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cover of episode Investor Who Timed Market (3 Times!) Says Now May Be Bottom

Investor Who Timed Market (3 Times!) Says Now May Be Bottom

2025/6/27
logo of podcast BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast

BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast
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Brian Burke
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Dave Meyer
Topics
Dave Meyer: 目前房地产市场正经历调整，房价预计在2025年下半年下降，这为投资者提供了机会。然而，在市场下行时，需要采取正确的投资策略，避免盲目抄底。投资者应关注实际现金流和价值增值，同时优化税收政策。此外，市场出现新的动态，如竞标战减少、卖家降价和房屋在市场上停留时间更长，这些都值得投资者关注。 Brian Burke: 我个人倾向于在市场触底反弹时购买，而不是在市场下跌时购买。如果有长期投资计划，并且能获得现金流，那么以较低的价格购买房产总是好事。然而，如果期望短期内通过房产升值获利，那可能时机不对。重要的是做好准备，以便在市场好转时能够参与其中，而不是袖手旁观。要关注现金流，努力寻找好的交易，进行翻新，增加价值。目前的住宅市场处于轻微的逆流状态，但并非像2008年那样严重。重要的是要有谦逊的态度，承认无法预测市场何时会发生变化，但要相信长期来看，平均水平会占上风。

Deep Dive

Chapters
Real estate prices are expected to fall in the second half of 2025, creating opportunities for investors. However, it's crucial to approach investment strategically to avoid pitfalls. The discussion emphasizes the importance of cash flow and value-add strategies in navigating a market correction.
  • Home prices are predicted to drop in many areas.
  • Investors should prepare for price drops and buy strategically.
  • Focus on cash flow and value-add properties.

Shownotes Transcript

The **housing market is **already predicted to see price cuts) by the end of the year, but is now the time to buy, or should you wait for further price movement? We brought on an investor who has successfully timed the housing market (three times) to give his thoughts on whether we’re at the bottom or we have a long way to go. If you’ve been holding out for lower home prices and less competition, should you take the risk and wait, knowing a rebound could be on the way?

Through a combination of genius and a bit of luck,** Brian Burke **has sold, bought, and sold at the right times repeatedly. He exited the majority of his real estate portfolio) in the early 2020s as prices hit all-time highs and competition was fierce. For the last three and a half years, he hadn’t bought anything, up until very recently. Is this a signal that now is the time to buy?

Today, we’re asking Brian whether 2025 is the right time to buy (and for which assets), how to get in “position” to make a profit as home prices decline, the sellers most likely to give you concessions and further price cuts, and signs YOU should sell your headache rental and trade it for something better. The second half of 2025 could be when the scales tip—are you ready to make a move?

In This Episode We Cover

Buying near the bottom and how to capitalize on the **steepest price cuts **

What Brian looks for in a rental property during a down market 

How to** get even deeper discounts** (and seller concessions)) in 2025 

**Signs that you should **sell your rental) and redeploy the profits 

How much debt) to take on during volatile times in the housing market 

And **So **Much More!

Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠) and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/real-estate-1140)

Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠[email protected]⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠).

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