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cover of episode GOP: Knocked Down, Not Out?

GOP: Knocked Down, Not Out?

2023/11/9
logo of podcast Beyond the Polls with Henry Olsen

Beyond the Polls with Henry Olsen
AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
People
C
Craig Gilbert
H
Henry
活跃在房地产投资和分析领域的专业人士，参与多个房地产市场预测和分析讨论。
K
Kristen Soltis Anderson
R
Ryan Olsen
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Spencer Kimball
Topics
Henry: 本期节目讨论了共和党初选的最新民调结果，以及特朗普在初选中持续领先的原因。同时，节目还探讨了其他共和党候选人，例如妮基·黑利和罗恩·德桑蒂斯，他们如何挑战特朗普的领先地位。 Kristen Soltis Anderson: 根据民调数据，支持特朗普的共和党选民主要集中在低教育程度、低收入和中年人群体。与2016年相比，特朗普的支持者群体在性别和意识形态上发生了转变，现在更受女性和保守派的支持。许多共和党选民支持特朗普是因为他们熟悉并信任他，即使他们知道他并非完美无缺。特朗普的竞争对手需要既提升自身吸引力，又说服支持者放弃对特朗普的支持。如果特朗普的竞争对手能够有效反击，妮基·黑利更有可能成为最终的挑战者，因为她能够吸引更广泛的选民群体，并且更具选举性。蒂姆·斯科特竞选活动进展缓慢，主要是因为他未能与特朗普形成足够的对比，也没有充分展现自身优势。

Deep Dive

Chapters
Kristen Soltis Anderson discusses the demographic factors that predict support for Trump, including education level, income, and age, highlighting the strong support among less educated and lower-income voters.

Shownotes Transcript

We're hearing that voters prefer a "generic candidate." Today Henry and his polling buddies consider this ideal alongside the less popular incarnate candidates before us. Kristen Soltis Anderson covers interesting shifts in Trump voter demographics and the weak challenges by his primary opponents; Spencer Kimball joins to discuss Biden's waning support with key Democratic blocs and his trailing Republicans in swing states; and Craig Gilbert dives into one of the essential swing states, clueing us in on what to look for in the race for Wisconsin.And stay tuned to the end for the first ever “Olsen Rants!” This time he freestyles on the GOP’s rough night on Tuesday. He'll set you straight on what happened in Virginia, Kentucky, Ohio, Pennsylvania and more. The good news? It ain't as bad as you think!