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cover of episode China Growth Surprise, US Bearing Tariff Pain, Europe’s Investor Appeal

China Growth Surprise, US Bearing Tariff Pain, Europe’s Investor Appeal

2025/4/16
logo of podcast Bloomberg Daybreak: Europe Edition

Bloomberg Daybreak: Europe Edition

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Bloomberg Daybreak的主持人: 中国经济在2025年前三个月增长强劲,但美国的高额关税引发了担忧。多家国际银行下调了对中国经济增长的预测。美国禁止英伟达向中国销售H20芯片,对半导体行业造成冲击。美国进口商承担了几乎所有关税的成本。由于美国经济前景黯淡,越来越多的美国人正在英国寻找工作机会。 Mark Cranfield: 投资者密切关注中国应对美国关税冲击的刺激措施,并希望看到持续的刺激措施和安抚性言论。 朱光耀: 美国对中国的贸易行为迫使中国采取报复性关税措施。中国尊重美国,并致力于保持与美国稳定健康的关系,但被迫采取行动进行反击。 Jamie Dimon: 美国和中国应该立即开始贸易谈判,特朗普的贸易战正在损害美国的信誉。 Annabelle Droolers: 英伟达为满足美国对中国先进技术的出口限制而专门设计的H20芯片,被认为过于先进,可能被用于中国超级计算机的研发,因此被禁止销售。 Katya Dmitrieva: 中国第一季度GDP增长5.4%,主要由生产和消费推动,但关税对未来增长构成威胁。中国第一季度消费增长强劲,但这是由于政府补贴,未来可能难以持续。尽管中国第一季度GDP数据向好,但房地产投资下降和高失业率仍然令人担忧。一些经济学家认为,考虑到关税的影响,中国难以实现5%的经济增长目标。一些长期关注中国经济的专家认为,中国政府将采取措施实现5%的增长目标。美中贸易谈判目前处于僵持状态,美国消费者将受到通货膨胀的影响。 Alice Gledhill: 特朗普的政策导致投资者将资金从美国市场转向欧洲市场,推动了欧洲资产的增长。特朗普不可预测的政策和德国的财政刺激计划,导致投资者对欧洲市场的看法发生改变。美国例外论正在减弱,美元的主导地位面临质疑,欧洲市场正在崛起。美国国债和股票的剧烈价格波动,引发了市场对美联储干预的担忧。 David Koston: 投资者关注未来一年的增长前景,对企业利润轨迹缺乏信心。 James Wilcock: 由于美国政府削减联邦科学项目资金,越来越多的美国人在英国寻找工作机会。

Deep Dive

Shownotes Transcript

Your morning briefing, the business news you need in just 15 minutes.

On today's podcast:

(1) China’s economy showed surprising strength in early 2025 with a sharp uptick in March, though a trade impasse with Donald Trump has prompted calls for stimulus to offset the tariff shock.

(2) President Donald Trump called on China to reach out to him in order to kick off negotiations aimed at resolving the escalating trade fight between the world’s two largest economies.

(3) President Donald Trump’s administration has barred Nvidia from selling its H20 chip to China, an escalation of Washington’s tech battle with Beijing that will cost the company billions of dollars and hamstring a product line it explicitly designed to comply with previous US curbs.

(4) Import prices for March came in soft – but not soft enough. Bloomberg Economics's calculations of tariff-inclusive import prices indicate that, two months into Trade War 2.0, US importers have borne the brunt of almost all the tariffs so far.

(5) Americans are increasingly looking for jobs in Britain amid President Donald Trump’s funding cuts and a darkening economic outlook.

(6) Donald Trump's push to reshape global trade and security has shocked European markets into life, driving investors to assets from stocks to bonds and the euro, in a way few could have imagined even 6 months ago.

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