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cover of episode What’s News in Markets: Banks' Warnings, CarMax Stalls, Delta Shares Fly

What’s News in Markets: Banks' Warnings, CarMax Stalls, Delta Shares Fly

2025/4/12
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WSJ Your Money Briefing

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Francesca Fontana
一名在《华尔街_journal》工作的记者和作家,专注于金融市场新闻和女性在工作场所的主题。
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Francesca Fontana: 本周市场新闻主要围绕着特朗普政府的关税政策、银行的盈利预警以及个别公司的业绩表现展开。市场在特朗普宣布暂停部分关税后出现短暂反弹,但随后又出现下跌。整体而言,本周市场波动剧烈,投资者情绪谨慎。 达美航空虽然预测2025年将是其最佳财务年度,但由于难以预测航空旅行需求,该公司撤回了全年财务预期。尽管如此,达美航空的股价在周三大幅上涨,这主要得益于特朗普暂停关税的政策。 CarMax 公司公布的季度盈利令人失望,并且其股价也受到关税政策的影响而下跌。分析师认为,关税可能会提高新车和二手车的成本,从而影响消费者的购买意愿。 几家银行公布了高于预期的季度盈利,但银行高管们同时警告了经济衰退的风险,这加剧了市场的不确定性。 Jamie Dimon: 我们目前面临着相当大的经济动荡。尽管特朗普政府暂停了部分关税,但我们仍然预计今年经济衰退的可能性很大。各种不确定因素,例如地缘政治风险和通货膨胀,都对经济前景构成威胁。我们正在密切关注这些风险,并采取相应的措施来保护我们的业务。 Ed Bastian: 我们目前难以预测航空旅行需求的走势,因此我们决定撤回全年财务预期。关税政策对我们的业务也造成了一定的影响,我们正在努力避免支付对从空中客车公司购买飞机所产生的关税。我们对未来的发展充满信心,但同时也需要谨慎应对各种挑战。

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Hey, listeners. It's Saturday, April 12th. I'm Francesca Fontana for The Wall Street Journal, and this is What's News in Markets, our look at the biggest stock moves of the week and the news that drove them. Let's get to it. So what to talk about this week? I mean, it was so slow. There was no big news. I'm fully kidding. This week, like last week, was full of trade turmoil and giant market swings. Really, we can divide it into before Wednesday and after Wednesday.

A.K.A. before and after Trump's big about-face on a bunch of the latest tariffs. So, before Wednesday, the market was digesting all of the latest threats of retaliation from China in response to Trump's tariffs, as well as big Wall Street players weighing in and voicing their concerns, like JPMorgan's Jamie Dimon and BlackRock's Larry Fink.

In contrast, Trump told everyone to "be cool" via Truth Social, but clearly things in the market were not cool. And then there was Wednesday. Trump interrupted the day's sell-off and announced the 90-day pause on certain tariffs to most countries, also via Truth Social. And we got a big old rally, and the three major indexes notched some records.

After Wednesday. Thursday, stocks were falling again, despite the good news from the previous day. For one, the White House said that the China tariffs added up to 145 percent, not the 125 percent it had indicated the day before. And then we got one last twist. On Friday, stocks were back to rallying to close out the wild ride.

On a weekly basis, the Dow gained about 5 percent, the S&P 500 gained more than 5 percent, and the Nasdaq climbed more than 7 percent. In terms of individual movers, let's start with Delta Airlines. Delta predicted that 2025 would be its best financial year ever. But that view has gotten pretty cloudy.

The airline on Wednesday ditched its full-year financial outlook and said it's too soon to say how air travel demand is going to play out.

On an earnings call, CEO Ed Bastian also said Delta's working to avoid paying tariffs on the dozens of planes it's set to receive from Airbus this year. Of course, you'll recall that Wednesday afternoon's tariff pause injected a bunch of optimism into the market. And man, oh, man, did airline stocks really fly. Delta shares rose 23 percent on Wednesday.

American Airlines also rose 23%, and United Airlines rose 26%. On a weekly basis, Delta notched a 9.7% gain, American ended up 2.2%, and United rose 14%.

Now, not every company was relieved by the tariff pause. Certainly not the ones affected by levies that remained in place. Like CarMax, the used car dealer, which on Wednesday posted disappointing quarterly earnings and said it could no longer give a time frame for financial goals that it's been working toward for years. The 25% tax on automotive imports was not included in Trump's walkback. Now, the tariffs could be a mixed bag for CarMax and its auto-selling peers.

Analysts say the levies will likely drive up the cost of both new and used cars. This could attract more used car buyers, moving away from the higher cost of buying new. Or they could lose out on demand if shoppers hold off on buying vehicles altogether. The stock rode the broader rally higher on Wednesday, but the next day it took a nosedive, dropping 17% on Thursday. And on the week, CarMax ended up losing more than 9%.

It's that time again. Bank earnings. On Friday, traders were celebrating the latest quarterly results from J.P. Morgan, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, higher quarterly profits reported by each, while also digesting executives' warnings about the recession risks looming over us all.

JPMorgan chief executive Jamie Dimon, for one, warned that the economy, quote, is facing considerable turbulence. Even accounting for Trump's tariff pause, the bank's economists see a likely recession on the horizon this year, and the other bank's executives echoed those concerns. On Friday, it was back on the rise. Shares gained 4% on the day, bringing the stock's weekly gain to more than 12%.

And now you know what's news in markets this week. You can read about more stocks that moved on the week's news in The Score, my column in the Wall Street Journal's Exchange section. Today's show was produced by Zoe Kolkin and Anthony Bansi with supervising producer Michael Kosmides. I'm Francesca Fontana. Have a great weekend and I'll see you next Saturday.

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