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cover of episode Ep. 301 Look For Changes In The Market With These Strategies and Signals

Ep. 301 Look For Changes In The Market With These Strategies and Signals

2024/12/24
logo of podcast Investing With IBD

Investing With IBD

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Irusha Peiris
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Justin Nielsen
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Irusha Peiris: 我不将税损收割作为主要交易策略,而是关注价格和成交量。市场受税损收割影响,但其可靠性不高。判断市场走势应关注个股,因为许多股票跌破支撑位,需要重新构建底部。部分股票虽然跌至21日均线,但仍保持支撑,表明市场仍存在投机情绪,可能会有反弹。如果股票跌破支撑位,应谨慎对待,控制风险。快速止损和接受股票上涨而不持有,能提高交易灵活性,避免重大损失。为了扩大播客影响力,需要超越IBD的固有方法,吸纳更多不同视角。成功的交易者和分析师的共同点是对市场的热情和好奇心。成功的投资者应保持乐观,相信美国的创业精神和创新能力。持续坚持是成功的关键,即使经历多次失败也要坚持下去。在市场低迷时期,保持耐心,等待机会,并坚持自己的信念。不要过度思考市场,而应关注当前市场实际情况,让市场引导你的决策。市场可能上涨,但如果没有好的投资仓位,就不要追高,要控制风险。 Justin Nielsen: 不要试图预测市场季节性变化,而应关注图表本身的价格和成交量。投资决策应基于个股情况,对于跌破关键支撑位的股票,应减仓或清仓。市场波动迫使我增加现金储备,并对部分股票进行减仓。根据市场变化调整策略,让市场引导你的投资决策。交易中犯错是不可避免的,重要的是从错误中学习。持续坚持是成功的关键,即使经历多次失败也要坚持下去。投资目标并非与标普500指数持平,而是长期超越它。市场永远正确,投资者应该倾听市场的声音。避免因为先前的观点而忽略其他信号,市场随时可能反转。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why is Irusha Peiris not focusing on tax loss harvesting as part of his trading strategy?

He acknowledges its potential impact on the market but doesn't make it a significant part of his strategy. He prefers to rely on price and volume signals rather than seasonal or tax-related factors.

What key market indicators did Irusha Peiris mention as damaged during the recent market downturn?

The NASDAQ and S&P 500 both broke below their 21-day and 50-day moving average lines, indicating significant damage to key support levels.

How did Irusha Peiris assess the recovery potential after the market damage?

He noted that the NASDAQ managed to recover above Friday's high, and the S&P 500 closed near its high, suggesting progress in the recovery process.

What advice did Irusha Peiris give regarding stocks that broke support levels?

He advised respecting those stocks and letting them set up new bases before considering them again. He emphasized the importance of managing risk and being cautious with such stocks.

Why did Irusha Peiris become more cautious about the market?

He observed that many stocks, including small and mid-caps, broke their 50-day moving averages, indicating broader market weakness. This led him to scale back and raise cash in his portfolio.

What market condition caused the PowerTrend to go under pressure?

The PowerTrend went under pressure due to a distribution cluster, with four distribution days occurring within an eight-day span, particularly on a heavily traded day following the Fed meeting.

What sectors did Irusha Peiris identify as potentially weak or underperforming?

He mentioned energy, healthcare, financials, industrials, materials, and retail as sectors showing signs of weakness, with many breaking key support levels.

How did Irusha Peiris describe the common trait among successful traders and analysts?

He highlighted their passion and curiosity for the market, noting that they are excited about trading and often incorporate market insights into their daily lives.

What lesson did Irusha Peiris emphasize about market corrections and cycles?

He stressed the importance of staying in the game during tough market conditions and being patient for the right opportunities. He noted that success often comes to those who endure multiple market cycles.

How did Irusha Peiris describe his approach to market valuation and overthinking?

He admitted that overthinking market conditions often leads to being wrong. Instead, he prefers to focus on what the market is actually doing and let it guide his decisions.

Shownotes Transcript

Let the market guide you. Irusha Peiris, portfolio manager at O’Neil Global Advisors, strikes the balance between rolling with the punches and getting ahead of the market when opportunities present themselves. He also looks back at 300 episodes of the “Investing with IBD” podcast and the key moments and lessons that defined him as a trader.

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