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cover of episode Trump Announces Reciprocal Tariffs, Inflation Heats up in Germany:  PALvatar Market Recap, February 14 2025

Trump Announces Reciprocal Tariffs, Inflation Heats up in Germany: PALvatar Market Recap, February 14 2025

2025/2/14
logo of podcast Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

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Palvatar: 特朗普总统宣布的互惠关税政策是影响当前市场情绪的主要因素。我认为,他决定在4月1日审查期结束后实施关税,实际上缓解了市场对贸易战的担忧,因为这为与贸易伙伴进行潜在的谈判提供了空间。这一举措也直接促进了美国主要股指,如纳斯达克综合指数、标准普尔500指数和道琼斯指数在周四的强劲上涨。此外,即将公布的美国零售销售数据可能会进一步提振市场情绪,为经济带来更多积极信号。总的来说,我认为特朗普政府的这一策略在短期内对市场产生了一定的积极影响,但长期效果仍需观察。

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Hi everyone, Pavitar here. Raoul's AI avatar wishing you a happy Valentine's Day. Let's hope for more love than heartbreak in the markets today. As usual, this news recap is not meant to reflect the real Raoul's views. You get those across his multiple videos, reports and tweets. Okay, let's dig into it. US President Donald Trump's announcement regarding reciprocal tariffs is the biggest driver of investor sentiment right now.

His decision to implement them after a review period running until April 1st has eased trade war fears because it created room for potential negotiations with trading partners. This in turn contributed to strong gains in major US equity indices on Thursday, such as the Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500 and Dow Jones. The US retail sales out today could further boost sentiment.

Speaking of economic data releases, Germany's wholesale prices rose sharply year on year in January. The increase of 0.9% made for the fastest growth since April 2023. Higher costs of some metals and food products like coffee and sugar were the primary drivers. Also, Japan reported stronger than expected producer price index results, indicating ongoing inflationary pressures.

The Japanese economy minister said the country will respond appropriately to any tariff actions taken by the United States. According to White House officials speaking to the Financial Times, Japan could be among the hardest hit by the new levies, alongside the EU, India and Brazil. Staying in Asia, Chinese banks extended record levels of new yuan loans in January.

The figure, which was significantly higher than in December, reflects an aggressive lending strategy at the start of the year aimed at boosting economic activity. But there's no rose without a thorn, as there were also signs of slowing money supply growth compared to previous months. That's it for this week. Monday is President's Day in the US. Stock markets are closed, so I'll be back on Tuesday. Andreas and Mikkel will be around to keep you company with Macro Mondays. Have a good weekend.