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cover of episode Why More Americans Are Sitting on Cash Piles Instead of ‘Buying the Dip’

Why More Americans Are Sitting on Cash Piles Instead of ‘Buying the Dip’

2025/4/18
logo of podcast WSJ Your Money Briefing

WSJ Your Money Briefing

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A
Ariana Aspuru
C
Crystal Herr
J
Julia Carpenter
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Ariana Aspuru: 我观察到,过去投资者通常会在市场低迷时抄底,低价买入,高价卖出,以此获利。但如今,更多人选择持币观望,将资金储备在相对安全的资产中。这反映出市场环境的变化和投资者风险偏好的转变。 Crystal Herr: "买跌"策略在过去两年非常流行,因为市场下跌通常短暂,很快就会创下新高。但现在市场波动剧烈,这种策略不再有效。投资者尝试抄底,却发现股价几天后又下跌5%到10%,损失迅速累积。因此,在无法判断市场底部的情况下,抄底变得非常冒险。 Julia Carpenter: 大量资金流入货币市场基金等现金投资,这清楚地表明,美国投资者目前更倾向于寻求传统意义上的安全资产,而不是冒险投资股市。这是因为他们过去常用的投资策略,比如"买跌",已经不再奏效,他们正在寻找新的投资策略。 Crystal Herr: 许多投资者选择观望,等待市场稳定后再进行投资。一位投资者用"试图抓住正在下落的刀子"来形容"买跌"策略的风险,他选择在市场平静下来后再进行投资。他甚至在关税政策公布前卖掉了大部分股票,计划持有大量现金。许多投资者都有类似的计划。 Ariana Aspuru: 投资者对市场充满不确定性,这导致他们更倾向于持有现金。市场波动、关税不确定性、经济衰退的担忧以及无力感,都促使投资者寻求流动性强的资产,以便在需要时能够快速变现。 Crystal Herr: 目前,投资组合的多元化至关重要。投资者需要谨慎选择投资标的,特别关注公司的资产负债表,因为市场环境已经发生了变化,以往那种股市大幅上涨的情况已经不复存在。

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Chapters
Contrary to past trends, many Americans are holding onto cash instead of investing in the stock market due to market volatility and the ineffectiveness of strategies like 'buying the dip'. This trend is also reflected in other safe haven assets like gold.
  • Shift from 'buy the dip' strategy
  • Increased cash holdings
  • Record highs in gold investments

Shownotes Transcript

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Here's your Money Briefing for Friday, April 18th. I'm Ariana Aspuru for The Wall Street Journal. In the past, investors saw a market like this one as an opportunity to buy low so they could later sell high.

But these days, more people are opting to instead sit on the sidelines and keep their cash on hand. Americans are seeking traditionally safe assets right now instead of trying their luck in the stock market because there are strategies that they have gravitated toward aren't really working. And we're actually seeing that in other investments as well, like gold, which is another haven and has hit repeated record highs this year.

Wall Street Journal reporter Crystal Herr joins host Julia Carpenter to talk about the cash investments gaining traction. Stick around after the break. High mortgage rates, low inventory, unaffordable prices. A lot of potential homebuyers have been left on the sidelines. My wife and I have been smart about our savings and we always thought once you save up and then you're good and then you'll get something. It's just not the case anymore. But is this your year to buy?

Catch our series, Buying a Home in 2025, Navigating the Crunch, running Sundays in March and April on the Your Money Briefing podcast from The Wall Street Journal.

This week, we have been looking at how a volatile market can impact your housing plans, college savings, taxes, and more. It can also likely change where you put your cash and why. Wall Street Journal reporter Crystal Herr joins me. Crystal, certain investors would have once found silver linings in a market like this. Investors usually call it buying the dip. But you wrote that people aren't exactly buying the dip as they once were. Why is that?

Yeah, so buying the dip or buying stocks when they're down with the expectation that they'll rise again was really popular over the past two years. During that time, sell-offs tended to be really brief and the stock market was notching dozens of record highs.

But the market's been so volatile lately that the strategy just doesn't seem to work anymore. Stocks are lower for the year. They're continuing to decline. There's investors who are trying to buy the dip, but then they're seeing those stocks decline another 5% or 10% just days later. And those losses can pile up really quickly.

So, yeah, buying the dip is tricky when you don't know where the bottom is. Exactly. You can see those stocks continue to fall over and over again. Your story, which listeners can find in our show notes, mentions how much money has been poured into cash investments like money market funds.

Can you tell us more about some of those high numbers we're seeing there? Those numbers really signal that Americans are seeking traditionally safe assets right now instead of trying their luck in the stock market.

Because there are strategies that they have gravitated towards, like buy the dip, aren't really working. They're really flailing for a new playbook. Some of them are deciding that it's safer to just maybe sit things out for a little bit right now. And we're actually seeing that in other investments as well, like gold, which is another haven and has hit repeated record highs this year.

So that record cash pile really underscores the fact that investors are grappling with a ton of uncertainty. So when we say people are sitting on the sidelines with cash in hand,

That cash isn't literally in their hand, right? Where is the cash? There's a few different places that people are putting cash. There's high-yield savings accounts, for example, and there are bank accounts and money market funds and treasuries that are known to be some of the safest assets in the world. In the case of the investor whom I spoke with, he says that he's just keeping cash in his brokerage account ready for the next time that he might want to buy a stock.

I was especially struck reading your story by some of these anecdotes and opinions from investors. And you spoke to one person who had this really vivid metaphor that stuck with me. They said, if I try to catch this falling knife, I'm just going to get cut over and over and over on the way down.

Could you tell me what he means by that and what his strategy is going forward? Yeah, that investor is an example of someone who had bought the dip for a while, but is now coming to terms with the reality that it's not really working so well anymore.

He told me that he plans to sit out of trying to trade these really violent swings that we've seen in the stock market and is waiting for things to get a little bit calmer before he buys anymore. He actually sold a lot of his stock positions before Trump's Liberation Day tariff announcements and said he plans to just sit on as much cash as possible. And a lot of investors actually have the same game plan.

And we know investor sentiment is bearish at best. What other factors are motivating this tendency to sit on the sidelines with their cash in hand?

A lot of people right now are just really frustrated with the chaos that tariff uncertainty has caused. I've heard from a lot of readers who are concerned about the volatility that we have seen in markets and the losses that they have seen in their investing accounts, including their retirement funds. A lot of people are also just really afraid that the U.S. economy could enter a recession or even stagflation, which is when economic growth slows or flattens and inflation goes higher.

And there's also just this feeling of helplessness, right? No one really knows what's going to happen in a day or a week or a month from now with all of the twists and turns in this tariff saga. And that's causing a ton of fear. So when you're feeling helpless, you want to be liquid. You want to have your cash easily accessible. Right. People are worried that they will have their money in stocks and will just continue to fall with no end in sight. With the market still so volatile, I wonder what you're expecting to see over the next few weeks.

That's the question on everyone's minds these days. What I've heard from the investors I've spoken with is that it will really depend on what happens with tariffs. We saw just last week after a historic rally following Trump's decision to delay reciprocal tariffs that investors are desperate for any piece of good news they can find right now. We're also seeing a lot of companies report their quarterly earnings results in the next few weeks and more importantly, their guidance given tariffs and all the uncertainty that we're seeing.

So depending on what Trump says and what corporate executives say, we might be in for a bit of a bumpy ride going forward. And what parts of your portfolio should you keep an eye on? What I've heard from investors is that they think that it's really important to be diversified these days. So that means sort of spreading out what you're invested in terms of certain stocks, even in terms of certain assets that are not stocks. You have to be careful of

which kinds of bonds you're investing in, for example. I think right now what I've heard is that you have to be really discerning with the places that you're putting your money. And why is that? Because the market conditions are so different now where we're not really seeing these gangbuster rallies in stocks anymore. It's become more important than ever to pick companies that have strong balance sheets. It's something that a lot of investors will tell me, for example. ♪

That's WSJ reporter Crystal Herr speaking with Julia Carpenter. And that's it for your Money Briefing. Tomorrow, we'll have our weekly markets wrap up, What's News in Markets. And then we'll be back on Monday. This episode is produced by me, Ariana Aspuru. Jessica Fenton and Michael LaValle wrote our theme music. Our supervising producer is Melanie Roy.

Aisha Al-Muslim is our development producer. Scott Salloway and Chris Sinsley are our deputy editors. And Falana Patterson is The Wall Street Journal's head of news audio. Thanks for listening.