产市场的健康都是最好的。目前住房负担能力接近40年来的最低点,这对投资者、房主和整体经济都不利。恢复住房负担能力有三种途径:房价增长放缓或下跌、工资增长和抵押贷款利率下降,我认为需要这三种因素共同作用。房价下跌意味着竞争减少,会有更好的交易机会,这是供需关系决定的。如果你拥有房产并且价格下跌,这只是账面损失,因为你没有出售房产,所以没有实际损失。我个人关注的小型多户住宅市场在过去几年里被过度抬高,现在开始走弱,这对我来说是一个以更好的租金与价格比购买,获得更好价值和未来股权增长潜力的机会。因为我看到了更好的交易,所以我开始筹集资金,考虑如何购买更多的小型多户住宅或独栋住宅,也可能购买多户住宅。我可能会出售一套房产来筹集资金,以便购买更多的交易。我想将资金重新配置到价格更低、未来市场好转时更有增长潜力的房产上。

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The year-over-year price growth in 49 out of 50 major housing markets is weakening. While some markets are experiencing negative growth, many are still positive but growing slower than before. This 'softening' is more pronounced in certain regions like Florida and Texas, while the Northeast and Midwest remain stronger. National home prices grew by 4.6% last year but only 1.2% this year.
  • 49 of 50 largest housing markets show weaker year-over-year price growth
  • Prices are still up year over year nationally and in many markets
  • Softening is more evident in Florida, Texas, and Louisiana, while Northeast and Midwest remain stronger
  • National home prices grew by 4.6% from 2023-2024 and 1.2% from 2024-2025

Shownotes Transcript

49 of the nation’s 50 largest metro area housing markets are showing “weaker” home price) growth in 2025. For some, this signals a long-predicted crash/correction on the horizon. But for others (like Dave), it’s something very different, and could be a** huge help for the aspiring real estate) investor. **

For years, we’ve been struggling with a dangerous combination of high rates, high home prices, and low affordability). If top markets are starting to weaken and** prices are softening**, could this actually be a good sign for investors and buyers waiting on the sidelines? If mortgage rates) come down and wages continue to grow, are we inching closer to equilibrium and the more affordable housing market we’ve all been waiting for?

In this bonus episode, Dave is explaining why** housing market “weakness” is a sign of long-term strength and a huge opportunity** for investors willing to make moves. Don’t believe him? Dave shares a personal bet he’s making on the housing market—with a lot of money on the line—that could turn out to be a genius move in the years ahead. What’s his plan? Stick around, we’re getting into it!

In This Episode We Cover

Why 98% of major housing markets are seeing “weaker” home price growth in 2025

Why price softness does NOT signal a crash or correction

Good news for first-time homebuyers): purchasing could become more affordable

The three factors of an affordable housing market (and are we shifting to better affordability?)

Dave’s recent rental property move to capitalize on this window of opportunity 

And **So **Much More!

Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠) and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/real-estate-1124⁠-5)

Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠[email protected]⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠).

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