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cover of episode Sick, Sad World
People
A
Amy Walter
G
Greg Bluestein
H
Henry Olson
R
Rich Lowry
Topics
Amy Walter分析了拜登在民主党初选中获胜的原因，认为民主党选民最看重的是谁能击败特朗普，而拜登在这方面一直领先。内华达州初选的结果扭转了选情，因为桑德斯的崛起让民主党选民意识到需要一个更可靠的候选人来对抗特朗普。拜登的优势在于他既不是桑德斯也不是特朗普，这让他成为那些既不想支持桑德斯也不想支持特朗普的中间选民的最佳选择。拜登在没有充足资金和组织的情况下取得成功，这将改变人们对总统竞选的看法。拜登的成功源于其知名度和民主党选民的首要目标——击败特朗普。拜登的挑战在于，他需要向选民证明自己不仅仅是“非特朗普”的候选人，还需要展现自己的个人魅力和政策主张。民主党最佳策略是将大选焦点放在特朗普身上，而不是具体的政策议题。当前的疫情危机对特朗普来说既是挑战也是机遇。特朗普的特殊性使得很难预测他能否利用当前危机扭转选情。特朗普的极化性使其难以获得广泛支持，但疫情危机可能使其在边缘选民中获得一些支持。特朗普的强烈的负面评价使其难以获得“团结一致”的支持。特朗普的民调支持率达到47%或48%就足以让他赢得选举。

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Joe Biden's strength in the Democratic primary was his perceived electability against Donald Trump, which kept him competitive despite financial and organizational challenges. His victory in Nevada and endorsements from other candidates solidified his position as the most electable alternative to Bernie Sanders.

Shownotes Transcript

Biden’s up, the market’s down, and all is definitely not well in America. This week’s podcast looks forward to November’s general election to discuss what this all means for the President as he grapples with a crisis of immense proportion with The Cook Political Report’s Amy Walter and National Review’s Rich Lowry. The Atlanta Journal-Constitution’s Greg Bluestein joins the show to talk about how... Source)