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cover of episode What to Know About TIPS, the Inflation-Protected Securities

What to Know About TIPS, the Inflation-Protected Securities

2025/3/20
logo of podcast WSJ Your Money Briefing

WSJ Your Money Briefing

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Imani Moise
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Imani Moise:我从事金融新闻报道多年,对TIPS(美国国债通胀保值证券)有深入的了解。TIPS是一种特殊的政府债券,旨在保护投资者免受通货膨胀的影响。与其他债券不同,TIPS的本金会随着消费者物价指数(CPI)的波动而上下浮动,这保证了无论你投入多少资金,当债券到期时,你的投资至少能跟上通货膨胀的步伐。 TIPS的收益率会在通货膨胀意外上涨时上升。今年早些时候,许多投资者认为通货膨胀的叙事已经结束,美联储正在有效地将其降至目标利率。但今年早些时候,经济学家们对通货膨胀高于预期感到意外。现在,由于贸易战担忧、潜在赤字等因素,人们预期通货膨胀将居高不下,因此TIPS再次受到关注。 TIPS最适合那些寻求保值,确保资金至少能跟上通货膨胀步伐的投资者,尤其对退休人员更有吸引力,因为他们更关注资本保值而不是最大化收益。然而,TIPS也并非没有风险。当TIPS对投资者最具吸引力时,通常也意味着其价值即将下跌。因为当通胀意外升温时,美联储通常会降息以冷却经济,导致债券价值下跌,包括TIPS在内的所有债券都会受到影响。许多在2021年通胀飙升时投资TIPS的投资者,在美联储停止降息后,其投资的市场价值急剧下降,对此感到意外。 此外,投资者可能需要为TIPS本金的未实现收益支付联邦税。因为你实际上并没有获得本金增长的价值,这意味着你正在为尚未实际获得的收入缴税。但可以通过购买TIPS基金而不是基础证券,或确保在税收优惠账户(如罗斯IRA)中购买TIPS来避免这种情况。 购买TIPS基金适合不知道何时需要使用这笔资金的投资者,因为其流动性更好,可以随时存取资金,并且无需为未实现收益缴税。然而,通过基金购买TIPS虽然避免了债券价值下跌带来的实际损失,但也意味着提取资金时可能面临本金减少的情况。 债券阶梯策略适合那些希望在一定时期内保证一定收入的投资者,但该策略较为复杂耗时,需要专业知识或寻求专业人士的帮助。投资者可以通过政府拍卖、经纪账户或债券基金购买TIPS,选择哪种方式取决于投资者的需求和计划。总而言之,TIPS适合那些寻求保值,确保资金至少不因通货膨胀而贬值的投资者,而不是那些寻求市场收益最大化的投资者。

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Here's your Money Briefing for Thursday, March 20th. I'm Julia Carpenter for The Wall Street Journal. Inflation may have cooled last month, but it's higher than usual.

and many investors remain concerned. Could a popular inflation hedge from a couple years ago, known as TIPS, be the answer? If you're looking to beat the market, maximize your returns, TIPS probably aren't the right product for you. But if you want to make sure that your cash at least does not lose value with inflation, TIPS are a great choice. We'll talk with WSJ reporter Imani Moise about what you need to know before buying. That's after the break. ♪

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Investors are tracking a lot of different things right now. Confusion around tariffs, fears of a possible recession, and uncertainty about everything from interest rates to inflation. As for that last one, some investors are looking to protect against inflation with TIPS or Treasury Inflation Protected Securities.

Wall Street Journal reporter Imani Moise joins me to talk about it. Okay, Imani, to start, let's zoom all the way out and try some basics. What are tips?

Tips are a special kind of government bond that are designed to protect investors against inflation. So unlike other bonds, the principal, so the money that you put into the bond, moves up and down with CPI. So that guarantees that no matter how much money you put in, when it's time to take that money out when the bond matures, your investment is going to at least have kept up with inflation.

Imani, you and I have written about this stuff for a while now. We've been in this world for a while now, and we know that these investments have gone in and out of fashion over the years. I remember one time when they were really hot, another time when we didn't write about them for a while. So why is that, and why are they coming back now?

They've definitely been in the headlines recently because the yields on tips have hit the highest in about two decades. Now, the yields, they're not super crazy. Right now, they're about 2%. But...

But what happens is tips yields rises when inflation surprises to the upside. What we saw earlier this year is that a lot of investors thought that the inflation narrative was over and the Fed was doing a good job of bringing it down to its target rate. But earlier this year, economists were surprised when inflation was higher than expected. And now people are expecting inflation to be elevated due to trade war concerns, potential deficits, things like that. What are the pros and what kind of investor does this benefit?

It really benefits anyone who's looking to conserve capital or basically make sure that their money at least keeps up with inflation so it doesn't decline in value, which tends to be most important for retirees because they're more concerned with capital preservation than maximizing their returns. Usually, if you're not near retirement, you're on the younger side, you could afford to take on more risk. You want to beat inflation as opposed to just keep up. And so we talked about the pros, but I have to imagine tips also come with some risks.

So now tell me about the cons. Well, when tips look most attractive to investors, they're usually about to decline in value. So as I explained earlier, the market value of tips, so the yield on tips, typically go up when inflation surprises to the upside. And when inflation runs unexpectedly hot, that usually motivates the Fed to start cutting rates to cool down the economy. And when interest rates fall...

The bond values fall, all bonds and tips included. So a lot of investors who poured into tips in 2021 when investor was running super hot were surprised when as soon as the Fed stopped cutting, the market value of those investments fell steeply. Wow. So you're hedging.

Yes. Another thing investors should be wary of is that they may have to pay federal tax on any unrealized gains on the principle of their tips. And because you don't actually get the value of whatever increase the principle is showing, that means you're paying taxes on income that you haven't actually received yet. But you can avoid that either by purchasing tips funds instead of the underlying security or making sure that you do buy tips in a tax advantage account like a Roth IRA.

Your story, which listeners can find a link to in our show notes, also describes two tips strategies. First, investing in tips mutual and exchange-traded funds, which spread an investor's money across multiple tips.

And second, building what's called a bond ladder. Can you first tell me more about funds? How do they fit into a consumer's investment strategy? Buying tips funds is a good idea if you don't know when you're going to need access to that money. Because they're just more liquid, you can pull money in and out, and you don't have to pay taxes on any unrealized gains because the cost of those taxes are embedded in the fund fees themselves.

However, if you're buying through a fund because they don't have a maturity date, which will shield you from any actualized losses if the value of the bond goes down, that means when you pull it out, you may be faced with a reduction in principal, which you probably want to avoid as an investor. Okay.

And what about the bond ladder strategy? The bond ladder strategy is a good strategy for anyone who wants to guarantee a certain amount of income over a certain amount of time. So what a bond ladder is just buying bonds at different maturities so that you make sure that you get different payouts at set periods of time. So the downsides there is that it's complicated. It's time consuming. You could outsource it to a financial advisor or broker if you work with one. You have to make sure that you put it in the right type of account to avoid any tax liabilities.

So if someone is listening to this and decides, this all sounds great. Let's add tips to the portfolio. How should they go about doing that?

If you know for a fact that you plan to hold your tips to maturity, you can buy them directly from the government at auction, Treasury Direct, which is the online platform where you could participate in treasury auctions, or you can buy them through a brokerage account. Financial advisors recommend using a brokerage account most of the time because if you ever want to sell, it's much easier to sell securities before maturity through a brokerage than through Treasury Direct. Because if they're in Treasury Direct, you have to

apply to transfer those securities to a brokerage, which can take months or sometimes up to a year. And then the last way, as we've covered, is a bond fund, which is the best option if you don't really know when you want to pull that cash. So the TLDR is, this is cash preservation. Exactly. If you're looking to beat the market, maximize your returns, tips probably aren't the right products for you. But if you want to make sure that your cash at least does not lose value with inflation, tips are a great choice.

That's WSJ reporter Imani Moise. And that's it for your Money Briefing. This episode was produced by Ariana Osborne with supervising producer Melanie Roy and deputy editor Chris Sinsley. I'm Julia Carpenter for The Wall Street Journal. Thanks for listening.