Deep Dive
Why did Trump embrace cryptocurrency during the 2024 US election?
Trump embraced cryptocurrency to gain support from a new voter group, the 'crypto voter base,' which is predominantly young, male, and politically active. This group strongly supported Trump, with over 50% of cryptocurrency holders favoring him, making it a strategic move to secure votes.
What role did Polymarket play in the 2024 US election?
Polymarket became a significant influence in the election by providing real-time betting odds that acted as a leading indicator of voter sentiment. Unlike traditional polls, Polymarket's odds were updated continuously, reflecting real financial stakes, making it a powerful tool for gauging election dynamics.
How does Bitcoin potentially reinforce US dollar hegemony?
By embracing Bitcoin, the US aims to transfer the global consensus on Bitcoin to the dollar, similar to how it previously leveraged gold and oil. This strategy involves creating a free exchange relationship between Bitcoin and the dollar, thereby strengthening the dollar's global dominance.
What impact could Bitcoin ETFs have on the cryptocurrency market?
Bitcoin ETFs could shift control of Bitcoin prices from the crypto community to US financial institutions. As ETFs grow, the majority of Bitcoin transactions will occur within US markets, effectively making Bitcoin a standard financial asset controlled by Wall Street and the SEC.
Can Bitcoin replace gold as a strategic reserve for the US?
Bitcoin could potentially replace gold as a strategic reserve if its market value continues to grow. However, given the current scale of Bitcoin, it remains insufficient to fully support the dollar's global financial system, though it could act as a buffer pool alongside gold.
- 大选前后比特币价格波动剧烈
- 技术面指标显示比特币价格可能仍处于上涨趋势
- 基本面因素包括美联储利率和比特币ETF的推出
- 市场对未来走势存在分歧
Shownotes Transcript