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cover of episode EP518 | 🌴

EP518 | 🌴

2024/12/28
logo of podcast Gooaye 股癌

Gooaye 股癌

AI Deep Dive AI Insights AI Chapters Transcript
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星木工
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星木工: 我詳細介紹了Honeywell太空人RO濾淨瞬熱飲水機的優點,包括其方便快捷的操作、安全健康的淨水技術以及節省空間的設計。它採用美國G1逆滲透膜的四合一濾芯,一年只需更換一次,並具有每小時UVC循環殺菌功能,確保飲用水安全衛生。此外,它免安裝、免工具,非常方便使用。 關於中國AI模型DeepSeek V3,我認為它對市場的影響將是巨大且長遠的。雖然其性能可能不如西方國家的模型,但其成本低廉,極具競爭力,這將對科技巨頭造成巨大的價格競爭壓力。這種壓力並非來自直接的市場競爭,而是會促使科技巨頭重新評估其資本支出,並反思自身策略。DeepSeek V3的出現只是第一槍,未來可能會有更多類似模型出現,這將對整個伺服器市場的供需關係造成影響。如果AI市場熱度下降,人們會開始關注基本面,並重新評估資本支出,這將對市場造成負面影響。因此,我對AI和半導體市場開始變得謹慎,並提前進入警戒狀態,及時調整投資策略,以應對潛在的市場風險。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

What are the key features of the Honeywell Spaceman RO Filter Instant Hot Water Dispenser?

The Honeywell Spaceman RO Filter Instant Hot Water Dispenser offers four temperature settings and various water volume options. It uses a 4-in-1 long-lasting filter that only needs replacement once a year, removes 99.99% of harmful substances, and features UVC sterilization with a 99.99% sterilization rate. It also has an 80% high water purification ratio, saving 4-16 times more water compared to other RO technologies. The heating tube is made of SUS444, which is highly durable and corrosion-resistant.

Why did the host recommend the movie 'Dungeons & Dragons'?

The host recommended 'Dungeons & Dragons' because it is a humorous, magical, and tightly-paced film with a satisfying ending. Despite not having played the DND tabletop game, the host became interested in it after watching the movie, as it successfully translated the game's essence into an engaging cinematic experience.

What is the host's opinion on the adaptation of video games or tabletop games into movies?

The host believes that many adaptations of video games or tabletop games into movies often disappoint, especially in live-action formats. While some animated adaptations fare better, live-action versions tend to fail due to rushed storytelling, excessive exposition, or deviations from the source material. The host emphasizes the importance of staying true to the original content while allowing for minor adjustments.

What is the host's view on the impact of DeepSeek's V3 model on the AI market?

The host believes DeepSeek's V3 model will have a significant and long-term impact on the AI market. Despite hardware limitations due to U.S. sanctions, DeepSeek managed to create a competitive model at a fraction of the cost of Western counterparts. This could set a new benchmark for cost efficiency in AI development, potentially pressuring Western tech giants to reconsider their capital expenditures.

How does the host describe the training cost of DeepSeek's V3 model compared to other models?

DeepSeek's V3 model was trained using 2,000 H800 GPUs, costing approximately $5.57 million. In contrast, the LLaMA 3.1 405B model used 16,000 H100 GPUs, resulting in significantly higher costs. Despite using less advanced hardware, DeepSeek's model achieved competitive performance, highlighting its cost efficiency.

What is the host's perspective on the potential market reaction to DeepSeek's cost-efficient AI model?

The host anticipates that DeepSeek's cost-efficient AI model could create pricing pressure on Western tech giants. While direct competition may be limited due to geopolitical restrictions, the model's affordability could lead to internal scrutiny within Western companies regarding their own AI development costs and capital expenditures.

What is the host's opinion on the role of China in the global AI market?

The host acknowledges China's growing influence in the global AI market, particularly in developing cost-efficient models despite hardware restrictions. While China may not directly compete with Western giants due to geopolitical barriers, its innovations could serve as a benchmark for cost-effective AI development, potentially influencing global market dynamics.

What is the host's advice for investors in the AI and semiconductor markets?

The host advises investors to adopt a cautious approach in the AI and semiconductor markets due to the potential impact of cost-efficient models like DeepSeek's V3. While the market remains optimistic, the host suggests setting stop-loss orders and reevaluating investment strategies to mitigate risks associated with changing market dynamics.

What is the host's view on the future of AI development in China?

The host believes that China will continue to innovate in AI development, leveraging cost-efficient methods despite hardware limitations. While China may not directly compete with Western giants, its advancements could influence global AI development strategies, particularly in terms of cost optimization and resource efficiency.

What is the host's opinion on the potential impact of DeepSeek's model on Western AI companies?

The host believes DeepSeek's model could create psychological pressure on Western AI companies, prompting them to reconsider their capital expenditures and development strategies. While Western companies may continue to pursue cutting-edge innovations, the cost efficiency of models like DeepSeek's could lead to internal discussions about reducing costs and optimizing resources.

Shownotes Transcript

佛山工廠

本集節目由【 Honeywell 太空人 RO 濾淨瞬熱飲水機】 贊助

📌Honeywell 為美國太空總署NASA的合作夥伴 📌4種溫度及不同水量選擇,取水方便又直覺 📌可直接加自來水變RO飲用水 📌濾芯4in1只要一隻濾芯一年換一次 📌加熱管材質為SUS444,超越業界規格,安全耐熱耐腐蝕。 📌80%超高淨水比,4杯淨水:1杯廢水比他牌RO技術省水4-16倍 📌節能省電又安全:比一級能效開飲機省電97% 📌UVC循環殺菌:滅菌率99.99%的第二道防護

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