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cover of episode Iowa: The Eye of the Storm

Iowa: The Eye of the Storm

2023/8/31
logo of podcast Beyond the Polls with Henry Olsen

Beyond the Polls with Henry Olsen

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B
Brianne Pfannenstiel
H
Henry Olson
R
Ramesh Ponnuru
S
Stephen Shepard
Topics
Stephen Shepard分析了飓风伊代利亚对德桑蒂斯竞选的影响,认为虽然妥善处理灾难可能提升德桑蒂斯在佛罗里达州的声望,但这是否会影响爱荷华州党团会议或新罕布什尔州初选的结果仍存在不确定性。他指出,德桑蒂斯竞选的核心是强调其能力和执行力,而有效处理飓风可以强化这一形象。他还讨论了自然灾害对其他政治人物的影响,例如克里斯·克里斯蒂在处理飓风桑迪事件中的经验教训。Shepard还谈到了拜登总统的高龄问题,以及民调显示的公众对其年龄的担忧,认为这对于民主党来说是一个潜在的风险。他分析了拜登的低支持率以及经济政策的有效性,并指出2024年大选可能与2016年大选更为相似,选民对两党候选人的不满情绪可能更高。

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Stephen Shepard discusses the impact of natural disasters on political leaders, particularly focusing on Ron DeSantis and his potential handling of Hurricane Idalia.

Shownotes Transcript

The GOP is one debate into the 2024 primary season, and many are eager to see how the winds have turned. Henry's back with another batch of polling savants to assess. Politico's **Steven Shepard **considers whether Hurricane Idalia's big splash in Florida's Big Bend will breathe some life into Ron DeSantis' campaign. Brianne Pfannenstiel of *The Des Moines Register *explains the Iowa caucus, and fills us in on the key lessons to take away from the showing in 2016. And Ramesh Ponnuru joins to discuss last week'sRepublican debate—which you may have noticed was missing its party's frontrunner. Henry also covers Team Biden's powerful "These Guys" ad. All this and more awaits beyond the polls!