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cover of episode A Second Chance to Panic

A Second Chance to Panic

2025/5/2
logo of podcast Barron's Streetwise

Barron's Streetwise

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B
Brian Van Cronkite
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Jack Howe
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Jack Howe: 我认为现在是投资者重新思考整体仓位,利用某些类别的弱点建立更好、更大仓位的机会。股市反弹,但我不确定我们是否完全摆脱了麻烦,关税暂停90天后,未来走向不明朗。如果之前的市场低点让你感到恐慌,现在股市反弹,你可以重新评估自己的仓位,并进行调整。欧洲和日本的表现优于美国,如果你的投资组合中没有这些地区的股票,现在是一个好机会。美银认为高波动性将持续存在,建议投资高质量股票,例如价值型指数中的股票。麦当劳美国同店销售额下降,我认为这是经济指标之一,反映了经济形势严峻或预算紧张。迪士尼的预期很低,但其电影《白雪公主》票房收入放缓,并且取消了《魔发奇缘》的真人版重拍,这值得关注。Netflix的市值是迪士尼的三倍,这表明两者之间的巨大差距。我认为Netflix已经成为反麦当劳指标,在经济衰退时人们会坚持使用Netflix。 Brian Van Cronkite: 现在是重新平衡投资组合,保持投资,并为未来5到10年做好准备的机会。寻找能够以独特方式使用其资产负债表灵活性的公司,例如收购、研发、资本支出或回购股票。LabCorp是医疗行业中非常重要的公司,其成本相对较低,并且有大量的收购机会。D.R. Horton已经完成转型,专注于核心业务,并在市场低迷时期保持利润率。Graphic Packaging虽然近期业绩指引低于预期,但该公司正在退出非核心业务,并投资研发,这将提高效率和市场份额。 Alexis Moore: (在本次讨论中,Alexis Moore主要负责节目制作,没有表达具体的投资观点) supporting_evidences Jack Howe: 'Europe and Japan have done well relative to the U.S. If you don't have exposure there, here's another chance.' Jack Howe: 'Bank of America has been writing a lot about large cap value. They say all roads lead to large cap value.' Jack Howe: 'I think of that as one of those economic indicators. McDonald's to me is no longer super affordable.' Jack Howe: 'I will be interested to see...Disney's results this coming week.' Jack Howe: 'Back in 2018, there were big announcements about how Netflix had just passed Disney in stock market value.' Jack Howe: 'I think it's become the anti-Big Mac indicator.' Jack Howe: 'I want to just briefly touch on what I'll call a second chance to panic.' Brian Van Cronkite: 'When we think about investing and through our process, we want to do is find companies that can spend their balance sheet flexibility in a unique way that surprises the market.' Brian Van Cronkite: 'Lab work is a phenomenally important business to the medical industry.' Brian Van Cronkite: 'D.R. Horton, when we first started to own the company a couple of years ago, began going through a transition.' Brian Van Cronkite: 'My ticker is GPK. They do packaging for consumer products...'

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Shownotes Transcript

Jack gives his thoughts on the market rebound, and previews Disney earnings. Plus, Allspring Portfolio Manager Bryant VanCronkhite gives us some stock picks, and explains why he's going with value over growth.

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