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cover of episode The Coming Labor Shortage Is Not Good News

The Coming Labor Shortage Is Not Good News

2024/7/2
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Good on Paper
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德国基督教民主联盟主席，2025年德国总理候选人，长期从事金融政策和法律工作。
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Adam Ozimek
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Adam Ozimek认为，流行的观点认为劳动力短缺对工人有利，这种观点过于简单化，忽略了人口老龄化带来的其他负面影响。他指出，短期劳动力短缺可以通过提高工资来解决，但长期劳动力短缺则源于人口减少，这会导致创新、创业和生产力增长下降，最终损害经济整体和工人的利益。他认为，单纯关注工资增长而忽略经济整体和工人作为消费者的利益是不全面的。他还指出，过度紧张的劳动力市场会导致通货膨胀，这会抵消工资增长的益处。Ozimek建议，应对人口老龄化，可以通过提高生育率和增加移民来解决。他认为，限制移民不利于经济发展，流行的观点认为劳动力减少会提高本地工人工资，这种观点是错误的，因为它忽略了移民对商品和服务需求的贡献以及对创新、创业和生产力增长的贡献。 Jerusalem Dempses引导了与Adam Ozimek的对话，探讨了疫情后劳动力市场紧张的现象及其对工人和经济的影响。她提出了关于充分就业、通货膨胀和人口老龄化的相关问题，并与Adam Ozimek一起分析了劳动力短缺的不同类型及其对工人和经济的长期影响。她还探讨了人们对通货膨胀和失业的不同态度，以及如何平衡劳动力市场紧张与经济稳定之间的关系。

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The episode explores the implications of an aging workforce on labor markets, discussing whether it leads to greater worker power or presents challenges.

Shownotes Transcript

Does an aging workforce mean greater worker power?

One of the takeaways from pro-worker advocates during the pandemic financial crisis was that employees saw fantastic gain. As demand for workers skyrocketed, employees got to be choosy. What bosses called “The Great Resignation” was actually workers having the power to demand better wages and working conditions, as well as the willingness to quit jobs that wouldn’t offer those things.

But economist Adam Ozimek) warns that people may be taking the wrong lesson about tight labor markets, and that the coming labor shortage isn’t cause for celebration—but concern.

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