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Who's Winning the Los Angeles Deportation Fight, Donald Trump or Gavin Newsom?
2025/6/12
WSJ Opinion: Potomac Watch
A
Alicia Finley
B
Barton Swain
P
Paul Gigo
Paul Gigo: 特朗普政府正在加大驱逐力度，设定了每天逮捕和驱逐3000名移民的目标。这一政策引发了加州州长加文·纽森的强烈反对，他试图将自己塑造成抵抗特朗普政策的领导者。然而，纽森的策略可能存在风险，如果驱逐行动导致家庭分离或抗议活动持续不断，公众舆论可能会发生转变。
Alicia Finley: 加州局势的平静是多种因素共同作用的结果，包括宵禁、执法力量的加强以及学生们正值期末考试期间。纽森本可以更巧妙地处理与特朗普政府在移民问题上的冲突，例如，他可以在反对大规模驱逐工人的同时，支持遣返有犯罪记录的非法移民。此外，庇护城市政策在加州并不普遍受欢迎，因为街头混乱和犯罪事件削弱了公众对该政策的支持。
Barton Swain: 纽森对特朗普政府驱逐政策的反应可能并不明智。他本可以与特朗普保持距离，同时对骚乱采取强硬立场。然而，他选择重回反特朗普的道路，这可能使他无法从中获益。如果骚乱持续，那么特朗普派遣国民警卫队的决定将被证明是正确的；如果骚乱停止，同样也会被认为是特朗普的功劳。此外，抗议活动中出现的反美和反西方情绪可能会进一步巩固特朗普的支持。
Deep Dive
This chapter analyzes Governor Gavin Newsom's response to Donald Trump's deportation policy in Los Angeles. Newsom positioned himself as the leader of the resistance, a move discussed in terms of its political strategy and potential effectiveness. The role of curfews, student exams, and public fatigue in the quieting of protests is also examined.
- Newsom presented himself as the leader of the resistance against Trump's immigration policies.
- The protests quieted down partly due to curfews, final exams, and public fatigue.
- Newsom's actions are viewed as a message to national Democrats.
- Debate on whether Newsom's strategy will be successful in gaining political advantage.
Shownotes Transcript