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cover of episode Trade Deal Lifts Market Sentiment

Trade Deal Lifts Market Sentiment

2025/5/9
logo of podcast Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloomberg Surveillance

AI Deep Dive Transcript
People
A
Ankur Daga
J
Joanna Gallegos
S
Sarah Ponczek
S
Shana Sissel
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Sarah Ponczek: 我认为,虽然近期的市场波动剧烈,但长期投资者不应过度恐慌。历史数据表明,即使经历大幅回调,股市最终仍会上涨。然而,当前高额的关税对企业造成了严重影响,许多公司处于瘫痪状态,等待贸易谈判的结果。建议投资者关注国际股票、黄金和债券等资产进行多元化投资,以应对市场风险。 我最近与一位服装行业的CEO客户交谈,她表示,由于中美贸易战导致的145%高关税,公司运营面临巨大挑战,几周来一直处于瘫痪状态。这反映了当前许多企业面临的困境,他们只能等待贸易谈判取得进展,以期降低关税,恢复正常运营。 Shana Sissel: 我与许多顾问的交流都集中在如何通过另类投资策略来管理风险,以应对持续的市场波动。鉴于当前政府的政策不确定性,市场波动可能将持续一段时间。因此,我们建议通过ETF、共同基金和区间基金等方式,将类似对冲基金的策略纳入投资组合,以降低风险。这些策略在近期市场表现出色,优于大盘。 美国消费者的信心指数不高,但消费支出依然强劲,这形成了一个奇怪的二元性。沃尔玛等具有定价权的大型零售商将从中受益,而那些依赖中国进口商品的服装品牌等则将受到更大冲击。 Joanna Gallegos: 目前固定收益投资的收益率处于历史高位,可以有效抵消市场波动带来的风险。建议投资者关注短期美国国债和高质量公司债券,以降低利率风险。虽然高收益债券的收益率较高,但投资者应谨慎选择,关注信用评级,并控制投资期限。 自2022年以来,市场一直关注10年期国债的波动,但实际上,短期国债(6个月和1年期)的收益率非常有吸引力,并且是避险资产。投资者应根据自身风险承受能力和投资目标,选择合适的债券品种。 Ankur Daga: 实验室培育钻石的出现对天然钻石市场造成了巨大冲击,导致钻石价格在过去三年下跌了40%到45%。加上关税和高金价的双重压力,珠宝行业正面临严峻挑战。尽管如此,电商模式为珠宝行业带来了新的增长点,我们公司也看到了持续的增长。此外,印度市场也蕴藏着巨大的潜力,我们正在积极拓展印度市场。 疫情期间,珠宝行业受益于人们的居家消费,但之后市场有所回落。目前,我们正在谨慎乐观地看待未来发展,并积极应对市场的不确定性。

Deep Dive

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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF).Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyMay 9th, 2025Featuring:1) Sarah Ponczek, Portfolio Manager at UBS, on company paralysis and whether market sentiment is really changing after the single trade deal with the UK. Investors nvestors are focused on the outcome of the weekend trade talks between China and the US, as the Trump administration is considering a significant tariff reduction in talks with China to ease economic pain and de-escalate tensions.2) Shana Sissel, founder & CEO of Banrion Capital Management, brings us into the market open and talks about caution and opportunity in AI & tech. It comes as the S&P 500 briefly topped its April 2 high, led by economically-sensitive sectors, while Treasury yields surged as traders pared bets on interest-rate cuts.3) Joanna Gallegos, co-Founder at BondBloxx, talks about why fixed income needs to be a bigger part of investor portfolios, as long as investors are precise in their pickings, and talks about risks being signaled in the bond market. The market could be pricing in de-escalation at this weekend’s US-China talks. If there’s no such positive message, global markets could be hit hard Monday.4) Ankur Daga, CEO and founder at Angara, discusses US/India tariffs implications for the diamond market and how CEOs are strategizing amid tariff uncertainty. It comes as US Secretary Howard Lutnick mentioned a potential future tarde agreement with India, but noted that it will require a lot of work, with around 7,000 lines of tariffs to be changed or modified.5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ story on a Soviet spacecraft falling back to Earth and Bloomberg's report on Costco monthly payment plans.Eric Mollo

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