Iran Strikes Back - What Next?; Israel Haters; NYC Mayor Race | Yaron Brook Show
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I get asked all the time why we only represent people who've been accidentally injured or had loved ones die tragically. And I tell them about my father, who worked in the mines of Kentucky, then came to Gary to work in the steel mill. Through him, I learned what hard work was, what dangerous work was, and saw that workers like him needed a voice when bad things happen. I know what I do every day would make my dad proud.

My dad worked in the mines of Kentucky in the steel mill in Gary. Through him, I learned what hard, dangerous work was and saw that workers like him need a voice when tragic things happen. That's why I focus my law practice on helping hardworking people get justice. Like Mike, whose hand was mangled at work because of a dangerously defective machine. We fight every day to protect the rights of accidentally injured people. In fact, it's all we do. I guess you can say it's in our DNA. No radicals.

Fundamental principles of freedom, rational self-interest, and individual rights. This is the Yaron Brook Show. All right, everybody. Welcome to Yaron Brook Show on this Friday, June 13th, day two of, I guess, this phase of Israel's war with Yaron. Day two, you know, I fear there are many more days to come still.

We'll be talking today about what happened a few minutes ago, Iran's response to last night's and this morning's attacks by Israel. And we'll also rewind to what happened yesterday and go over that in more detail. We'll also talk about what comes next. I think what comes next on Israel's part is going to be

is going to determine, you know, how this all shapes out. We'll talk about the conversation that it seems that Netanyahu and Donald Trump just had, again, just a couple of minutes ago. And what next? And we'll see where that all takes us. And of course, I'm monitoring, monitoring the different channels to see what the breaking news, what breaking news is. And I will

Keep you updated as the breaking news actually happens. Probably go for about two hours. Yeah, about two hours today. You know, and if we need to, you know, we'll start this up again later tonight if there's something particularly, particularly interesting.

What is that? YBS is a show, not a tell? I don't understand that. Particularly exciting happening. We'll let you know later today. Later today. Or later tonight. But let's jump in with what just happened. Iran launched 150 ballistic missiles today.

targeted at Israel. Now, these are missiles that, you know, they go up and they come down. And they go up and they come down very, very quickly. The only time you really have a real opportunity to

Given the kind of air defense system Israel has to shoot these down is when they're coming down, when they're coming right at you. Israel has probably the best air defense system in the world right now. But 150 missiles, you're not going to be able to get them all. And indeed, several of those missiles made it through Israel.

One thing to note about Iran's ballistic missiles, these are not smart missiles. You saw Israel threading missiles into people's bedrooms, identifying the exact, you know, floor in which somebody lived and destroying just that one apartment, just destroying that one bedroom and killing just those people. These are crude ballistic missiles. They go up, they come down, wherever they drop, that's where they are.

They're generally targeted, but they're not specifically targeted. About 50% of the time, they drop within a 900-meter radius of where they're targeted. And the other 50% of the time, they drop outside of the one 900-meter radius. So this is not a precision—these are not precision weapons.

at all. They can lob them into Tel Aviv and they can argue they were targeted military facility, but it really is meaningless. Anyway, 150 ballistic missiles basically targeted at civilian populations in Israel, Tel Aviv. Some were targeted to the north. It's hard to tell at this point, or I haven't seen any numbers in terms of how many of those missiles

actually dropped, actually landed in Israel. But we do know of casualties. That is, as of a few minutes ago, there were 41 people who were hurt from this attack. Two are in critical condition.

and a number of people in kind of medium, different levels of hurt. Most of the casualties are in apartment buildings that were hit by this and collapsed. One apartment building in Ramadan is a source of a significant number of these casualties, I think about half of them. And there still might be more casualties. That is, search and rescue operations are still happening there.

As we talk in terms of trying to, you know, trying to identify if there are any more, any additional victims involved in this. All right, let's do this. I just have to stop to get rid of somebody. All right. I get asked all the time why we only represent people who've been accidentally injured or had loved ones die tragically.

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So, again, you know, Israel, you know, civilians die when Israel bombs cities, but in when Israel bombs targets, but they die not because they're being targeted. Israel targets is very, very precision oriented targets.

and they are targeting specific targets, specific either enemy sites or particular people they want killed, people who have the responsibility for developing nuclear weapons, the responsibility for the killing of Israelis, and the responsibility of funding Hamas and Hezbollah, the responsibility of killing Americans. These are the people Israel has killed.

There are precision bombing nuclear facilities, missile sites and other military sites all over Iran. Iran has no choice but to just lob whatever they have into the state of Israel. And the consequence of that are going to be just indiscriminate civilian casualties. The, you know, again, 150 missiles were lobbed.

We'll see how many of them were shot down and how many of them actually fell. Also, it could be that some of the injuries are not from the missiles, the ballistic missiles themselves. It could be that some of the casualties are actually from pieces of missiles as they bake up when they're shot down or even pieces of the interceptors. Again, hard to tell, and we don't have a good reading. One thing we do know is that Garzons, Garzons, I guess,

feel comfortable enough and and liberated enough and and confident enough uh that they went down to the streets uh what to watch uh the uh Iranian missiles rain on Israel and celebrated not celebrated the knocking down of the missiles but celebrated the fact that those were being attacked so the Gazans have not learned anything yet not learned anything uh anything yet anyway um

So that is the damage so far. No significant infrastructure has been damaged. The only real damage has been to apartment buildings in the Tel Aviv area. And some damage in the north, but no casualties as far as I can tell so far in the north. It looks like Israeli strikes against Iran appear to have been resumed.

And now there seems to be some air defense activity. Hard to understand why there's air defense activity now, and there was very little or none yesterday. But Israel is striking in Iran as we speak. And what's going to be interesting now is the targets that they choose to strike. And the question right now is for Israel, what is the goal?

what is the purpose? What are they trying to do? What do they want to achieve in the next few days or in the next couple of weeks in which they plan to be attacking the Iranians? So let's talk about what they did last night, and then we'll come back to this question of what do you want to achieve? What are the targets? You know, what is the endgame? Is there an endgame and what is the endgame?

So yesterday, you know, as I reported, I think, live as it was happening and continued into the night, was a pretty impressive attack by the Israelis, primarily from the air, primarily with the Israeli Air Force, about 300 planes or 200 planes, sorry. In three, in spite of what I said last night, we're talking about five, five different waves. There were actually only five different waves. There were actually three waves coming.

attacks last night, basically taking out leadership with Iranian leadership, particularly military leaders, but also senior nuclear scientists. Overall, at least 20 senior leaders in Iran were taken out in an amazing intelligence feat. The Israelis knew that as Iran

They knew exactly where the entire Air Force command would aggregate together, what location they would go to to plan, to stop planning the defense and the response to Israel. Israel waited for them all to get there and then blew the place up and killed pretty much the entire leadership of the Iranian Air Force. So, yeah.

So that was a huge achievement, and they've taken out, again, much of the senior leadership of the Iranian Republican Guard, Revolutionary Guard, sorry, I don't know why I keep saying Republican, Revolutionary Guard, and much of the Iranian regular military has been taken out. Although, again, Iran is a very big place, 90 million people. It has a very large military base.

The Revolutionary Guard is a large institution. All these senior officials will be replaced. It will take some time, particularly in the Air Force, where it was such a thorough decapitation. Many of them will be replaced. More valuable, in a sense, are the nuclear scientists. Those cannot be easily replaced. But it's also not clear at this point whether Iran needs them. You know, we'll get to that in a minute. So Israel did that. But it turned out also...

that Israel had Mossad agents and potentially special forces on the ground in Iran.

Those special forces had actually smuggled into Iran drones, and they were launching drones from the ground, from within Iran. They were taking out a variety of ballistic missiles, sites, and other sites within Iran. So, again, the ability of the Israelis to put –

to put basically militarized people underground there to facilitate, to give them equipment, to provide them with drones, and then to actually execute on that is, you know, truly amazing. It's an incredible and amazing military feat. It is also now, so CISO basically took out the leadership of,

It took out a lot of the ballistic missile capabilities of the Iranians. Not all of them, obviously. You know, they launched 150 of those tonight with very little notice. So they obviously had some prepared that Israel did not get to. They have a lot more of those ballistic missiles where those came from. Israel, my guess is right now.

is locating more of those ballistic missiles and taking them out to prevent further rounds of ballistic missiles shot into Israel. That'll be a big focus of what Israel tries to do. But as we talked about, I think, months ago, a lot of the ballistic missile capabilities of the Iranians are deep inside mines, deep inside mountains, caves. You know, Israel cannot reach those locations without

You know, a bunker bunker bunker busting bombs. They need the bunker busting bombs that would require. And Israel doesn't have those. Even if they had the bomb, they don't have a delivery mechanism. The only way to deliver those the only way.

To deliver those is with something like a B-52 or B-2 bomber, the kind of bombers Israel just does not have. So, you know, a lot of the ballistic missile inventory, a lot of their launches are hidden. And I think beyond the reach, the regular reach of the Israeli Air Force. They can do a lot to make it very difficult to get there.

And I'm sure they're trying, but again, it's going to be very difficult for Israel alone to destroy all of Iran's ballistic missile capabilities. Israel also attacked a number of nuclear facilities that the Iranians have. In a sense, they attacked all the nuclear facilities that are what you would call low-hanging fruit, the things that are above ground, the places where it's easy to

to bomb and to do real damage. The Nanat nuclear facility is a good example of that. It looks like it was thoroughly destroyed. Indeed, there are people today arguing that the...

The in the nuts, there's now radiation that is that become that there is net net tons. There is now, you know, radioactivity from whatever whatever nuclear materials were there that have been now released through the bombing. Right.

No, BB and Trump, you know, it doesn't take one event to redeem you. You have to redeem yourself over a much longer period of time than just one event. I talked about BB last night. I don't want to talk about him too much. But no, I mean, you know.

They did something good. Cool. Trump and Bibi Netanyahu did something good. Does that wipe out everything bad they've ever done? Of course not. I mean, it's just one good thing versus many, many bad things. And we'll talk about how good this good thing is and where we go from here in a few minutes.

It does seem like Trump was in on this all along. That is, he knew that this was happening, but participated in the effort to deceive the Iranians. The Iranians did not expect this, did not see it coming. Trump played the part of, you know, all the media reported that he had told Netanyahu not to attack Iran, that he was against it.

And all of that. So there certainly was a whole level of deception leading up to this that Trump was a part of and and that played a crucial role in particularly being able to decapitate to get rid of the Iranian leadership.

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the Iranian leadership because they were sleeping in their beds. They were in unprotected facilities where it was relatively easy for Israel to get them and to kill them. So Trump participated in it. You know, the United States is helping Israel defensively.

It is it participated tonight in helping Israel try to knock down the missiles out of the air and which which which is good. But Trump has been very clear. And I think you never know because they've deceived us once already before. So who knows? But at least according to reports coming out of the phone call that happened a few minutes ago between Trump and Netanyahu, Trump has basically said this is your war.

We will provide you with weapons. We will provide you with some defensive capabilities, but we will not participate offensively. And the Iranians are smart tonight, not going after American troops, not going after American facilities, not going after American air bases, you know, leaving Americans out of this. I think with the hope, and I think with the hope that...

that this will convince americans to stay out of this and not to be part of the offensive operations because iran i mean we'll talk about this but israel has limited capabilities in terms of taking out the uh the iranians uh all of what iran can do uh the united states doesn't have limited capabilities they they can really destroy uh all of iran's uh nuclear capabilities um

Israel is releasing now, like a minute ago, details about their strike on the nuclear technology complex in Isfahan. The strikes dismantled a facility producing metallic uranium. It destroyed infrastructure for converting enriched uranium laboratories and additional infrastructure facilities.

So Israel is going again, relatively low in fruit. This is above ground. This is not deep, deep, deep down in inside a cave somewhere that is impossible to get to. Yeah, it'll be interesting to see what Israel is attacking right now. All right. So, look, yesterday I was I was very positive and optimistic about

about what Israel has achieved, and what Israel has achieved indeed is amazing. It's stunning. This will go down as one of the great military operations in history. I'll double down on what I said yesterday about the Israeli military being pound for pound the best military in the world.

The Israeli Air Force and the Israeli intelligence being the best in the world, given their size. It doesn't mean, you know, you would want to compare to the United States. But given their size, they are by far the best in the world. And so, you know, what happened yesterday, what happened last night,

Truly stunning, truly amazing. The capacity to take out these people, the capacity to take out. I mean, Israel is flying over Iran with with basically no Iran has no air defense systems because the Israelis have been able to take those out completely. Whatever is left with the air defense systems.

Mossad drones yesterday took the rest of them out. So they are basically gone. And Israel is flying over Iran basically free of all fear or risk of challenges or problems. So, yeah, I mean, whatever it was, was brilliant and incredibly successful.

to the extent that it was applied. But the real question is what happens now. The main Iranian nuclear facility is a site called FORDOW, F-O-R-D-O-W. FORDOW is deep in the mountains and it's about 100 meters, at least 100 meters deep into the rock, into a mountain.

This is where the significant part of the uranium enrichment is happening. This is probably where they are keeping the uranium that has been already enriched to a relatively high level. I'm going to do this. I'm going to say this, you know, and then I'm going to...

Bob, who's on there, and Edward, Bob and Edward, slow down. If you're going to post at this level, I'm going to block you. You can't just overtake the entire chat and just dominate it. I will just block you if you continue like this. So either slow down or you're gone. Your choice.

Anyway, Fodo is deep into the into the mountain. Israel, you know, could probably, you know, harass it, block the entrance into it. Who knows how many entrances they are? It could probably try to destroy the ventilation into it.

It could do a lot of damage to it, and I'm sure they're going to try, and they have tried. But what they can do is destroy the facility. They do not have the 35,000-pound bunker-busting bomb that will actually go in and destroy it, right? And, you know, tear it apart. That only the United States has. Israel does not have that capability. And then the question is, what do they do? Now, there is the potential—

to actually put a ground team on and take out the facility with a special forces team on the ground. Israel did this in Syria in September of 2024, September of last year. Israel put a unit on the ground in Mysaf, Syria, where the Iranians were building a production facility for precision missiles to strike Israel from Syria.

It was, again, deep in the ground, not as deep as this is, not as deep as Fordow, but pretty deep. Israel placed, you know, flew in with helicopters, special forces teams. They went into the facility. They blew it up from within. They took a lot of valuable documents, a lot of incredible intelligence, and they blew the place up from within. And is that a model that Israel could use on Fordow? Well, it's a challenge if they want to use it, right?

Iran is very, very far, much further away than Syria is. You know, getting there is going to be a challenge. Now, Israel has shown the ability to put troops on the ground in very distant places. You know, the Mossad agents got there and potentially special forces are already in Iran. So it's quite possible that they have already teams there in Iran ready to go. I don't know.

You know, it's it's it's it's so it's possible that they would do that. But it's also true that, you know, the Syrian facility was relatively lightly guarded. There weren't that many troops around there. Iran has a big army. I think I said that before. The Iranian Revolutionary Guards are very big.

One of the freedoms is Azerbaijan is near. In the past, rumors had it that Israel could fly into Iran through Azerbaijan. And that is, of course, possible. They could fly in from Azerbaijan to the Fodor facility and fly troops in there. I don't know if Azerbaijan is willing, but they might be. Israel helped them defeat the Armenians. They did that with Israeli technology and Israeli weapons. So they might be willing.

Israel could fly them in and use special forces to take out the four-door facility from within, but much more difficult, much bigger army, much more challenges. And here you would expect some combination of bombing to maybe whittle down or maybe destroy the military capabilities in the surrounding area before any special forces troops went in. But then who knows what's inside? How many troops are inside?

And this time, whereas with Syria, I don't think anybody expected Israel to go in there. I don't think anybody knew Israel knew that the facility existed here. My guess is, as of right now, this is what Iran expects. So, you know, you'd expect them to put a lot of troops there. Anyway, a difficult operation, a very difficult operation. Rumors are right now that the Iranians might.

So this facility still has not been destroyed. So we know that Israel has not attacked the facility. I think Israel's were hoping that an Iranian attack on American forces today would lead to the United States joining the operation and joining Israel in going after going after the Iranians and they would take care of it. That does not seem to be happening. Rumors are that the Iranians will use this facility again.

to enrich a small amount of uranium, to do a demonstration, you know, nuclear explosion somewhere in the desert in Iran and to warn the West and to warn the Israelis away. So that, you know, that could be in the cards. I think it's doubtful. I think Israel is going to do everything in its power to prevent that. It's going to take out every facility possible.

And, again, the big challenge is going to be how do we take out – how does Israel take out Fordo? You know, how do they deal with that facility? And do we know – again, you know, assume that Israel, you know, has the best intelligence in the world, but does it know all the different sites where the uranium is, where the centrifuges is, where the capabilities of building these weapons are?

It seems like Iran is very close to a nuke, very close to being able to produce one. You know, the fact that Israel killed all those scientists, it was probably a little too late. That is, they probably done most of the work that they needed to do. And more junior scientists can probably take it from here. This is the kind of killing of the scientists is something they should have done ongoing on an ongoing basis over the last 20 years. It might have been.

too late. But we will see. You know, again, hard to tell. So what can Israel do at this point? It might not be able to take out every single one of the nuclear facilities that Iran has. And what's the end game? What do they actually want? Do they really just want to cripple the nuclear facilities? Or do they want to do something more? And I think Israel has to be more ambitious. It has to be more ambitious. And I think we'll know if they are in the next 24 hours.

Israel has to seek in one way or another a regime change in Iran. Now, they're not going to do that by putting troops on the ground. They're not going to do that by, you know, by actually engaging directly in regime change. They have to provide the Iranian people with the incentive. They have to provide the Iranian people with, you know, with the trigger to cause them to do the fighting. Maybe even the military itself, right?

to say enough is enough and to replace the mullahs. And to do that, Israel has to hit them really, really, really hard in the economic sphere.

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I mean, and you know what I hope Israel is doing right now?

or what I hope they will be doing over the next 24 hours, in spite of the fact that I think this will make Donald Trump unhappy, is Israel needs to take out the entire oil infrastructure of Iran. They need to just destroy it. Start with the island. There's one facility. I've talked about this for a couple of years now. There is one facility that is responsible for all the oil exports that Iran has,

It is in the Gulf. It is on kind of a semi-island. And Israel can go there and it can be destroyed within hours. And that basically cripples, destroys, incapacitates the Iranian ability to export oil. But they could do more. They could destroy whatever refining capacity Iran has. They can go to the oil fields itself and put them ablaze. And by doing that, they basically destroyed the Iranian capability to bring in money.

And, you know, it will spiral Iran into a major economic catastrophe, which will drive a lot of Iranians into the streets and will drive a lot of Iranians into the streets demanding a regime change. It's what, you know, Israel could take up power plants. It could shut down electricity. It could take out the infrastructure that makes life possible in Iran today. And this is what it has to do.

I do not think Israel can actually take out the entire nuclear, every aspect of the nuclear facilities that Iran has. Maybe they can. Maybe I'll be proven wrong, but I don't think they can. They have to be more ambitious. And that ambition demands that they go after the infrastructure that the Iranian regime keeps in order to sustain its people. They have to make it so that the Iranians rise up against their own regime.

If the mullahs survive this, then, you know, they will start from a negative position. But ultimately, they will resurrect everything. And maybe this time they'll just go to the North Koreans and buy a bomb. I don't know. Or, by the way, the Pakistanis. Pakistan is the one Islamic country that has nukes.

So it's the economic infrastructure, the economic infrastructure that Israel needs to devastate, destroy to the best of their ability. And there is a chance, you know, supposedly this was the message they sent the Iranians yesterday. If you hit our population centers, we will go after your economic infrastructure. But this is what has to happen.

And I think we'll know if Israel is willing to do that or if Trump is willing to let them. And maybe we're beyond that. Maybe they're not asking permission from Trump anymore. But that is that I think is the next phase of what needs to happen. Maybe they'll continue to try to take out the various nuclear facilities and they'll definitely try to take out as many of the ballistic missile sites as possible.

In order to prevent another attack like we saw tonight. But beyond that, I think what they need to do is take out the economy, take out the Iranian economy, destroy in capacity the Israeli economy. Right now we're seeing footage.

from, um, uh, from Tehran, uh, basically anti-aircraft guns. That's what they can do is fire anti-aircraft guns into the sky over Tehran. Uh, they have no real sophisticated defense systems that they can utilize. Uh, and again, uh, Israel, uh, even with sophisticated defense systems have, has been very good at, at being able to, to handle them and, uh, divest them. Um,

Yeah, so a lot of shooting into the air over there in Tehran going on right now. I think more symbolic of we're trying to do something, we're trying to do something than actually achieving anything. So, you know, one of the damaged areas, I think this is on the gun,

The crews are still searching to make sure no one else is trapped or injured. Children are being evacuated from there. Elderly people have been taken to hospital. So there are injuries without any question. Let's see, what is this?

OK, Azerbaijan, we talked about Azerbaijan a minute ago. Azerbaijan is facilitating the evacuation of foreign nationals from Iran through their border crossing. So they make it possible for people to leave Iran through Azerbaijan. It's the one border that's relatively safe.

safe. And, you know, you don't want to evacuate to Iraq. And I don't think you want to evacuate to Afghanistan. On the other side, the one easy border to evacuate to, to a fairly civilized place is the Azerbaijani border from which you can, from where you can fly to Europe and anywhere else. Okay, what else did I want to say about these attacks? So again,

What Israel does next is going to be crucial and whether they're willing and whether they're willing to attack Iran's civilian infrastructure, primarily the oil infrastructure is going to be key. One dramatic chart that Israel has published is the Iranian regime senior commanders kind of list.

that has, let's say, three, six, nine, ten, eleven commanders listed. Of those, one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, and one question mark, seven of the eleven senior commanders in the Iranian military have been taken out by Israel. Pretty impressive. It very much looks like what they did with Hezbollah, just they did it much quicker than

And in much, much easier. It seems like yesterday or last night, as Israel was attacking, Iran was getting set to counter with ballistic missiles. And those Mossad agents on the ground took out the ballistic missile, ballistic missiles that were about to be launched. They took them out last night.

I mean, the story about the Mossad, it turns out they established a base of explosive drones in Iran with drones smuggled into the country long before the attack. According to an Israeli security source, the explosive drones were launched at surface-to-surface missile launches near a base near Tehran and Tehran.

Simultaneously, a Mossad commando unit, I don't know if that's a thing, operated in central Iran and deployed operational systems of guided and precise weaponry in open areas close to the Iranian surface-to-air missile systems, parallel with Israeli air force strikes. So this was a land and air operation last night.

Let's see. Again, this is the kind of operation that Israel has been planning for years, for years, of course, adjusting to circumstances as they went along. One of the people killed last night,

was the chief negotiator with the United States on the nuclear deal, Ali Shamkhani, the supreme leader, Khamenei's top advisor and Iran's lead nuclear negotiator. He died of injuries that he sustained last night from the Israeli assassination.

Hezbollah yesterday announced that it would not respond to Israel's attack on Iran. I mean, this is like an earthquake. This is a shocker. The whole point of Hezbollah was to respond to an Israeli attack on Iran. It just shows the extent to which Israel has completely...

paralyzed Hezbollah, an extent to which Hezbollah now is beholden to the Lebanese. The Lebanese government yesterday announced or last night said they will not allow Hezbollah to launch against Israel. Somebody launched some missiles from Lebanon into Israel, but it was a small attack and not of great significance. Anyway, Hezbollah is out of this, you know, this combat, and that is due to what Israel has done over the last months. And as I said earlier,

The Israeli military, Israel in particular, when it comes to...

to how they dealt with Hezbollah in Lebanon and how they now are dealing with Iran. It is pretty spectacular. And they have done a good job. And there's no question, Bibi and Netanyahu and the Israeli government deserve credit for this. And Netanyahu deserves credit for finally, finally, after 20 years of promising, having the balls, having the guts to actually launch an attack on

on Iran and try to take out the Iranian regime. So good for Bibi. All I would say, it's about time. And this is definitely a positive.

According to some sources, over 20 senior commanders are believed to have been eliminated in this morning's strike, air force strike in Iran. Again, we talked about the leading seven out of 11, but a total of 20 were taken out.

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So the International Atomic Agency, the one that released a report against Iran early yesterday, said,

reports that Fodor, the fuel enrichment plant in Fodor, is Iran's primary facility for the enrichment of weapons-grade uranium. And it has not been targeted during last night or this morning's waves of strikes against Iran by Israel. According to the IAEA, and I think they're right, if Israel wishes to put an end to the Iranian nuclear program, the destruction of Fodor is a must.

although it would be difficult without assistance from the U.S. due to the location, which is built into a mountain over 80 to 90 meters underground near Qom. So we will wait and see how Israel chooses to deal with the four-door nuclear site. It is the linchpin of the Iranian nuclear program. It will have to be dealt with at some point, one way or another.

Yeah, let's skip this. I'm just going through the different notes I had to make sure I'm covering. I covered everything. This has disappeared now. Let's see. Yeah, I mean, I think I just did this recap. Yeah, I mean, looking back from a strategic perspective,

You know, Iran and Hamas's decision to launch October 7th does not look like a particularly smart strategic move looking backwards. Basically, Iran has lost its entire influence in the Middle East as a consequence of Israeli actions since then. Let's see. Nothing is that true. Let's go there. I'll just check it to see if there's anything breaking. Nothing.

CNN, this is from 20 minutes ago. I don't know if this is right. CNN reports that Israel is likely to decide to expand the scope of its airstrikes in Iran as a result of the Iranian ballistic missile attacks against Tel Aviv and Jerusalem. Apart from military target sites such as oil and gas facilities as well as ports will be hit. You know, you could say, inshallah, inshallah.

That means God willing, but it's not God willing. The Israelis willing, hopefully that is exactly what they will do. That is what they need to do. All right. And let's see if there's anything else exciting going on. Yeah, we'll get to this in a minute. All right. All right. Let's see. Let's cover more of this. I think we covered all of that. Yeah, I mean, they keep showing...

Pictures of smoke coming out of in the vicinity of Fordow. My guess is that that is the Israelis attacking military positions in the Fordow area in preparation for going after the underground complex. None of these attacks, supposedly none of these attacks yet have been on the underground complex itself. Yeah. Some people. OK, yeah.

All right. We're going to skip that. Uh, yeah, we're going to set that already. That is gone now. And, uh, we'll skip this. Um, yeah, and we're going to skip that. All right. I think we're good. Uh, let's see. Yeah. Let's, um, shift focus a little bit. Uh, and then I'll, I'll go to your questions. Cause I know we have quite a few, uh, quite a few questions and I do, I do want to

try not to run over, try not to run over two hours today, at least for this show. Again, if there's breaking news, if there's something really important going on, I will come back. I will come back tonight. Uh, you know, uh, so, um,

Let's see. So I want to talk a little bit about the people who hate Israel, who, you know, and this is a unfortunately a vast group out there on the Internet and in the capitals of a variety of different countries. They're really all over the place. You've had several international leaders now call for de-escalation. You know, Saudi Arabia has condemned Israel. Turkey's condemned Israel. Japan have condemned Israel. Japan.

You know, the secretary general of NATO, the secretary general of NATO has said this was a unilateral action by Israel. So I think it is crucial for many allies, including the United States, to work as we speak to de-escalate. No, no, no. This will only be successful if we increase escalation, not if we de-escalate.

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of taking out the Iranian regime. They never have. This was much more important than Iraq. This was much more important than Afghanistan 25 years ago, 23 years ago. This is it. This is the battle. This will determine the future of Islamism and its threat to the West, including Europe. This, you know, I know Saudi Arabia condemned the Israelis attack. I'm sure they're celebrating in the background because they know. I mean, Saudi gets this.

As I said last night, if Israel can take out Iran, it takes out the number one sponsor of Islamism in the world. If Israel can take out Iran, it takes out the one inspiration, ideologically inspiration for the Islamist movement, whether Shiite or Sunni. It takes out the number one funder of mosques. It takes out the number one funder of radical Islamists all over the world.

And it shows what a tiny little country that's pretty secular and it's Jewish or filled with Jews. If such a tiny little country can destroy the capacity of the Iranian regime, wow, Allah must not be happy with Iran. Allah must not be happy with Islamists. I mean, just like the 1979 rise of Ayatollah Khomeini to power,

symbolize the beginning of the spread, the radicalization, the militarization of the Islamist movement. The fall of the Islamic regime will be the beginning of the end of the Islamists. And this will save Germany. It will save France. It'll save the United Kingdom. It will save Europe. And it'll make Saudi Arabia a lot safer. So this is the time to do it.

And the West should be all in. What have they got to lose? Russia's not going to join this. China's not going to join this. Imagine if the West right now said, you know what, you're right. It's time to take out the Iranian regime and end this Islamist threat to the West. It would be a revolution. It would be the beginning of the rebirth of West. It'd finally find a spine, finally be fighting for something and against a real, not a fictitious enemy, a real enemy.

And if the West did this, if the U.S. joined Israel, if Europe joined Israel, Russia would take a step back and say, whoa, these guys are serious. I mean, this is an historic opportunity, a true historic opportunity for the West to stand up to the Islamist threat in their midst, to the Islamists in Europe by destroying the number one funder, the number one promoter, the number one inspirer of Islamism in the world.

And they are cowering. Don't escalate. Please just don't escalate. And of course, you know, as much as I am happy that Trump supported this, as much as I'm happy that Trump played along in the deception of Iran, I'm not happy that the United States is not leading the attack. I'm not happy that the United States of America is not joining Israel and destroying Israel.

this threat to the Western world and this threat to America and this threat to Israel. I'm not happy with that. So yeah, you can compliment Trump all you want, but the reality is he's not doing the right thing. He's not as bad as he could have been, as some of us feared he would be, but he's not good. He's just not bad. An American conservative today writes,

It's difficult to escape the sense that it didn't have to be this way. The U.S.-Iran deal-making process had shown promise at various points, and it remains obscure what changed between then and now.

What will happen next? I doubt that anyone at this point will openly say that the U.S. should commit to an increased true presence in the Middle East to support Israeli operations against the Islamic Republic. Donald Trump in particular knows that a fresh ground war is political poison. Nobody even is asking for a ground war.

No, we'll start with air support and maybe some bunker busters because for all its vaulted military industrial base, somehow Israel just can't make a bunker buster big enough to get those reactors. This is the American conservative. And if it were to pursue regime change, who would replace the Ayatollahs? The Shah? That would be okay. Whose family police, family's police state was so hated that Khomeini seemed preferable?

The other bizarre mix of Islamists and Marxists, miraculous secular liberal democracy with Western-style human rights norms. None of these options seem both likely and desirable. Each would demand American support up to and including direct military intervention. Really?

While the course we are on staves off the already distant prospect of Iranian hegemony, it will egg on Islamic terrorism and tempt hostile action on sea lanes as Iran and its proxies seek leverage against their enemies. If the conflict is inevitable, the American message must be clear. This is not our war.

That is modern conservatism for you. Isolationism. We don't want anything to do with it. They killed Americans. Oh, that's okay. So, you know, and the defeatism. We can't do it. We can't succeed. We're going to fail. Who's going to replace Ayatollah? Better the devil we know than the devil we don't know. Oh, my God. What is going to happen? And the lack of...

trust in the Iranian people and a lack of following what's actually going on in Iran, a lack of knowledge of what the Iranian people actually would like or what a significant number of Iranian people. But just the pathetic cowardice, cowardice.

And lack of principle thinking. It is exactly this appeasement of Iran that leads to Islamism. It's the appeasement of Iran that leads to their aggression. It's the appeasement of Iran that encourages Islamic terrorism all over the world. When you are tough for terrorists, it declines. When you appease them, it increases.

Why do Islamists think they can take over Europe? Why do Islamists go to Europe with anticipation that they can turn Europe into an Islamic state? Because of people like that. Because the West is so cowardly, it won't stand up for itself. Yes, we'll round up poor Mexicans or Guatemalans or whoever, or Venezuelans who are working for a living, trying to take care of their family and have jobs. We'll round them up.

put them, you know, put them in deportation camps and send them away. That we're brave. We are very, very courageous at sending fully armed, militarized ICE agents into Home Depot to arrest their employees. We're good at that. Yes. Conservatives are fantastic at going after hardworking, family, you know, focused people who don't look like them.

but actually go after people who are killing Americans, actually go after people who pose an existential threat to the West, actually go after people who actually constitute the ideological enemy of the West. Oh, no. Oh, no. We don't want to upset them. They might actually launch some terrorist attacks against us. You know, ground troops can't have ground troops.

And who would rule them? I mean, whoa, there's nobody. I mean, imagine. How about this? How about this as a scenario? You get rid of these, you know, you take out Khamenei and you take out the senior leadership and the Iranian people. What if the next stage is like the Iranian parliament gets together and says, you know what, we've screwed up. Let's appoint as our new, I don't know, president, the supreme leader, a moderate. Right?

I still a mullah, still supreme leader and stuff, but a moderate, somebody who doesn't want to develop nuclear weapons, somebody who doesn't want all women to cover over their faces and everything. And let that moderate then phase in slowly over time and more liberal, more open, freer Iran. Is that a possibility? Could that happen?

Maybe we even could identify some potential people that might be and help them out, send a little few dollars here and there. Really? We're not capable of that? The Mossad can put people on the ground with drones in Iran, but, you know, we can't predict what will happen in Iran. You know, let's not go there. Let's not do it. But let's arrest hardworking, so-called illegal immigrants all over the United States and put them in camps. That we should do. That conservatives should.

get excited about. They get thrilled about it. You should see Stephen Miller. I mean, he gets sexually aroused from the idea of pummeling defenseless immigrants.

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That's what gets him off. And it seems to get Edward off as well. Here's Tucker Carlson.

The real divide isn't between people who support Israel and people who support Iran or the Palestinians. The real divide is between those who casually encourage violence, casually, and those who seek to prevent it, between warmongers and peacemakers.

who are the warmongers. They would include anyone who's calling Donald Trump today to demand airstrikes and other direct U.S. military intervention in a war with Iran. On that list, Sean Hannity, Mark Levin, Rupert Murdoch, Ike Perlmutter, and Miriam Adelson. At some point, they will have to answer for this, but you should know their names now. In other words,

Yeah, I mean, we just need peace with Iran. You remember when Trump left the deal with Iran? Remember when conservatives were critical of Obama for cutting a deal with Iran? You remember how conservatives were flipping out Obama, daring to have a deal with Iran? By the way, the guy who did the deal for Obama back then is on Twitter all the time, you know, bemoaning what Israel is doing, thinking it's horrible. He sounds exactly like these conservatives.

Here's, you know, what Tucker said just a few days ago before this happened. Then there's the question of war itself. Iran may not have nukes, but it has a fearsome, fearsome arsenal of ballistic missiles, many of which are aimed at U.S. military installations in the Gulf, as well as our allies, and at critical energy infrastructure. The first week of a war with Iran could easily kill thousands of Americans.

It could also collapse our economy as surging oil prices trigger unmanageable inflation. Consider the effects of $30 gasoline. Where does he live? He sounds like Jordan Peterson, who is calling for $300 a barrel because of the war in Ukraine. These people are nuts and they're so petrified. They are cowards who are dominated by one emotion, fear.

Peterson and the Israel thing is good. Not like this guy. But the second week of the war could be even worse. Iran, isn't Iraq or Libya or even North Korea, while it's often described as a rogue state, Iran has powerful allies. It's now part of the global bloc called BRICS.

which represents the majority of the world's landmass population, economy, and military power. Iran has extensive military ties with Russia. It sells the overwhelming majority of its oil exports to China. Iran isn't alone. An attack on Iran could easily become a world war. We'd lose.

Talk about panic and hysteria and just pathetic arguments. I've talked about this. There's no way China is going to risk anything by coming to Iran's aid. Iran means nothing to China. It's a source of oil, but China can buy oil from other places. China cares about low oil prices. It doesn't care about where it gets it from. I mean, it likes Iran because Iran is a thorn to the side of America and a distraction for America.

And it allows China to do what it does in the Pacific. But it's not an existential ally to which China is willing to actually go to war. Russia, Russia, weak Russia is going to come and defend Iran. It can barely defend itself.

And it has, again, very little interest. It's already got the Iranian plans for building, what do you call it, drones. And it's building them in Russia and North Korea. It doesn't need them to be built in Iran itself. And which allies other than that does Iran have? BRICS. Brazil is going to go to war with the United States. Absolutely Brazil. That's the country. South Africa.

Brazil and South Africa will jointly operate military operations against the United States. I mean, do they even know what they're talking about? When they say BRICS, do they know who that's referring to? Do they have any concept?

Of course not. I mean, these are they're motivated by one thing, and that is to make you afraid, afraid so that they can get their agenda across. And their agenda is an agenda that is pro Russia. It's an agenda that is an agenda that's pro Iran. It's an agenda that fundamentally is an agenda of anti-America. America is a shriveled giant of

hunkering down, afraid to do anything in the world because, God, we might upset somebody. God forbid we might upset somebody. That's Tucker. It only gets worse. Oh, his newsletter, I think today, yeah, today, Friday, June 13th, this was the headline of the newspaper, newsletter. This is brilliant. This could be the final newsletter before all-out war. World War III, World War III, World War III, anybody? World War III?

What happened here? God. Let me just see if I have this. Candace, my friend, Candace Owen, Candace Owen, the most predictable, plausible, you know, war, the most predictable war plausible ever, plausibly ever occurred.

I'm so sick of Israel and those who pretend its actions are normal, even when we'll be justified. This country has bloodlust like no other. Have an issue with this tweet? Literally, do not. I do not care. Think defending Israel's demonic actions is going to guarantee you a spot in heaven? Double your indulgences and sign your offspring up to die for Netanyahu. Leave the rest of us the hell alone.

I mean, she's manic and she's crazy and she's evil, evil. This is these. She has millions and millions of followers, millions and millions of followers. Who else did I want to do? Yeah, this is, you know, super disappointing. But but here's here's one that's just it's just too good not to read. Talk about anti-Semitism. It's it's yeah, it's you can't you can't script it better.

Iran, this is Robert Breedlove, who I've done his podcast. I now regret ever doing anything with Robert Breedlove. Iran is one of the few central banks that is not owned by the same people. I wonder who those are, who own the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Israel. Let us call the owners of the Federal Reserve and Bank of Israel the Western Central Banking Cartel. What he actually means is the Rothschilds.

The Jewish bankers. In truth, both the United States and Israel are simply front organizations for the Western central banking cartel. Both the U.S. and Israel are used in the same way the mafia uses front organizations to conceal criminal activities, facilitate bribery or corruption, and to maintain a cover for illicit meetings or logistics.

As it turns out, the fabricated feud between Donald Trump and Elon Musk was yet another puppet show to distract you from the military aggression of the Western banking cartel, again against the shareholders of the Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran. That's the hero. If you follow the money rather than the media, you will soon discover who the puppets and who the puppet masters are.

Those elders of Zion, they are sneaky. They are so sneaky. Follow the money to find the truth. The only way to vote against World War III is to trade your fiat currency for Bitcoin. Oh, God, these people are crazy. I did not realize how anti-Semitic

insane conspiracy theory weirdos these people are, you know, and this is infused and embedded in the libertarian movement. We talked yesterday about about Dave, you know, Dave, what Dave Smith, you know, Dave, the the libertarian comedian and how awful he is. Sadly, this is not limited to the wackos of the world, but

Here's Keith Stama. I guess maybe he's a wacko too. The reports of these strikes are concerning and we urge all parties to step back and reduce tensions urgently. Escalation serves no one in the region. Stability in the Middle East must be the priority. And we are engaging partners to de-escalate. Now is the time for restraint, calm, and return to diplomacy. This is the challenge. The challenge is Israel is going to get flooded with this kind of stuff. Can it withstand it? Can it go through with what it needs to do in order to

Eliminate the threat. France and Germany, Mertz, reaffirmed that Israel has the right to defend its existence and the security of its citizens. Good for him. Macron, France reaffirms Israel's right to defend itself and ensure its security. Here's the thing now. Israel is on a clock. Israel is on a clock. There is only so much time that its allies, including Donald Trump, will give Israel to deal with the Iranians.

Israel needs to act quickly, decisively, thoroughly, ruthlessly. And it needs to get this over quickly because the pressure is mounting and will mount over the days to come. The West will coalesce around. We need to go back to negotiations. We need to de-escalate. Status quo stability is the ideal. No, instability is what you want in Iran. What you want is an unstable Iran.

where the Iranian people ultimately will choose what future they want. Anyway, the haters of Israel are out. They're all over Twitter. They're all over the web. You can find them all over the place.

They're motivated by hatred of Western civilization, in the case of Candace, hatred of any kind of Western free country. They're so distorted by the hatred of, I don't know, fiat money or the state that any reasonable state out there is therefore becomes the immediate devil. This is the anarchists.

And they are motivated by hate of the West, which is Tucker, right? That's the fundamental. It's hatred of the West. And this is a real good place to say, where are you on this issue? Particularly on the right, where are you on this issue? And there are certain people who are pro-Iran on this issue. That's it. You should write them off. You should write them off.

And the right is going to split over this. MAGA is going to fight over this. And this is why Donald Trump is not going to fully embrace the Israeli position. He's not going to go all in with Israel because Donald Trump is afraid that his base does not want him to. He has to weigh those factors.

All right. I'm going to call it there when I'm going to talk about New York mayor race, although it's an interesting issue. We'll talk about it another time. There's still a couple of weeks before the election, the Democratic primary. There is a socialist running who is now, you know, a 50 50 chance that he wins. And he is a scary dude. He's a scary, scary guy.

All right. Let's jump in here. I'm a little short on time. So I'll just remind you to, you can ask questions. I'll try to answer all of them. If I don't answer them today, I've got a lot of like five, $10 questions. If I don't answer them today, I'll answer them next time. And because I do have a hard stop. And if you'd like to support the show, if you'd like to support your own book show, if you find value in what I do, please consider becoming a

monthly contributor on Patreon, patreon.com. All right, let's jump in.

with, uh, with Rand, a hundred dollars. Thank you, Rand. Rand Cawley, thank you. Really, really appreciate this. Rand says, thanks, Yaron, for the great coverage and thanks to the courageous Israeli military. At long last, a truly moral response. Well, yes. Now let's see what's next. It can't be over yet. It cannot. Uh, and, and, and it, what happens next is going to be

really, really, really important and really, really crucial to how this all lands up. I just opened Twitter and the first thing that jumps up to me is there is this march to Gaza that is happening of European leftists who are the Greta type,

And they are basically trying to go through Egypt. They started in Libya and they're going to go through Egypt and they want to go all the way to Gaza. They're just going to march to Gaza. And basically the Egyptians say, no way, we're not letting you go anyway. And there are now clashes. They are fighting between Egyptian civilians and these Western leftist activists. It's a good sight, good sight to to see.

Maybe they'll learn something about the people who really hate Hamas, the Egyptians even more so than any Israelis.

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All right, let's see. Oh, this is nice. Okay, so one of the generals...

That were killed last night. Hosseini Salami. You know, somebody showing a photo of him in 1979. He had just kidnapped a female servant from the Shah's palace. He and his fellows there dragged her through the streets, shot her, burnt her alive while everybody was watching and cheering. And now...

Some people in the West are sad to see him dead. Pretty pathetic. Let's see. I don't know about that. Yeah, a lot of funny stuff on Twitter right now. But let's just see if there's anything relevant to what we've talked about. The Iranians are bragging about the outcome of what they did and everything that they launched.

Let's see. A huge explosion in the Kurdish city of Elam in western Iraq near the border with Iraq. It's not known what caused this, if it was an Israeli airstrike or falling debris. Drone interception off the coast of Eilat, probably from the Houthis. And yeah. All right. Nothing new. Nothing new about what Israel is attacking as we speak. All right.

Daniel, $50, really appreciated. Daniel Chapman, has anything fundamentally changed in your evaluation of Netanyahu now? Has the nuclear deadline a last straw or has this been a strategic buildup since October 7th? I mean, look, I'm glad Netanyahu did this. You've got to say good for Netanyahu. Finally, he found the courage, the initiative to do this. If what Israel is saying about the

how close Iran is to building a bomb. Any Israeli prime minister in that position would have done it. Indeed, everybody, all the opposition leaders have all come out and supported Netanyahu's decision because they would have all done the same thing. This is a man who's been talking about doing this for 20 years. Okay, so he did it in the last minute. And it might be, I'm not saying this is the case, but it might be that this is too late.

That is, there is a real possibility that Iran has already have some uranium and they will be they will be a test explosion of an atomic bomb out in the desert somewhere. I don't think so. But maybe they wait at the last minute. Why they did it now, they didn't do it last year. I don't know. You know, maybe that maybe there's strategic considerations for that. So you have to give him credit for doing this. Does this wipe out my criticism of him that goes back to the

His first prime minister ship, which was in the late 1990s. Does this wipe out the years of looking the other way as billions and billions and billions of dollars went into the Gaza Strip? Does it wipe out the years and years and years of looking the other way as Hamas built tunnels all over Gaza?

Does this wipe out the fact that he looked the other way as Hamas lobbed missiles into Israel on a regular basis? Does this change my evaluation of his ignoring Hezbollah arming itself to the teeth in Lebanon? Yes, Israel dealt with it, but should it have even gotten to the point where

Could it have been prevented? And at the end of the day, does this wipe out the responsibility I hold Netanyahu for October 7th? Because he looked the other way for so many years over all this. So, yeah, he gets a positive notch. He gets credit for what he just did. Does it wipe out all my criticism for the last 27 years of him as prime minister? No, it does not.

I still think he should resign. I still think he should leave. I still think there are other qualified people who could take his place. He doesn't need to be there. He is not the only person who could save the state of Israel. He's not a Messiah figure, as he would like to present himself. There are other capable people who could do the job. And it's time they got that job because it has to be recognized that his failure was October 7th. It was under his watch.

that Hamas built the capabilities. It's under his watch that they executed. It was under his watch that Israel ignored warning signs that it was going to happen.

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IDF confirms the interception of three drones launched by either Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen or Iran earlier off the coast of Eilat and along the border with Jordan. I didn't mention, but overnight, early this morning, Iran sent drones.

A hundred drones towards Israel, all of them knocked out of the sky by Israeli, American, maybe even British and French pilots, certainly Jordanian. Jordan took responsibility for downing some of those drones. So the drones flew over Jordanian airspace. Jordan, to their credit,

participated in taking them down. And yeah, none of those drones made it to Israel. These three drones, again, were shot down. It's very difficult to get drones past Israeli defenses. They're slow. They take a long time to get there, to get to where they're going. And there's lots of opportunities to down them. Ballistic missiles, on the other hand, fast, quick,

Fractions of a second, they either knock down or they're not knocked down. And you could easily overwhelm their defense systems that Israel has with a massive launch, which is what they did earlier. All right, Andrew. Rubio's statement in Israel attack was very lame. Israel believed this attack was in its self-interest.

In its self-defense, imagine that a non-measly mouth, morally clear U.S. Secretary of State would say the bully pulpit matters. I agree completely. The bully pulpit does matter. I wish Donald Trump would stand up and say it. He's not going to. Rubio is not going to. They're going to maintain deniability. They're going to maintain the ability to walk away from this. They're going to take credit where they can. They're going to walk away when they can.

They do not want to commit. And remember, this is not an administration, a principle, not an administration that believes in a moral stance on anything except except arresting innocent, hardworking Latino illegal immigrants in Home Depot that they are morally adamant about. But it comes to defending America. Not so much.

Not so much. Fizzled. Candace Owen posted this. Our foreign policy is dictated by Israel. Trump will continue to do as he has told Ben Netanyahu. We are a colony of Israel. Yeah, I mean, it's the Jews. They control the world and they're in charge of everything. And yeah, I mean, they're running everything. I mean, Candace and Breedlove, they all agree on one thing. The Jews run things. They never...

They never let me in on it for some reason. I'm not Jewish enough, I guess. They never let me on in the running things part of it. All right. Let's see. Laren, when should Israel switch from precision attacks to carpet bombing? Do they hope for regime change and maintain goodwill among average Iranians? Yeah, I really don't think there's any reason to carpet bomb. I do think this is a situation where...

The local population is hostile to the regime. I do not think that this is a case where you have to bring the population to their knees. I think you have to bring the regime to its knees.

I think Israel needs to go after Khamenei. It needs to make him feel like, you know, he has to constantly hide and constantly run because Israel's after him. They should go after the entire political leadership of Iran, not just the military leadership. They could go after the Supreme Council or whatever it's called, the Council of Scholars or whatever they are. And they should cripple the Iranian economy.

And they should constantly blame the Iranian regime for this and encourage. I mean, Netanyahu did an eight minute speech earlier today to the Iranian people, which I think is good. Keep.

boasting the Iranian people, keep telling them we're on their side, keep encouraging them to engage in regime change. And if that means taking out more of the revolutionary guard, because that's who's going to go out in the streets to suppress any demonstrations, then yeah, go after their barracks, destroy their capabilities of going out into the streets. Do whatever you can to create a

energy around regime change within Iran. And I think carpet bombing would be the wrong strategy in this case. Let's see. Barbara, thank you for the news from Israel. Thank you, Barbara, for the support. Adam, did Israel trade their Patriot systems for Ukrainian drone tech?

The general in charge of Ukraine's drones is an ex-Israeli. He is interviewed in Hebrew in the Marcy Scholl lecture. You can see it here. No, I don't think so. I think they gave or sold the Patriot system to the Ukrainians. I think Israel has, I'm going to guess here, they have the best drone tech in the world. They just don't need drones to the extent that Ukraine does because they have such a competent system.

Air Force, and they don't face any air defense systems that are capable of doing anything in terms of touching the Israeli Air Force. So Israel doesn't need the kind of drones, the kind of cheap explosive drones that the Ukrainians have. There were pictures earlier today of

Israeli drones flying over the skies in Iran, surveillance drones, intelligence drones. Those are the kind of drones Israel's flying. They're flying them openly above Iran because their defense systems in Iran are gone. But Israel has a wide variety of drones, very sophisticated. But the kind of drones that Ukraine uses, I don't think are very useful for Israel.

They're just not the kind of things Israel needs because Israel has a superiority, overwhelming a superiority.

Jennifer says,

And news was breaking constantly. So there was a strong incentive to keep going. And it was I think people appreciated it. So I did the show was three and a half hours yesterday.

If anybody out there, I don't know, there's a guy asking about civilian casualties in war. If you're really interested and not just here to spam or to troll, then I have an essay on this. The best thing to do is to Google Yaron Brook, just war theory. Yaron Brook, just war theory. And you'll find my essay that I wrote many years ago with Alex Epstein in 2003, 2004. It was published in

And it deals exactly with the question of, you know, civilian casualties and when are they appropriate. Check out my essay. And then if you have questions, come back here. Happy to answer any questions around that. And of course, if you want to ask a question right now, there is the Super Chat. After all, I answer all questions in the Super Chat. You know, Humbo says, thank you, Iran. Thank you. Etika says, Ayn Rand says,

Andrew and Center UK did seven straight hours yesterday. I mean, you know, the reality is that to match my three and a half hours, you've got to do at least seven hours. I'm kidding. I'm kidding. I mean, I'm sure they did great, but good for them. You know, I'm not in competition with ARC UK or for that matter, anybody else.

But there, Miroslav just put up the link to my essay. If you're interested in my position about civilian casualties, you've got the essay right there. You can read it and again, come back with questions. Happy to answer the questions. I have a pretty radical position about it. Michael.

Milet just spoke at the Israeli parliament. He did, just like two days before, about moving the Argentinian embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem. Yes. His moral defense of Israel and free markets has been truly inspiring. Yeah, I mean, Milet was in Israel. He spoke there. He spoke at a university, I think. I think the Hebrew University in Jerusalem. There were long lines. I mean, most of the people who came to talk couldn't get into the auditorium because it was filled.

So his speeches were very, very popular. Again, thumbs up to Millais for going to Israel, going to Israel at such an hour. Thumbs up for Millais for all his support for Israel. He is a real hero.

Michael, have Israel's strikes been so devastating Iran is unable to launch any significant counterattacks? Will the regime collapse or become more rabid? I mean, they can't launch any attacks because they don't have weapons.

The weapon systems, they don't have the sophistication. They don't have the kind of weapon systems that that precision weapon systems. They've got cruise missiles that Israel can easily shoot out of the air. They've got drones that Israel can easily shoot out there. They are far away from Israel. They have the same problem Israel has. But Israel has a superiority and Israel has precision weapons, which is.

The Iranians just don't have. So they can't devastate Israel. They've got nothing. All they can do is lob these ballistic missiles in, and that will cause damage in Israel, and it will cause casualties. People will die. I told you this yesterday that people are going to die and people are going to get hurt.

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There is a limit.

to how much damage and how many casualties they can do in Israel will constantly erode their capacity to do that. Will the regime collapse? It depends what happens next. And some of that will depend on the Iranian people and on the Iranian military. So, you know, again, how to tell

Fog of war, all of that. But Tehran's air defenses are being deployed as drones, missiles, and fighter jets can be heard across several parts of the city, according to NBC News crews in Tehran. So, you know, Israel, you know, has, according to this, has drones in the air there and has missiles coming in. I don't know what kind of missiles they're using, but that'll be interesting to find out if it's more...

Real missiles, you know, long distance missiles are just missiles launched from airplanes. James, $100. Really, really appreciate the support. Thank you. Thank you, James. Let's see. I'm sure there were other stickers. Another $20 from James. Thank you for the sticker there. Thank you, John, for the $20. Let's see. What other stickers did we get? Yeah, how to keep track. Esoteric dichotomy. Thank you. Nevfeld. Thank you. Catherine Dawson. Thank you.

And Donna, thank you. And Jasper, thank you. And yeah, I can't go further back. All right. Thank you, guys. Really, really appreciate the support. And I appreciate you appreciating what I'm doing. Gail just did a sticker for $50. Thank you, Gail. That is, again, unbelievably appreciated.

Liam says, this is what next never again looks like. Yes, it really is. I mean, we'll see. This is what the first stage of never again looks like. Never again is a slogan in Israel for never another Holocaust. Another Holocaust, Israel will never allow that to happen.

They will fight, and they will fight next time. And this is stage one of that. They have to keep it coming. They have to keep it going, and they have to thoroughly defeat the Iranian regime. They have to bring about this regime's collapse.

James, how likely do you think the Middle East will look in August? How does this change Saudi, UAE, Kuwait, Jordan and Omar's relationship with Israel? Well, I mean, again, let's see if the Iranian regime actually collapses and moderates in some way, then I think Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, Jordan, Omar, all of these countries will thank Israel profusely.

And I think you can expect by the end of the year or early next year, a peace deal between Israel and the Saudis. And I think this is a real change in the Middle East. Now, I don't know that this is a change long term because Saudi Arabia is still a kingdom. These countries are all still authoritarians.

And they're still Muslim. And, you know, how deep the change will be is hard to tell. But in the medium term, certainly in the short and medium term, it's a complete game changer. And potentially long term, a complete game changer. And, of course, if Iran ultimately becomes a, you know, relatively free country, then all bets are off because then it becomes a new model. And, you know, I never thought going back to 2001, you know,

I never thought America could bring democracy to Iraq. Democracy was not, I did not believe, ever possible in Iraq. The ideas, the mentality, too primitive, too tribal, too Muslim, too Islamist. I don't have the same, I never have the same views of Iran. I think in Iran, freedom, liberal democracy, if you will, can thrive.

Iran has strong Western leanings. Iran is also, was a civilization. There's a real ancient civilization there. A civilization that thrived before Islam. And when Islam rose, it was the Persians who dominated the Islamic empires. So there is a culture there. There is an educational system there.

And there is a there is a from the Shah's days. There is a certain love of the West there. And, you know, I think I think this I think you could actually see Iran becoming free, relatively speaking. Right. And that would be a complete game changer in the Middle East. Now, whether that will happen, I don't know. I don't know. Thank you for the sticker. Really appreciate it.

I mean, I wonder if the mullahs are making escape plans. Do you know where the mullahs are going if Iran collapses? Does anybody know where the mullahs have invested their money and have a lot of real estate and a lot of bank accounts and a lot of established connections, but a lot of real estate?

Canada, Toronto, you know, the Iranian mullahs bought up a bunch of Toronto real estate. So wouldn't be surprised if they showed up there. In the short run, they might go to Russia. Who knows where they'll go? But in terms of investment, they're heavily invested in Canada. Jacob, what are the short and long term effects of any Israeli attack on Iranian oil regarding Russian oil? They were funding U.S. natural gas in China.

Well, I mean, Russia benefits from an Israeli destruction of the Iranian oil because it'll drive oil prices up. Oil prices are already way up, right? They were not that long ago, right? A few weeks ago, they were at 60, under 60. I remember them being in the 50s. They're now over 70. Oil prices over 70 is a huge boost to the Russian economy. It elevates Russian income significantly. It's also a huge boost to American oil companies.

If Israel takes out Iranian oil facilities, you could see oil prices go up to 80. They're not going to 300. And oil and gasoline is not going to $30. The United States produces a lot of oil. There's a lot of oil produced elsewhere. The Saudis can increase production. There's no question you could keep oil flowing. But prices will go up. And that benefits Russia, sadly. It would also benefit the U.S.,

you know, natural gas and oil business. And it hurts China. China will have to pay higher prices for oil. So sadly, it benefits Russia, but it does hurt China. And it benefits U.S. oil and gas. Again, in the short run, ultimately, you know, new reserves will enter the market and prices will come down. Harper Campbell, notice Islamists and Nazis always attack countries stronger than them, while communist regimes only attack countries weaker than them.

You were right when you said communists are less suicidal. Yeah, I mean, I think they are. They don't believe in an afterlife. They're less mystical in that sense. Mark, thank you for the sticker. Really, really appreciate that. Islam Ali, no Iran if Israel thoroughly and permanently dissects Iran's nuclear program. Is it safe to say they saved the world?

Yeah, I think it is. It's certainly safe to say they saved the Western world, to which Iran is a threat. So they've saved civilization. Yes. Michael says it looks like New York City is about to elect a Muslim socialist mayor. They didn't learn anything from Bill de Blasio just a few years ago. Yeah. And this guy is a lot worse, if that's possible, than Bill de Blasio. This guy makes Bill de Blasio seem reasonable in comparison.

He is awful. I'll mention him in a show next week. Really, really, really bad dude. If you live in New York, you know, go register Democratic so you can vote in the Democratic primaries to vote against this guy. I mean, he is a really bad deal. I know Cuomo would be awful, but do it anyway. Let's see. All right. News now. Hi, guys.

All right, we've got Iran launching more ballistic missiles towards Israel right now. We've got air shelters in the Jerusalem area and in the West Bank, as well as in the south. You know, maybe some of these bombs will fall in Gaza. I wonder. But as well as around Beersheba in the Beersheba area. So another round of ballistic missiles being launched by the Iranians.

Not at Tel Aviv, interestingly enough, but they seem to be shorter range, not quite aimed at Tel Aviv. We'll see. Israeli Defense Forces confirmed that another wave of ballistic missiles is just launched by Iran at Israel. At the same time, Iranian state-run media is reporting Israel strikes now on northeastern Iran. Northeastern. God, do you know how far that is? I showed you a map yesterday. Northeastern Iran is

That is towards, you know, towards Uzbekistan and Afghanistan. That's way over there. All right. We'll watch to see. I mean, a defense cruise in Israel must be exhausted at this point. I hope much of that is automated. Monolithic Ethos, thank you for becoming a YBS fan on YouTube. Eyal, thank you for the sticker. Brian, thank you for the sticker. All right.

Islam Ali, if Israel thoroughly and permanently... We just said that. We just did that. You repeated the question. All right, James. Does Iran have the power to really do damage to Israel if they believe they're going to be wiped out? A few of their rockets land in Tel Aviv proper. They will launch thousands. You know, their capacity to launch is limited. They can launch them in rows, so they might launch thousands, but...

Of every 100, if five drop, they'll do some damage. If it's 1,000 and 50 drop, they'll do some damage. It's not going to be existential damage to Israel. It's going to be some damage. It's not going to be existential. I wonder if they're launching right now towards Israel's nuclear facility. Yeah, I mean, Israel does have a nuclear facility in the south. I wouldn't be surprised if Iran tries to target it. It's probably the most protected site maybe in the world, certainly in Israel.

Uh, it has a defense systems above and beyond. I doubt anything will penetrate there, but, uh, it could be, uh, it could be somebody saying a big flash in Hebron just now. Hebron of course is a, uh, a Palestinian city. Um, uh, you know, and it could be that one of these has landed. I did, they do seem to have targeted kind of the West bank as part of this. So it could be, uh, the, the, the, the Palestinians take the brunt of this. Um,

All right, James, how does all this impact Ukraine? Will Russia help Iran? How does China view all this with America being distracted in Europe and Middle East? You know, I think China worries because what you're seeing here is the overwhelming superiority of American and Israeli tech companies.

and military attack over anything I think the Russians certainly have and potentially what the Chinese have. I think this, anytime the West is strong, it causes, you know, somebody like China to step back and hesitate. So I actually think this is good news, holding them back. I think this hurts Ukraine only in the sense that it...

You know, all prices are higher. Russia has more money. It sustains its economy for a little longer. And maybe Trump and Bibi were good guys after all. No, they're not. Neither one of them. Certainly not Trump. And no, I mean, you don't again, you don't one good deed does not wipe out thousands of bad deeds. And Trump has done nothing here that is spectacular in particular.

But, you know, and as one of those people would defend Trump and, you know, basically defend anything I'm against. Islam Ali, Israel's history of imposing a successful occupation sucks. So if Israel dissolves the Iranian military and our political leadership, what comes next? Well, Israel can't.

occupy Iran. I mean, it's too far and too small. Israel shouldn't try. It shouldn't put ground troops except special forces. Yeah, Israel should not occupy Iran. It can't. It's operationally impossible. So Israel needs to let the Iranian people figure out what's next. Hopefully, Iran appoints some moderates to lead it into a new era.

Nathan, why was Iran so quick to confirm the deaths of some of its leaders last night? Wouldn't they want to conceal that for as long as possible? You know, I don't know. Hezbollah was doing the same thing. So I guess it's very hard to conceal these things in the modern era of the Internet. So why fight it could be one explanation. But I don't know otherwise.

Why doesn't the U.S. sell Israel bunker busters? This is evil. Even if they did, Israel does not have a way to deliver the payload. It does not have an airplane that can carry a 35,000 ton bomb. Israel does not have a B-52 or B-2. It's never thought it needed it. Airplanes that size. And it's I don't think it's ever tried to buy one from the United States.

I don't know it's possible Israel could put it on a warhead and use it with a ballistic missile.

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But I don't know that it has a ballistic missile with the kind of power to launch a 35,000 ton bunker busting bar. Don't think so. Adam says, I had to edit out the YouTube part of the URL for Marcy Shore's lecture. Please feel free to put it back in.

I will. Thanks, Adam. Andrew, thank God for unilateral, rational, selfish military action. Unilateral in this instance means one nation has the guts to defend itself and by extension defend all of us. Not your average algorithm. What makes Trump go along with this? What made Trump go along with this? I think he thought he didn't have much to lose. The negotiations with Iran were not going well.

Um, he saw intelligence that suggested that the Iranians were trying to make a fool of him. That is while they were negotiating, they were building a bomb and they might just announce that they had a bomb while they were negotiating and he would be made to feel a fool. Um, so I think that motivated it. He had given them 60 days. This is day 61. So he felt, um,

that that corresponded with what he had promised. He'd given it a shot. He also preserved deniability. If the attack yesterday would have gone badly, he could have said, oh, I didn't want it. Even now, he can say, oh, I don't want Israel to go this far by not putting American troops at home way or bombing Iran directly. He can go to MAGA and say, yeah, I don't want America involved in the war. So he has nothing to lose and a lot to gain.

I'm losing my voice again. All right, James, why does no one talk about Iran attempting to take out President Trump before he was reelected? Not even you have mentioned that, no conservatives. I forgot about it, but that is true. There's significant evidence to suggest that they put a hit on Trump before the election and they tried to take him out. They failed.

So, yeah, I'm curious. Maybe they don't mention it because they don't want to remind Trump he might support Israel. I didn't mention it because I forgot completely. Jason, Walmart heiress backs no king's protest in full page ad urging defense of the Constitution, opposition to dictatorship and support of allies and global trade partners. Yeah, I saw that.

You know, she is worth $18 billion. She can afford to take out a full-page ad. She's got a full-page ad in opposition to Trump. It's great. Good. And I hope the, you know, I'm not going to go to any protests because I don't believe in protesting. But the more things like full-page ads are a good thing. We need to express our anger and frustration at Trump.

uh at trump all right let's see uh it looks like there was another direct hit on downtown tel aviv uh even though uh you know interception scene in the sky of central israel um yeah even though tel aviv was not a part of the red they're showing a direct hit although it looks exactly like the video there was hours ago there was an hour ago so i you know but these guys know what they're doing so i assume this is a a real a real a real one so um

Let's hope there are no casualties from the direct hit in central Tel Aviv. Central Tel Aviv is a pretty densely populated place. So it's likely that when that bomb hits, it's likely that there will be casualties. Funnily enough, Russia is condemning Israel. Here's here's Russians condemnation. Listen to this one. It's it's it's it's you know, you got to appreciate the irony of this.

Russia sent that. That's pretty crazy.

Yeah, the Iranians are claiming they shot down an F-35 with a female pilot who was captured. Untrue. You know, it didn't happen. As far as I can tell, it is just not a reality. They're making stuff up. It looks like more than 40 Israeli fighter jets just entered Iraq airspace to launch missiles at targets in Iran. It's going to be interesting to see what those targets are. As I've said, I'm waiting to see

uh, you know, the targets in Yemen, crowds watching Tel Aviv under attack on a giant screen. Somebody should take out that screen. I think that should be a target of an Israeli drone. Uh, that screen should not be there. Yeah. All right. Uh,

Supposedly, again, don't know that this is true, although it is on video, was sound. Iranians in Tehran are now shouting death to Khamenei while Israel bombs the regime. This is the opportunity. And what you need now is to really make the regime suffer, really make the regime suffer. And the way to do that is take out their oil infrastructure. Take it out. I hope that's what the 40 Israeli planes are going to do.

James G., U.S. government in November 2024, the U.S. Department of Justice charged an Iranian man in connection with an alleged plot involving the Iranian Revolutionary Guard to assassinate Trump. This plan was thwarted by authorities. Will Iran do it again? Yeah, I mean, Iran supposedly has agents in the United States. I wouldn't be surprised if we saw some acts of violence in Europe and in the U.S. in support of Iran.

Be careful out there. But will they try again? Now he's president. I think he's well secured, well protected. But will they try? Will they attack Israeli institutions, Jewish institutions? Yeah, probably. Those are soft targets. Much easier than bombing Tel Aviv. Much easier than bombing Tel Aviv is to attack soft targets in Europe or the United States. So

I fear that that might be where the where the Iranians, that's what they do to express themselves, I guess you could call it right to to retaliate. Let's see what else is going on here. I mean, Iran cannot send a land army into Israel. That is that is the big difference. They could when Hezbollah was there. They could when they had troops in Iran, but they cannot do it now.

They'd have to send a land army over Iraq into Syria, into Iran. Syria would oppose it. Israel could attack them as they're traveling through Iraq. Jordan would oppose it. There's no route for them to actually send land troops into Israel. All right. Let's see. All right. We will see. Yeah, it seems to be the first death.

They were getting reports of the first death from the previous ballistic missile attack. A woman, an Israeli woman has died from her wounds that she sustained tonight from the Israeli, from the Iranian ballistic missile attack. All right. It's time to make the Iranians pay for that. And I think they're easy ways, lowering fruit, easy targets, easy

to basically make that happen. Make that happen. Yeah, the only thing Iran can do, and this is what Iran, I think this is Iran's strategy. Iran has to keep this going long enough for international pressure to build up against Israel.

And to defeat Israel in that sense politically, to defeat Israel by getting Trump upset at Israel and getting the Europeans upset at Israel. And you can see, again, the the conservatives and all the haters of Israel coming out and expressing themselves. All of this is going to build and it's going to be more intense and it's going to be bigger and bigger and bigger.

And that's what Iran wants. This is why Israel has to act quickly and decisively. It cannot drag this out. Cannot drag this out. Yeah, people are being idiots. People are standing in their balconies in Tel Aviv filming the attack. And this one guy almost got hit. I mean, the missile literally just was meters away from him.

I mean, when they say go into shelters, they mean go into shelters. And most of the people who are getting really hurt are people who are not in the proper shelters. All right, Daniel, put in a good word at the Mossad for me. They must be having a blast, pun intended, at their job right now. I think this is, I mean, it's a blast, but it's also very difficult. It's a very difficult time. They're putting their lives at risk.

Don't minimize this because, you know, and I'm not suggesting you're doing this, Daniel. But, you know, we see a lot of action movies. The action movies make this all look easy and make it look simple. These are people like you and me and putting their lives at risk and doing amazing physical and mental and emotional feats.

And this is hard. This is hard. And it's draining. And they don't know if they're going to be successful. And we still don't know what's going to happen. I mean, there are casualties. Their families are involved because their families are in Israel, even if they're in Iran right now. Whatever's going on, it's war. War is ugly and dangerous and horrific and

Not easy. Not easy. Linda says long live Israel. Thank you, Linda. Let's see. Iranian media is now claiming they have launched missiles from a submarine in the Black Sea. Again, a simple reverse image check shows us that the image that these images are taken from a Russian missile exercise, not from anything that happened today. So you're seeing a lot of images up there.

Most of them you shouldn't trust. There are a few trustworthy sources. A lot of sources, a lot of BS, particularly stuff being posted by Iranian bots, are complete BS. So a lot of stuff that you cannot trust. Yeah, here's an account saying Tel Aviv is burning. Yeah, right. Anyway, yeah.

All right. My family are all in air raid shelters and have been for most of the night tonight. It's kind of terrifying. You know, so far, everybody is safe and everybody is doing OK. All right. I will be back later tonight if there's reason to be. But other than that, if not, I probably see you tomorrow. I'll probably be back at some point tomorrow or Sunday and or Sunday morning.

So I will see you over the weekend. Thank you for all the super chatters. Thank you for being here and for sticking with the show. We had, what is it, 800 people on Twitter and a lot of people on YouTube, over 300 people at any given point in time on YouTube. Thank you, guys. I will see you either later tonight or tomorrow. Bye, everybody.

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