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cover of episode President Erdogan: The Mask Slips

President Erdogan: The Mask Slips

2023/9/27
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CONFLICTED

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Eamon Dean 和 Thomas Small:埃尔多安总统的统治时期,土耳其在自由主义西方和保守主义东方之间摇摆不定。他的经济、社会福利、世俗化政策以及与欧盟的关系都体现了这一点。军队及其政变倾向一直困扰着他。本集分析了他执政期间的言行不一,以及如何巩固权力,并克服地下反对派,最终揭示了他与穆兄会的联系。 他们讨论了1997年的“软政变”,埃尔多安如何从中吸取教训,并采取策略来应对土耳其军队和西方的不可靠性。他们还探讨了埃尔多安如何利用“Taqiyya”(隐瞒)策略,暂时隐瞒宗教目标,先争取权力,再实现意识形态目标。 他们分析了埃尔多安执政初期在经济方面的成功,以及他为加入欧盟而进行的人权改革。然而,他们也指出,这些改革更多是为了迎合欧盟,而非出于真心。他们还讨论了埃尔多安与欧盟和美国在头巾禁令、伊拉克战争等问题上的冲突。 他们进一步探讨了埃尔多安在阿拉伯之春期间对穆兄会理想的支持,以及他与费图拉·居伦的复杂关系。他们解释了埃尔多安如何利用居伦的支持者清除反对者,以及居伦在2013年如何反击,试图推翻埃尔多安。 最后,他们讲述了2016年土耳其政变未遂事件,以及埃尔多安如何利用民众支持挫败政变,并进一步巩固权力。他们还讨论了埃尔多安主义的兴起以及它与凯末主义的对比。 Ayman:对埃尔多安的分析,需要理解其背后的苏菲教派和政治背景。埃尔多安和居伦是刺向凯末主义的两刃剑,他们都致力于推翻凯末主义。居伦及其追随者通过渗透军队和社会,为埃尔多安的崛起铺平了道路。埃尔多安利用居伦的支持者清除反对者,但最终与居伦反目成仇。埃尔多安的成功在于他成功地将自己定位为虔诚穆斯林的唯一代表,从而获得了坚实的支持基础。

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The discussion revolves around whether President Erdogan of Turkey is an Islamist, based on a quote from a Kuwaiti politician who met him in 2010.

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President Erdogan’s time in power has been a fascinating period for Turkey - at once nodding to the liberal West, while simultaneously winking at the more Conservative East. It’s his country in a nutshell, and his policies in economics, social welfare, secularisation and his relationship with the EU all prove it. But one thing has always haunted him: the army, and their historical proclivity towards coups.

In this second episode on the life and times of Erdogan, we analyse his time at the top of Turkish politics. We’ll see him saying one thing while doing another, and securing Turkey’s status as one of the globe’s most significant geopolitical players. And finally, we’ll show how he overcame an underground opposition that tried to force him from power, allowing him to consolidate his own. Could this be the thing which let his mask slip, revealing his Muslim Brotherhood credentials?

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