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cover of episode (Preview) xAI Buys X, The Bitter Lesson for Everyone, Everywhere, Google’s Only Hope in AI

(Preview) xAI Buys X, The Bitter Lesson for Everyone, Everywhere, Google’s Only Hope in AI

2025/3/31
logo of podcast Sharp Tech with Ben Thompson

Sharp Tech with Ben Thompson

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专注于电动车和能源领域的播客主持人和内容创作者。
Topics
主持人: 我对马斯克将xAI与X合并的举动感到困惑,因为xAI似乎一直以来都在使用X的数据。我不确定这是否会对xAI带来实质性的改变,或者仅仅是形式上的区别。 我很好奇,随着AI公司对实时数据的依赖性越来越高,X的数据价值是否也越来越高? 最后,我想探讨一下xAI的成功案例,这是否意味着只要资金充足,就能在几年内开发出具有竞争力的AI模型? Ben: 马斯克的交易是否合法合规,我们无法得知,因为这并非公开市场交易。 我认为xAI收购X是有意义的,因为X的数据非常有价值,收购后xAI就不需要再为数据付费了。此外,此举也体现了X的长期潜在价值,即其实时数据。 推特在被马斯克收购之前,盈利能力很差,甚至在其运营的十年里,盈利能力都很差。马斯克收购推特的最大缺陷在于支付的价格过高,但这并不影响推特的数据价值。推特的价值在于其影响力远超其盈利能力,它应该专注于数据变现。 未来AI模型的差异化在于对实时数据的访问,X的实时数据对于AI公司来说非常有价值。AI公司收购推特是有意义的,因为推特拥有非常有价值的实时数据,这些数据可以被用于多种用途,例如为华尔街交易员提供数据。 推特上有大量有价值的数据,而此次收购是利用这些数据的一种方式。最初的推特投资者现在将持有XAI的股份,这比持有X的股份更好。 X上的广告质量很差,这反映了X平台的现状。为了避免看到垃圾广告,我购买了X的付费服务。关于推特将要倒闭的传言是错误的,但推特的稳定性和可靠性不如以前。 我现在更经常使用OpenAI的模型,因为其应用程序更好用,而Grok的网页应用用户体验不好。我在台湾使用互联网时经常遇到验证码问题,这可能是因为台湾曾经是许多网络诈骗的中心。虽然Grok不如OpenAI的模型好用,但我仍然在使用它。 谷歌应该更注重产品发布,而不是只专注于技术研发。

Deep Dive

Chapters
This chapter analyzes Elon Musk's acquisition of X by XAI, evaluating its impact and implications. The discussion explores whether the merger is a significant change or simply a reorganization, considering the previous data-sharing arrangement between the two entities. The value and monetization potential of real-time data are also examined.
  • XAI acquired X in an all-stock transaction valuing XAI at $80 billion and X at $33 billion.
  • XAI had previously been using X's data.
  • The acquisition eliminates XAI's data payments to X.
  • The real-time data of X is considered valuable for AI development.

Shownotes Transcript

Thoughts on both X and xAI in the wake of Friday’s announcement from Elon Musk, Chat GPT’s image capabilities and whether AI-adjacent SaaS companies will ever have a moat, and emailers offer counterpoints on Sam Altman’s ads answer and the notion that Google can’t make great products anymore. At the end: Should Substack serve ads?, answers on Israeli cybersecurity, and more on Steve Jobs and Studio Ghibli.

To email the show: [email protected])

@SharpTechPodcast Channel — YouTube)

@Stratechery Channel — YouTube)

Musk Merges His AI Company With X, Claiming Combined Value of $113 Billion — Wall Street Journal)

Thread from @realEstateTrent — X)

Stevey's Google Platforms Rant — Github Gist)

ChatGPT 4o Adds Image Generation and It’s Fun as Hell — Daring Fireball)

Get all episodes of Sharp Tech, Sharp China, Stratechery Updates and Interviews, Greatest of All Talk, Asianometry and the Dithering Podcast as part of Stratechery Plus) for $15/month or $150/year.