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Iran and the Nuclear Bomb

2020/12/16
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CONFLICTED

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A
Aimen
T
Thomas
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Thomas: 本集讨论了伊朗核计划的地区背景、拜登政府上任后的地区局势以及法赫里扎德遇刺事件的细节。讨论了伊朗获得核武器的危险性,特别强调了伊朗将核技术转移给非国家行为体的可能性。还分析了奥巴马政府的伊核协议,以及该协议未能阻止伊朗发展核武器的原因。最后,讨论了法赫里扎德遇刺事件对地区局势的影响,以及拜登政府未来可能采取的行动。 Aimen: 伊朗发展核武器的动机与其地区战略和地缘政治目标有关,这与其他国家发展核武器的动机不同。伊朗将核技术转移给非国家行为体(如也门胡塞武装和黎巴嫩真主党)的可能性,增加了地区不稳定性。伊核协议未能阻止伊朗发展核武器,原因在于伊朗利用什叶派教义中的“隐瞒”(Taqiyya)原则,表面上遵守协议,暗地里却进行核武器研发。法赫里扎德遇刺事件是针对伊朗核计划的行动,目的是阻止伊朗获得核武器。该事件也向拜登政府发出了警告,表明以色列和阿拉伯国家反对拜登政府重新加入伊核协议。伊朗在遇刺事件后没有采取报复行动,是因为报复行动的风险大于不报复行动的风险。

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The hosts discuss why Iran's potential acquisition of a nuclear bomb is particularly dangerous, considering other regional powers already have nuclear capabilities.

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In November, Iran’s top nuclear scientist Mohsen Fakhrizadeh was assassinated, and so Thomas and Aimen return to discuss the regional context of Iran’s nuclear program, what’s next for the region once Joe Biden takes office, and Aimen reveals how the assassination unfolded step-by-step. Plus, you will hear an update on Season 3 and a very special guest.

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