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cover of episode Bloomberg Surveillance TV: May 6, 2025

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: May 6, 2025

2025/5/6
logo of podcast Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloomberg Surveillance

AI Deep Dive Transcript
People
F
French Hill
J
Jason Bazinet
J
Jonathan Pingle
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Sarah Hunt
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Sarah Hunt: 我认为市场参与者习惯于立即看到效应和信息流动,而忽略了经济效应的滞后性。目前看到的只是人们担心的附带效应,实际影响尚未显现。市场需要关于贸易的明确信息,才能更好地评估风险回报。美联储面临困境,通胀压力依然存在,劳动力市场保持稳定,经济表现良好;但如果劳动力市场开始恶化,美联储可能会降息。市场对贸易的不确定性反应过度,实际影响的显现需要时间。当前的经济环境下,获取信息的速度不再是投资的优势,长期、耐心和私人的投资策略更为重要。贸易谈判的持续不确定性将导致市场最终不得不应对负面数据,政府的乐观言论的有效性将下降。 French Hill: 美国企业和家庭需要关于关税策略的确定性和解决方案,以避免对商店货架和物价的影响;贸易策略需要协调一致,优先解决与加拿大、墨西哥、日本、韩国和欧盟的关系,然后才能有效地解决与中国的问题。我认为股票回购税是一个愚蠢的主意,它会损害个体股东和养老金计划的利益,并阻碍经济增长。 Jonathan Pingle: 美联储面临增长和通胀之间的权衡,预计短期内不会改变政策立场;关税对经济的损害正在累积,持续时间越长,损害越大;美联储可能面临难以应对通胀冲击和增长放缓的局面。 Jason Bazinet: 如果对海外制作的电影征收100%的关税,Netflix将面临巨大风险,但特朗普的目标可能是推动更多在美国本土的制作,税收抵免措施可能有助于实现这一目标;Netflix对经济衰退的风险相对免疫。

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Shownotes Transcript

  • Sarah Hunt, Chief Market Strategist at Alpine Saxon Woods- French Hill, Republican US House Representative: Arkansas- Jonathan Pingle, Chief US Economist at UBS- Jason Bazinet, Global Head: EMT Sector at Citi

Sarah Hunt, Chief Market Strategist at Alpine Saxon Woods, joins to discuss how equities are faring ahead of this week's Fed decision and how Chair Jay Powell's comments could shape the direction of the market. French Hill, Republican US House Representative: Arkansas, talks about his role as Chairman of the Financial Services Committee and Congressional priorities heading into the summer. Jonathan Pingle, Chief US Economist at UBS, talks about the outlook for the US economy and inflation amid uncertain tariff policy. Jason Bazinet, Global Head: EMT Sector at Citi, talks about President Trump's proposed tariffs on the film industry.

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