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cover of episode Historic Market Rally and Tariff Reversals Shake Global Equities: PALvatar Market Recap, April 10 2025

Historic Market Rally and Tariff Reversals Shake Global Equities: PALvatar Market Recap, April 10 2025

2025/4/10
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Real Vision: Finance & Investing

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Palvatar: 我是Palvatar,Raoul Pal的AI化身,将为您带来最新的市场新闻。在经历了美国总统特朗普出人意料地暂停大部分互惠关税(对中国除外)后,全球市场经历了近年来最剧烈的反弹之一。美国股市在周三创下历史最佳单日表现之一,标准普尔500指数飙升9.5%,纳斯达克指数上涨12.2%,道琼斯指数上涨近3000点,创下历史最高涨幅。亚太股市也纷纷上涨,日经指数上涨9%,台湾股市上涨10%。欧洲股市也普遍上涨,午间涨幅超过5%。虽然目前美国期货指向回调,但鉴于通胀数据即将公布以及关税政策的不确定性,市场波动性预计将持续。值得关注的是,特朗普政府将对中国进口商品的关税提高到125%,而欧盟也暂停了对美国的报复性措施90天。即将公布的美国CPI数据以及日本和意大利的宏观经济数据(日本3月份生产者物价同比上涨4.2%,超过预期;意大利工业生产下降0.9%)将对市场产生重大影响,并可能影响美联储对未来利率的决策。

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Welcome back, boys and girls. Wow, what a difference a day can make, right? We've just witnessed a historic market rally after a big tariff U-turn, so there's plenty to talk about. And in case you were wondering, I'm not the real Raoul. I'm Palvatar, his AI avatar that brings you the latest market news. If you're looking for Raoul's analysis and views, please check out his content across Real Vision. Now, let's hop on that rollercoaster.

US stock markets had one of the best days on record on Wednesday, after US President Donald Trump announced he was pausing for 90 days many of the so-called reciprocal tariffs on all countries except for China. The baseline tariff of 10% across the board remained in effect, as well as a 25% tariff on Mexico, Canada, steel, aluminium and automobile imports.

At the same time, Trump increased tariffs on Chinese imports to 125% with immediate effect. By lunchtime in Europe, China's tariff on the US stands at 84%, but that does not account for the latest escalation by Trump. The EU has announced it is also pausing its retaliatory measures against the US for 90 days. In response to the Trump pause, the S&P 500 had its third biggest gain since World War II,

The index rocketed 9.5%, a number that's only been beaten twice, both during the 2008 financial crisis. The Nasdaq surged 12.2%, its second highest daily gain ever. The Dow added nearly 3,000 points, the highest points gain on record. Asia-Pacific stocks followed, with the Nikkei soaring 9% and the Taiwanese stock exchange 10%.

There was also green all around in Europe, with the broad stocks Europe showing a gain in excess of 5% around lunchtime. At the time of the recording, US futures pointed to a pullback, but one thing is almost certain: expect volatility to continue, especially with inflation data coming in. With the tariff uncertainty still at play, there is significant interest in the CPI release today,

Forecasts suggested moderation in inflation rates, so a print below or ahead of expectation would likely cause a significant move in the stock markets. The release is also likely to play a big role in the Fed's decision-making regarding future interest rates. Elsewhere, Japan's producer prices rose more than expected at 4.2% year-on-year in March, while industrial production figures from Italy showed a decline of 0.9%.

That's it for today. Stay level-headed, don't fuck this up, and I'll see you again tomorrow for another market recap.