We're sunsetting PodQuest on 2025-07-28. Thank you for your support!
Export Podcast Subscriptions
cover of episode Chamath: Two Reasons Stablecoin Usage Will Surge in 2025

Chamath: Two Reasons Stablecoin Usage Will Surge in 2025

2025/1/7
logo of podcast All-In Podcast

All-In Podcast

AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
People
C
Chamath
Topics
Chamath: 2025年,美元计价稳定币将成为最大的商业赢家。这一预测基于两大关键因素:首先,稳定币已经摆脱了加密货币的波动性影响,开始广泛应用于企业运营的各种实用功能中,其使用量持续稳步增长。其次,2024年第二季度末的数据显示,稳定币的交易量达到了惊人的11亿笔,总交易额高达8.5万亿美元,这超过了同期Visa交易量的两倍。 这一现象表明,稳定币已经达到一个临界点,它将最终挑战Visa和MasterCard的双寡头垄断地位。未来,我们将看到无数基于稳定币的应用场景出现。此外,如果唐纳德·特朗普当选总统,他可能会采取措施打击高额信用卡交易费用和高年利率(APR),这将进一步加速稳定币的采用。考虑到消费者信贷市场已经出现裂痕,所有这些因素都将在2025年达到高潮。因此,我认为到2025年底,稳定币市场规模将增长四到五倍,这将是一个巨大的市场。

Deep Dive

Shownotes Transcript

Translations:
中文

I think the biggest business winner of 2025 are going to be dollar denominated stablecoins. In 2024, two critical things happened. The first is that stablecoins essentially

became uncoupled from crypto volatility, and it started to be used for wholesale useful functions in running businesses. Independent of crypto volatility, what you saw were stable coin usage just rising up and to the right.

The second, and this data is still just trickling in, but it's an incredible stat. Stablecoin usage at the end of the second quarter of 2024 was about 1.1 billion transactions that summed to $8.5 trillion of transaction volume. If you compare that to Visa over the same period, it was more than double Visa's

transaction volume. I think what we have now is something that has fundamentally crossed a point of no return. I think we're going to finally attack the duopoly of Visa and MasterCard. I think you're going to see an innumerable number of use cases that sit and

and use stablecoin rails. When Donald Trump becomes president, I think you're going to see him go after incredibly high credit card transactions and costs. You're already seeing cracks in consumer credit anyways because of these high APRs. All of this stuff is going to come to a head in 2025. And I think stablecoins could quadruple or quintuple by the end of 2025. I think it's just going to be an enormous market.